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DGXQuest Diagnostics IncorporatedBuy Wait6.0·$227.86-0.02%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Quest Diagnostics has posted four consecutive quarterly earnings beats and its price action shows a golden-cross breakout above all major moving averages, but an extraordinarily elevated options put/call ratio of 12.41 signals unusual institutional hedging activity, the stock is within 0.6% of near-term resistance, and the business carries no identifiable competitive moat; the risk/reward is unfavorable for new money at current levels.

Thesis pillars

  • No Moat At ResistanceStable
  • Consistent Earnings OutperformanceImproving
  • Technical Breakout MomentumImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Quest Diagnostics Incorporated (DGX) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Diagnostics & Research

Wait for pullback to $204.43. Recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $227.86. Engine's entry $204.43 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.2% away).

Quest Diagnostics provides diagnostic information services through laboratory testing across the United States, serving approximately one-third of the adult US population annually through physician, hospital, patient, and consumer channels. The company generated $11.0 billion in... Read more

$227.86-5.5% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#8 of 32 Diagnostics & Research
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield3.77%
IncomeYield1.64%(5y avg 1.85%)Payout36.02%sustainable
Entry $204.43(support + ATR (held))Stop $189.85Target $233.02(resistance)A.R:R -0.5:1
Analyst target$239.38+5.1%16 analysts
$233.02our TP
$227.86price
$239.38mean
$204
$265

Wait for pullback to $204.43. Recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $227.86. Engine's entry $204.43 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.2% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news boost analyst 0.40, news boost analyst cluster(3), earnings proximity 87d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Quest Diagnostics Incorporated

About Quest Diagnostics Incorporated

Quest Diagnostics processed approximately 244 million test requisitions in 2025, generating $11.0 billion in net revenues from physician, hospital, patient, and consumer channels. The company's network spans roughly 2,400 patient service centers in the United States — often located inside retail stores — plus 18 aircraft supporting overnight specimen transport and connectivity with more than 1,000 electronic health record systems.

Revenue flows primarily through fee-for-service billing to Medicare, Medicaid, and commercial health plans — Quest estimates access to over 90% of insured US lives through health plan contracts. Reference testing performed for hospital labs generated approximately $1.2 billion in revenues in 2025, while the Collaborative Lab Solutions outsourcing program added roughly $800 million in revenues and management fees from hospitals that retain in-house lab infrastructure under third-party management. Advanced Diagnostics — spanning oncology, cardiometabolic and endocrine conditions, brain health, autoimmune disorders, and women's health — topped $1 billion in revenues on double-digit growth. The company competes against hospital-affiliated laboratories, physician-office laboratories, and newer entrants including point-of-care and direct-to-consumer testing platforms. Hospitals have been acquiring physician practices at an increasing rate, which may direct affiliated clinician testing toward hospital labs and could reduce Quest's outreach volumes over time.

Show full overview

Medicare reimbursement risk is the most quantified pricing threat in the 10-K. PAMA-driven rate cuts imposed during 2018–2020 exceeded the program's own 10-year savings projections, per the filing. Congress has blocked further cuts through 2026 and introduced the Results Act in 2025 to reform the Clinical Laboratory Fee Schedule's rate-setting methodology. If reform stalls or a further round of cuts resumes, per-test Medicare rates could fall materially, compressing margins given that government payers represent a large share of test volume. The company's billing operations are performed by a third party under Quest's oversight, adding operational dependency to a revenue-sensitive function.

See also: Healthcare · Diagnostics & Research

From Quest Diagnostics Incorporated's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Oct 20, 202687d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.73)
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.2% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)24.2
P/E (Fwd)19.1
Mkt Cap$25.1B
EV/EBITDA13.3
Profit Mgn9.1%
ROE14.5%
Rev Growth9.2%
Beta0.57
Dividend1.64%
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.20bearish
IV41%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSupplierbilling operations third party
    10-K Item 1A: 'The majority of billing and related operations for our Company are being provided by a third party under the Company's oversight'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-12Item 5.02LOW
    Timothy Wentworth (former CEO of Walgreens Boots Alliance) elected as independent director on March 9, 2026. Appointed to Compensation and Leadership Development Committee and Quality and Compliance Committee. Received prorated RSU grant of approximately $43,000.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 8.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.40NEWS BOOST ANALYST CLUSTER(3)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 87d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
67 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $201.00Resistance $237.78

Price Targets

$190
$204
$233
A.Upside-5.5%
A.R:R-0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.5% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-20 (87d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DGX stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $204.43. Recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $227.86. Engine's entry $204.43 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.2% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $233.02 (+2.3%), stop $189.85 (−20.0%), A.R:R -0.5:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DGX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $233.02 (-5.5% upside). Target $233.02 (+2.3%), stop $189.85 (−20.0%), A.R:R -0.5:1. Stop-loss: $189.85.

What are the risks of investing in DGX?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.2% away).

Is DGX overvalued or undervalued?

Quest Diagnostics Incorporated trades at a P/E of 24.2 (forward 19.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.5/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about DGX?

23 analysts cover DGX with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $239.

What does Quest Diagnostics Incorporated do?Quest Diagnostics provides diagnostic information services through laboratory testing across the United States, serving...

Quest Diagnostics provides diagnostic information services through laboratory testing across the United States, serving approximately one-third of the adult US population annually through physician, hospital, patient, and consumer channels. The company generated $11.0 billion in net revenues in 2025 from ~244 million test requisitions billed primarily to Medicare, Medicaid, and commercial health plans.

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