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DASHDoorDash, Inc.Sell4.7·$195.84+3.92%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Revenue growing at 33% year-over-year with free cash flow converting at 248% of net income is a rare quality combination, and 33.9% upside to consensus with a 4.84-to-1 risk/reward offers a material entry discount — but the stock is in a confirmed price downtrend below its long-term moving average, and the technical picture must improve before the fundamental case can be acted on with conviction.

Thesis pillars

  • Large Upside To Consensus TargetStable
  • Exceptional Growth And Cash ConversionStable
  • Earnings Beat ConsistencyStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

DoorDash, Inc. (DASH) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Internet Retail

Sell if holding. At $195.84, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Overbought (RSI 81); Weak overall score: 4.7/10.

DoorDash operates food and goods delivery Marketplaces across more than 40 countries under the DoorDash, Wolt, and Deliveroo brands, serving over 56 million monthly active users and over 35 million subscription members as of December 2025. Revenue comes from per-transaction fees... Read more

$195.84+20.1% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#17 of 21 Internet Retail
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield2.74%
Stop $175.27Target $226.26(analyst − 8%)A.R:R 1.3:1
Analyst target$245.94+25.6%41 analysts
$226.26our TP
$195.84price
$245.94mean
$172
$350

Sell if holding. At $195.84, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Overbought (RSI 81); Weak overall score: 4.7/10. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 81. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 36d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About DoorDash, Inc.

About DoorDash, Inc.

DoorDash's three Marketplaces — DoorDash, Wolt, and Deliveroo — operated across more than 40 countries as of December 31, 2025, serving over 56 million monthly active users and hosting more than 35 million paid, trial, and partnership membership accounts across DashPass, Wolt+, and Deliveroo Plus. Over 9 million people earned income through the platform in 2025, collectively earning more than $20 billion, supported by over 31,400 employees worldwide.

DoorDash earns revenue from three constituencies: merchants pay percentage-based transaction fees for services including demand generation, order fulfillment, and payment processing; consumers pay per-order delivery and service fees, with membership programs reducing per-transaction charges; and advertisers pay to reach consumers through sponsored placements. The company also offers a Commerce Platform (Drive) providing white-label fulfillment, online ordering tools, branded mobile apps, and tableside payments for merchants on their own channels. In local food delivery — the largest segment of the business — the company competes with Amazon, Uber Eats, Prosus, Delivery Hero, and merchant-owned ordering platforms. Merchant agreements are generally terminable on 7 or 30 days' notice. Dashers, classified as independent contractors in most geographies, choose if, when, and where to work with each task.

Show full overview

The classification of over 9 million Dashers as independent contractors rather than employees exposes DoorDash to reclassification risk across all operating jurisdictions. Under U.S. federal or state law, or the laws of non-U.S. jurisdictions, a reclassification ruling could materially increase labor costs and alter the platform's cost structure. California and other jurisdictions have already enacted minimum wage mandates that apply to gig-economy workers, and the 10-K identifies changes in immigration and labor law as factors that may reduce the available Dasher pool — a scenario where constrained Dasher supply could impair fulfillment capacity and consumer experience simultaneously.

See also: Consumer Cyclical · Internet Retail

From DoorDash, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-07
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 10, 202636d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Analyst upside: 20%
Risks
Weak overall score: 4.7/10
Overbought (RSI 81)
Below 200-MA, MA slope -6.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)91.0
P/E (Fwd)24.6
Mkt Cap$83.7B
EV/EBITDA60.3
Profit Mgn6.3%
ROE9.9%
Rev Growth33.1%
Beta1.78
DividendNone
Rating analysts52

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.47bullish
IV68%elevated
Max Pain$80-59.2% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.6
Bollinger
1.8
52w Position
3.2

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.3
Quality Rank
3.6
Growth Rank
7.6
GatesA.R:R 1.3 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.5<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.5>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 36d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
81 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $146.11Resistance $196.79

Price Targets

$175
$226
A.Upside+15.5%
A.R:R1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 1.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-10 (36d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DASH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $195.84, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Overbought (RSI 81); Weak overall score: 4.7/10. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 81. Prior stop was $175.27. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DASH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $226.26 (+20.1% upside). Prior stop was $175.27. Stop-loss: $175.27.

What are the risks of investing in DASH?

Weak overall score: 4.7/10; Overbought (RSI 81); Below 200-MA, MA slope -6.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is DASH overvalued or undervalued?

DoorDash, Inc. trades at a P/E of 91.0 (forward 24.6). TrendMatrix value score: 4.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DASH?

52 analysts cover DASH with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $246.

What does DoorDash, Inc. do?DoorDash operates food and goods delivery Marketplaces across more than 40 countries under the DoorDash, Wolt, and...

DoorDash operates food and goods delivery Marketplaces across more than 40 countries under the DoorDash, Wolt, and Deliveroo brands, serving over 56 million monthly active users and over 35 million subscription members as of December 2025. Revenue comes from per-transaction fees charged to merchants and consumers, advertising, and a white-label Commerce Platform serving merchants on their own channels.

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