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eBay Inc. (EBAY) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Internet Retail

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $100.90, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0.

eBay operates a global third-party marketplace connecting 135 million buyers with sellers across 190+ markets, enabling nearly $80 billion in Gross Merchandise Volume in 2025. Revenue is generated primarily from transaction fees, first-party advertising (Promoted Listings), and... Read more

$100.90+4.2% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#12 of 18 Internet Retail
Stop $93.87Target $105.19(resistance)A.R:R -0.9:1
Analyst target$100.87-0.0%30 analysts
$105.19our TP
$100.90price
$100.87mean
$60
$132

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $100.90, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0. Chart setup: RSI 59 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, news boost analyst cluster(4), earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.60)
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)24.0
P/E (Fwd)15.6
Mkt Cap$46.5B
EV/EBITDA18.7
Profit Mgn18.3%
ROE40.8%
Rev Growth15.0%
Beta1.33
Dividend1.19%
Rating analysts41

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.83neutral
IV48%normal
Max Pain$55-45.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicUnited Kingdom and Germany
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our international businesses, especially in the United Kingdom and Germany, and in cross-border sales from Greater China, have generated nearly half of our net revenues in recent years'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-24Item 5.02LOW
    Brian H. Sharples appointed to eBay Board of Directors effective March 20, 2026; Board size increased to 12 members. Term expires at 2026 annual meeting. No arrangement or related party interest cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
6.2
GatesA.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70NEWS BOOST ANALYST CLUSTER(4)EARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $91.71Resistance $107.34

Price Targets

$94
$105
A.Upside+4.3%
A.R:R-0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.1% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-29 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EBAY stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $100.90, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0. Chart setup: RSI 59 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $105.19 (+4.3%), stop $93.87 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.9:1. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EBAY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $105.19 (+4.2% upside). Target $105.19 (+4.3%), stop $93.87 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.9:1. Stop-loss: $93.87.

What are the risks of investing in EBAY?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0; Weak growth.

Is EBAY overvalued or undervalued?

eBay Inc. trades at a P/E of 24.0 (forward 15.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about EBAY?

41 analysts cover EBAY with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $101.

What does eBay Inc. do?eBay operates a global third-party marketplace connecting 135 million buyers with sellers across 190+ markets, enabling...

eBay operates a global third-party marketplace connecting 135 million buyers with sellers across 190+ markets, enabling nearly $80 billion in Gross Merchandise Volume in 2025. Revenue is generated primarily from transaction fees, first-party advertising (Promoted Listings), and shipping services, with international operations generating nearly half of net revenues.

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