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DoorDash, Inc. (DASH) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Internet Retail

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $162.35 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

DoorDash operates local commerce marketplaces (DoorDash, Wolt, Deliveroo) in 40+ countries, connecting merchants, consumers, and couriers with 56M+ monthly active users and 35M+ membership subscribers as of December 2025. Revenue comes from marketplace fees charged to merchants... Read more

$162.35+39.1% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#14 of 18 Internet Retail
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield3.24%
Stop $151.28Target $226.31(analyst − 8%)A.R:R 4.0:1
Analyst target$245.99+51.5%42 analysts
$226.31our TP
$162.35price
$245.99mean
$350

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $162.35 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 83d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — DoorDash, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Analyst upside: 39%
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3)
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)77.1
P/E (Fwd)20.9
Mkt Cap$70.9B
EV/EBITDA50.8
Profit Mgn6.3%
ROE9.9%
Rev Growth33.1%
Beta1.87
DividendNone
Rating analysts54

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.05bearish
IV58%elevated
Max Pain$110-32.2% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
3.6
Growth Rank
7.8

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Ma Position
1.0
Volume
3.2
Rsi
4.5
Obv
10.0
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.8%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.7<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 4.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 83d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
42 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $148.00Resistance $190.53

Price Targets

$151
$226
A.Upside+39.4%
A.R:R4.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.7/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-10 (83d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DASH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $162.35 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $151.28. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.

What is the DASH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $226.31 (+39.1% upside). Prior stop was $151.28. Stop-loss: $151.28.

What are the risks of investing in DASH?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is DASH overvalued or undervalued?

DoorDash, Inc. trades at a P/E of 77.1 (forward 20.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DASH?

54 analysts cover DASH with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $246.

What does DoorDash, Inc. do?DoorDash operates local commerce marketplaces (DoorDash, Wolt, Deliveroo) in 40+ countries, connecting merchants,...

DoorDash operates local commerce marketplaces (DoorDash, Wolt, Deliveroo) in 40+ countries, connecting merchants, consumers, and couriers with 56M+ monthly active users and 35M+ membership subscribers as of December 2025. Revenue comes from marketplace fees charged to merchants and consumers plus advertising; no single customer represents a material concentration.

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