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CYHCommunity Health Systems, Inc.Sell4.1·$3.81+3.67%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

CYH shows a strong momentum surge and a peer-relative value discount, but the engine flags a cyclical valuation trap, a quality score right at its exit floor, and negative options-implied asymmetry that together argue for caution.

Thesis pillars

  • Overbought Momentum SurgeStable
  • Cyclical Valuation TrapStable
  • Quality Below Floor Exit SignalStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Community Health Systems, Inc. (CYH) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueQualityModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Care Facilities

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $3.81: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 4.80; Below-average business quality.

Community Health Systems operates 69 affiliated hospitals with more than 10,000 licensed beds across 36 markets in 14 states, plus over 1,000 outpatient sites including physician practices and surgery centers. The company earns revenue from general and specialized hospital and... Read more

$3.81+1.1% A.UpsideScore 4.1/10#34 of 36 Medical Care Facilities
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield61.48%
Stop $3.53Target $3.84(resistance)A.R:R -1.6:1
Analyst target$3.31-13.0%7 analysts
$3.84our TP
$3.81price
$3.31mean
$2
$5

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $3.81: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 4.80; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 17d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Community Health Systems, Inc.

About Community Health Systems, Inc.

Community Health Systems ended 2025 operating 69 affiliated hospitals with 10,458 licensed beds and more than 1,000 non-hospital care sites across 36 distinct markets in 14 states, down from 76 hospitals a year earlier following divestitures. The company recorded 399,255 admissions and 898,223 adjusted admissions in 2025, compared with 422,040 and 958,531 respectively in 2024, reflecting both the divestitures and softer inpatient volume. About 1,700 employed physicians and 1,400 licensed healthcare practitioners support care delivery across the network.

Community Health Systems earns revenue from general acute care, emergency, surgical, obstetric, diagnostic, psychiatric, and rehabilitation services delivered through its hospitals and outpatient sites, reimbursed by governmental agencies such as Medicare and Medicaid, private insurers, and patients directly. The company centralizes billing and collections through three regional business offices and standardizes supply chain, finance, and human-resources functions on a single enterprise resource planning platform to control costs. It holds a noncontrolling ownership interest in HealthTrust Purchasing Group, a group purchasing organization that contracts with vendors supplying a substantial portion of the company's medical supplies, equipment, and pharmaceuticals. Its growth strategy centers on strengthening 12 existing regional hospital networks, expanding outpatient access points such as urgent care and ambulatory surgery centers, and recruiting physicians through 11 Medicare Shared Savings Program accountable care organizations covering roughly 2,900 physicians.

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A risk more specific to Community Health Systems than to the broader hospital sector is its geographic concentration: the 10-K states that revenues are somewhat concentrated in a relatively small number of states, even as CMS projects federal Medicaid spending pressure through 2027 tied to the expiration of enhanced Affordable Care Act marketplace subsidies and the 2025 Reconciliation Law, which is expected to decrease insurance access and reduce federal healthcare spending. Because government and commercial payors dominate hospital reimbursement, a Medicaid contraction concentrated in the company's 14-state footprint would weigh more heavily on it than on a more geographically diversified hospital operator.

See also: Healthcare · Medical Care Facilities

From Community Health Systems, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 22, 202617d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Cyclical trap - fwd PE 41x vs trail 1x (36.2x)
Target reached (-24.1% upside)
Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)1.1
P/E (Fwd)41.1
Mkt Cap$550M
EV/EBITDA8.0
Profit Mgn3.8%
ROE
Rev Growth-6.1%
Beta1.81
DividendNone
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C4.80bearish
IV94%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWGeographica relatively small number of states
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our revenues are somewhat concentrated in a relatively small number of states.'
  • MEDIUMSuppliervendors supplying medical supplies, equipment and pharmaceuticals
    10-K Item 1: 'HealthTrust contracts with certain vendors who supply a substantial portion of our medical supplies, equipment and pharmaceuticals.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -6.1% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
1.0
Declining revenue: -6%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Risk profile below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Days To Cover
1.2
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Volatility
3.1
Beta
4.0
Short Interest
5.2
Elevated put/call: 4.80High IV: 94%Above max pain $1

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.3
Support Resistance
1.0
52w Position
7.2

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings History
5.6
GatesA.R:R -1.6=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 17d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
74 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $2.72Resistance $3.92

Price Targets

$4
$4
A.Upside+0.8%
A.R:R-1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Cyclical trap - fwd PE 41x vs trail 1x (36.2x)
! Target reached (-24.1% upside)
! Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (17d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CYH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $3.81: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 4.80; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $3.53. Score 4.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CYH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $3.84 (+1.1% upside). Prior stop was $3.53. Stop-loss: $3.53.

What are the risks of investing in CYH?

Cyclical trap - fwd PE 41x vs trail 1x (36.2x); Target reached (-24.1% upside); Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0).

Is CYH overvalued or undervalued?

Community Health Systems, Inc. trades at a P/E of 1.1 (forward 41.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CYH?

16 analysts cover CYH with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $3.

What does Community Health Systems, Inc. do?Community Health Systems operates 69 affiliated hospitals with more than 10,000 licensed beds across 36 markets in 14...

Community Health Systems operates 69 affiliated hospitals with more than 10,000 licensed beds across 36 markets in 14 states, plus over 1,000 outpatient sites including physician practices and surgery centers. The company earns revenue from general and specialized hospital and outpatient services, reimbursed by governmental agencies, private insurers, and patients directly.

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