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CTVACorteva, Inc.Hold5.9·$89.27+0.55%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

A three-quarter earnings beat streak and exceptional free-cash-flow quality underpin the fundamental case, but 7% upside to the analyst target and momentum sitting just below the required threshold leave this name in a hold posture rather than a compelling add.

Thesis pillars

  • Technical Pullback In UptrendImproving
  • Constrained Upside To TargetStable
  • Earnings Beat DisciplineImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Corteva, Inc. (CTVA) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Agricultural Inputs

Earnings in 5 days (2026-07-30). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $89.27, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.2% away).

Corteva is a leading global provider of seed and crop protection solutions focused on the agriculture industry and contributing to a healthier, more secure and sustainable food supply. Corteva was incorporated in Delaware in March 2018 and maintains its business headquarters in... Read more

$89.27-8.1% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#4 of 9 Agricultural Inputs
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.32%
IncomeYield0.81%(5y avg 1.06%)Payout38.38%sustainable
Entry $81.98(support + ATR)Stop $78.58Target $87.60(resistance)A.R:R -0.9:1
Analyst target$91.10+2.0%20 analysts
$87.60our TP
$89.27price
$91.10mean
$77
$103

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $89.27, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.2% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 61, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $89.25 has reached target $87.60. No upside to wait for. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news boost analyst 0.60, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and 8k serious 2.05,2.06 and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26

Recent Developments — Corteva, Inc.

Material events (past 30 days)

  • 8K Jun 29, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: On June 26, 2026, each of Karen Grimes, Marcos Lutz, Charles Magro, and Kerry Preete have mutually agreed with the board of directors (the "Board") of Corteva Inc.

Generated 2026-07-26T08:02:04Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 20265d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+1.00)
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.2% away)
Earnings in 5 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)48.2
P/E (Fwd)21.6
Mkt Cap$59.7B
EV/EBITDA14.8
Profit Mgn6.5%
ROE5.1%
Rev Growth11.0%
Beta0.56
Dividend0.81%
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.43bullish
IV40%normal

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-29Item 5.02MEDIUM
    On June 26, 2026, each of Karen Grimes, Marcos Lutz, Charles Magro, and Kerry Preete have mutually agreed with the board of directors (the "Board") of Corteva Inc.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-06-12Item 2.05MEDIUM
    Costs Associated with Exit or Disposal Activities Corteva, Inc. (the "Company") has been executing a multi-year footprint optimization and productivity initiative designed to enhance efficiency and reduce structural costs across its global operations (the "Crop Protection Operations Strategy Rest...
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-06-12Item 2.06MEDIUM
    UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549 FORM 8-K/A Amendment No. 1 CURRENT REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 Date of Report (Date of Earliest Event Reported): November 8, 2023 Corteva, Inc.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.2
Bollinger
0.4
52w Position
10.0
GatesA.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVE8K SERIOUS 2.05,2.06EARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dMomentum 7.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.60SEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
61 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $81.01Resistance $89.39

Price Targets

$79
$82
$88
A.Upside-8.1%
A.R:R-0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.6%
Max %1.2%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.1% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CTVA stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $89.27, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.2% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 61, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $89.25 has reached target $87.60. No upside to wait for. Target $87.60 (-1.9%), stop $78.58 (−13.6%), A.R:R -0.9:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CTVA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $87.60 (-8.1% upside). Target $87.60 (-1.9%), stop $78.58 (−13.6%), A.R:R -0.9:1. Stop-loss: $78.58.

What are the risks of investing in CTVA?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.2% away); Earnings in 5 days (event risk).

Is CTVA overvalued or undervalued?

Corteva, Inc. trades at a P/E of 48.2 (forward 21.6). TrendMatrix value score: 4.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CTVA?

30 analysts cover CTVA with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $91.

What does Corteva, Inc. do?Corteva is a leading global provider of seed and crop protection solutions focused on the agriculture industry and...

Corteva is a leading global provider of seed and crop protection solutions focused on the agriculture industry and contributing to a healthier, more secure and sustainable food supply. Corteva was incorporated in Delaware in March 2018 and maintains its business headquarters in Indianapolis, Indiana.

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