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CTSCTS CorporationSell5.3·$63.47+1.44%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

A high-quality business with a wide economic moat, strong returns, and a perfect 9/9 Piotroski F-Score has delivered earnings beats in three of the four most recent quarters — but the stock has overshot the analyst consensus fair value by roughly 26%, sits within 0.9% of the technical take-profit resistance, and produces a risk/reward of 0.13, making the current entry deeply unfavorable.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Compounder Wide MoatStable
  • Earnings Beat Delivery RecordStable
  • Price Overshot Analyst Fair ValueDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

CTS Corporation (CTS) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Electronic Components

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $63.47 — A.R:R is negative (-1.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak growth.

CTS Corporation is a global manufacturer of sensors, connectivity components, and actuators sold mainly to OEMs and tier-one suppliers in the transportation, industrial, medical, and aerospace and defense markets. The company generated 43% of 2025 net sales from transportation... Read more

$63.47-13.0% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#26 of 28 Electronic Components
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield4.04%
IncomeYield0.25%(5y avg 0.38%)Payout6.69%sustainable
Stop $59.03Target $66.63(resistance)A.R:R -1.5:1
Analyst target$65.00+2.4%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $63.47 — A.R:R is negative (-1.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak growth. Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (news events none recent, earnings proximity 73d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Oct 27, 202673d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Weak growth
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)26.2
P/E (Fwd)21.0
Mkt Cap$1.8B
EV/EBITDA14.0
Profit Mgn12.4%
ROE12.4%
Rev Growth7.0%
Beta1.05
Dividend0.25%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.33bullish
IV66%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerToyota Motor Corporation11%
    10-K Item 1: 'Toyota Motor Corporation | | 11.2% | | 12.2% | | 12.5%'
  • LOWCustomerCummins, Inc.8.4%
    10-K Item 1: 'Cummins, Inc. | | 8.4% | | 11.7% | | 15.0%'
  • MEDIUMGeographicnon-U.S. operations44%
    10-K Item 1: 'Net sales from non-U.S. operations | | 43.7% | | 42.0% | | 45.0%'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-25Item 5.02MEDIUM
    CEO Kieran O'Sullivan will step down effective July 6, 2026 to become Executive Chairman; COO Pratik Trivedi named President and CEO effective the same date, a planned succession with a named internal replacement.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
3.3
Revenue Growth
4.2

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
1.7
Macd
1.9
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.8<4.5A.R:R -1.5=NEGATIVEINSIDER 0.47%=HEAVYExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 73d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
58 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $58.56Resistance $67.99

Price Targets

$59
$67
A.Upside-13.0%
A.R:R-1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-13.0% upside)
! momentum at 3.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-27 (73d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CTS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $63.47 — A.R:R is negative (-1.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak growth. Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $59.03. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CTS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $66.63 (-13.0% upside). Prior stop was $59.03. Stop-loss: $59.03.

What are the risks of investing in CTS?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth; Negative momentum.

Is CTS overvalued or undervalued?

CTS Corporation trades at a P/E of 26.2 (forward 21.0). TrendMatrix value score: 5.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CTS?

8 analysts cover CTS with a consensus score of 2.3/5. Average price target: $65.

What does CTS Corporation do?CTS Corporation is a global manufacturer of sensors, connectivity components, and actuators sold mainly to OEMs and...

CTS Corporation is a global manufacturer of sensors, connectivity components, and actuators sold mainly to OEMs and tier-one suppliers in the transportation, industrial, medical, and aerospace and defense markets. The company generated 43% of 2025 net sales from transportation customers, with Toyota Motor Corporation and Cummins, Inc. its two largest named customers at 11.2% and 8.4% of net sales, respectively, and non-U.S. operations contributing 43.7% of net sales.

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