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CTSCTS CorporationBuy Wait5.9·$59.99-1.53%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

A high-quality business with a wide economic moat, strong returns, and a perfect 9/9 Piotroski F-Score has delivered earnings beats in three of the four most recent quarters — but the stock has overshot the analyst consensus fair value by roughly 26%, sits within 0.9% of the technical take-profit resistance, and produces a risk/reward of 0.13, making the current entry deeply unfavorable.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Compounder Wide MoatStable
  • Earnings Beat Delivery RecordStable
  • Price Overshot Analyst Fair ValueStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

CTS Corporation (CTS) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 2/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Technology · Electronic Components

Earnings in 3 days (2026-07-28). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $58.06. Insider activity concern; also weak momentum, recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $59.99. Engine's entry $58.06 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.5%), Material insider selling (10 sells, 0.15% of cap).

CTS Corporation is a global manufacturer of sensors, connectivity components, and actuators sold mainly to OEMs and tier-one suppliers in the transportation, industrial, medical, and aerospace and defense markets. The company generated 43% of 2025 net sales from transportation... Read more

$59.99-17.8% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#8 of 29 Electronic Components
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield4.00%
IncomeYield0.26%(5y avg 0.38%)Payout6.84%sustainable
Entry $58.06(1 ATR pullback)Stop $55.26Target $64.71(resistance)A.R:R -2.8:1
Analyst target$58.00-3.3%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Wait for pullback to $58.06. Insider activity concern; also weak momentum, recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $59.99. Engine's entry $58.06 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.5%), Material insider selling (10 sells, 0.15% of cap). Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/9 gates (positive momentum, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 28, 20263d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.5%), Material insider selling (10 sells, 0.15% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)25.6
P/E (Fwd)20.8
Mkt Cap$1.7B
EV/EBITDA13.8
Profit Mgn12.5%
ROE12.6%
Rev Growth10.7%
Beta1.04
Dividend0.26%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.11bullish
IV65%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerToyota Motor Corporation11%
    10-K Item 1: 'Toyota Motor Corporation | | 11.2% | | 12.2% | | 12.5%'
  • LOWCustomerCummins, Inc.8.4%
    10-K Item 1: 'Cummins, Inc. | | 8.4% | | 11.7% | | 15.0%'
  • MEDIUMGeographicnon-U.S. operations44%
    10-K Item 1: 'Net sales from non-U.S. operations | | 43.7% | | 42.0% | | 45.0%'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-25Item 5.02MEDIUM
    CEO Kieran O'Sullivan will step down effective July 6, 2026 to become Executive Chairman; COO Pratik Trivedi named President and CEO effective the same date, a planned succession with a named internal replacement.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -2.8=NEGATIVEINSIDER 0.49%=HEAVYEARNINGS PROXIMITY 3d<=7dMomentum 4.7<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 4.7>=4.5NEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
49 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $56.97Resistance $66.03

Price Targets

$55
$58
$65
A.Upside-17.8%
A.R:R-2.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-17.8% upside)
! Earnings in 3 days - binary event risk
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (3d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CTS stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $58.06. Insider activity concern; also weak momentum, recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $59.99. Engine's entry $58.06 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.5%), Material insider selling (10 sells, 0.15% of cap). Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $64.71 (+7.9%), stop $55.26 (−8.6%), A.R:R -2.8:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CTS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $64.71 (-17.8% upside). Target $64.71 (+7.9%), stop $55.26 (−8.6%), A.R:R -2.8:1. Stop-loss: $55.26.

What are the risks of investing in CTS?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.5%), Material insider selling (10 sells, 0.15% of cap).

Is CTS overvalued or undervalued?

CTS Corporation trades at a P/E of 25.6 (forward 20.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about CTS?

8 analysts cover CTS with a consensus score of 2.3/5. Average price target: $58.

What does CTS Corporation do?CTS Corporation is a global manufacturer of sensors, connectivity components, and actuators sold mainly to OEMs and...

CTS Corporation is a global manufacturer of sensors, connectivity components, and actuators sold mainly to OEMs and tier-one suppliers in the transportation, industrial, medical, and aerospace and defense markets. The company generated 43% of 2025 net sales from transportation customers, with Toyota Motor Corporation and Cummins, Inc. its two largest named customers at 11.2% and 8.4% of net sales, respectively, and non-U.S. operations contributing 43.7% of net sales.

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