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DAKTDaktronics, Inc.Hold6.2·$19.92+0.05%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Daktronics combines a beat-heavy earnings track record, strong revenue growth of 22% year-over-year, and 25% upside to the price target with a 3.6-to-1 favorable risk/reward — the near-term case is reinforced by earnings due in 8 days and a cluster of four analyst upgrades; the primary risk is operating margin compression to 1.1% and financial leverage at 3.8 times debt-to-equity that leave a thin cushion against any revenue or cost shock.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation With Large UpsideStable
  • Strong Revenue Growth MomentumStable
  • Leverage And Margin Compression RiskStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Daktronics, Inc. (DAKT) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Inst Constrain edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Electronic Components

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $19.92, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States manufacturing output (80.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source or limited number of suppliers.

Daktronics designs, manufactures, and installs electronic display systems for sports, commercial, and transportation venues, organized into Commercial, Live Events, High School Park and Recreation, Transportation, and International segments. The company manufactures roughly 80%... Read more

$19.92+35.1% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#4 of 29 Electronic Components
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield0.47%
Stop $18.53Target $26.92(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 3.5:1
Analyst target$31.67+59.0%3 analysts
$26.92our TP
$19.92price
$31.67mean
$34

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $19.92, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States manufacturing output (80.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source or limited number of suppliers. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity 67d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Daktronics, Inc.

About Daktronics, Inc.

Daktronics manufactures roughly 80 percent of its electronic display output in the United States, primarily in South Dakota and Minnesota, with additional plants in China and Ireland and a new Saltillo, Mexico facility planned for fiscal 2027. The company sources components from more than 40 countries, with China historically a significant supplier of LEDs, printed circuit boards, and other semiconductor-related parts. Organized into five reportable segments -- Commercial, Live Events, High School Park and Recreation, Transportation, and International -- Daktronics employed 2,693 people globally and carried a $356.2 million product order backlog as of May 2, 2026, up from $341.6 million a year earlier.

Daktronics earns revenue from integrated display-system hardware sales, installation, and recurring service agreements, selling large stadium and commercial systems through a direct sales force while relying on resellers and AV integrators for standard catalog products such as video boards and dynamic message signs outside its core markets. Its Venus Control Suite, All Sport, Show Control, and Camino software products manage and drive its display hardware, and many large projects are structured as fixed-price contracts where the company bears the risk of cost overruns. On the input side, the company has experienced cost inflation in aluminum, used extensively in display cabinets and structures, and in semiconductor memory and other electronic components, driven partly by rising computing-component demand tied to artificial intelligence and data-center buildouts. It mitigates supply risk through pricing agreements, prepayments, and purchase commitments with suppliers that generally run no longer than one year.

Show full overview

Daktronics' supply chain carries single-source exposure: the 10-K states that the company depends on a single-source or a limited number of suppliers for raw materials and components sourced from countries around the world, and that its semiconductor-type components sourced or packaged directly or indirectly primarily through suppliers in Taiwan or China. Because United States tariff rates on these imports have ranged from roughly 10 percent to substantially higher levels, and China has historically supplied a significant share of Daktronics' semiconductor-related components, further U.S.-China trade escalation would concentrate cost and availability risk in a narrow supplier base rather than a diversified one.

See also: Technology · Electronic Components

From Daktronics, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-07
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Sep 10, 202667d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+1.00)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: United States manufacturing output (80.0%)
Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source or limited number of suppliers
Leverage penalty (D/E 6.0): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.6
P/E (Fwd)13.6
Mkt Cap$961M
EV/EBITDA10.7
Profit Mgn5.4%
ROE15.8%
Rev Growth20.9%
Beta1.67
DividendNone
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV67%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicUnited States manufacturing output80%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our complex manufacturing processes in the United States, which generate approximately 80 percent of our manufactured output, rely on components and inputs sourced from over 40 countries.'
  • HIGHSuppliersingle-source or limited number of suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'We depend on a single-source or a limited number of suppliers for our raw materials and components from countries around the world.'
  • MEDIUMSupplierTaiwan and China semiconductor component suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our supply chain includes semiconductor-type components ... sourced or packaged directly or indirectly primarily through suppliers in Taiwan or China.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-21Item 5.02LOW
    The Board amended Carla Gatzke's (a former named executive officer) transition Consulting Agreement on May 18, 2026, extending it through August 28, 2026 with reduced scope and cutting her monthly consulting fee from $30,000 to $7,500.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 4.7<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 4.7>=4.5A.R:R 3.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY 67d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
46 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $18.97Resistance $21.86

Price Targets

$19
$27
A.Upside+35.1%
A.R:R3.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-10 (67d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DAKT stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $19.92, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States manufacturing output (80.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source or limited number of suppliers. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $26.92 (+35.1%), stop $18.53 (−7.5%), A.R:R 3.5:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DAKT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $26.92 (+35.1% upside). Target $26.92 (+35.1%), stop $18.53 (−7.5%), A.R:R 3.5:1. Stop-loss: $18.53.

What are the risks of investing in DAKT?

Concentration risk — Geographic: United States manufacturing output (80.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source or limited number of suppliers; Leverage penalty (D/E 6.0): -1.5.

Is DAKT overvalued or undervalued?

Daktronics, Inc. trades at a P/E of 21.6 (forward 13.6). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about DAKT?

7 analysts cover DAKT with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $32.

What does Daktronics, Inc. do?Daktronics designs, manufactures, and installs electronic display systems for sports, commercial, and transportation...

Daktronics designs, manufactures, and installs electronic display systems for sports, commercial, and transportation venues, organized into Commercial, Live Events, High School Park and Recreation, Transportation, and International segments. The company manufactures roughly 80% of its output in the United States, employed 2,693 people globally, and carried a $356.2 million order backlog as of May 2, 2026.

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