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CTSCTS CorporationSell5.6·$55.29
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

A high-quality business with a wide economic moat, strong returns, and a perfect 9/9 Piotroski F-Score has delivered earnings beats in three of the four most recent quarters — but the stock has overshot the analyst consensus fair value by roughly 26%, sits within 0.9% of the technical take-profit resistance, and produces a risk/reward of 0.13, making the current entry deeply unfavorable.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Compounder Wide Moat→Stable
  • Earnings Beat Delivery Record↓Deteriorating
  • Price Overshot Analyst Fair Value→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

CTS Corporation (CTS) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Electronic Components

Sell if holding. At $55.29, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 8.6%; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

CTS Corporation is a global manufacturer of sensors, connectivity components, and actuators sold mainly to OEMs and tier-one suppliers in the transportation, industrial, medical, and aerospace and defense markets. The company generated 43% of 2025 net sales from transportation... Read more

$55.29+8.6% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#16 of 28 Electronic Components
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield4.48%
IncomeYield0.28%(5y avg 0.36%)Payout6.69%sustainable
Stop $52.94Target $60.07(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.4:1
Analyst target$70.67+27.8%3 analysts
$60.07our TP
$55.29price
$70.67mean
$80

Sell if holding. At $55.29, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 8.6%; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Oct 27, 202612d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive insider activity
Risks
Thin upside margin: 8.6%
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.6
P/E (Fwd)19.7
Mkt Cap$1.6B
EV/EBITDA12.6
Profit Mgn12.4%
ROE12.4%
Rev Growth7.0%
Beta0.99
Dividend0.28%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.15bullish
IV96%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerToyota Motor Corporation11%
    10-K Item 1: 'Toyota Motor Corporation | | 11.2% | | 12.2% | | 12.5%'
  • LOWCustomerCummins, Inc.8.4%
    10-K Item 1: 'Cummins, Inc. | | 8.4% | | 11.7% | | 15.0%'
  • MEDIUMGeographicnon-U.S. operations44%
    10-K Item 1: 'Net sales from non-U.S. operations | | 43.7% | | 42.0% | | 45.0%'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-25Item 5.02MEDIUM
    CEO Kieran O'Sullivan will step down effective July 6, 2026 to become Executive Chairman; COO Pratik Trivedi named President and CEO effective the same date, a planned succession with a named internal replacement.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Volume
2.7
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 30, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+4.1%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
3.3
Revenue Growth
4.2
GatesMomentum 1.8<4.5A.R:R 1.4 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentEARNINGS PROXIMITY 12d<=14d (soft)Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
30 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $54.58Resistance $63.10

Price Targets

$53
$60
A.Upside+8.6%
A.R:R1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 1.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.4 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-27 (12d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CTS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $55.29, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 8.6%; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $52.94. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CTS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $60.07 (+8.6% upside). Prior stop was $52.94. Stop-loss: $52.94.

What are the risks of investing in CTS?

Thin upside margin: 8.6%; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Weak growth.

Is CTS overvalued or undervalued?

CTS Corporation trades at a P/E of 23.6 (forward 19.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CTS?

8 analysts cover CTS with a consensus score of 2.3/5. Average price target: $71.

What does CTS Corporation do?CTS Corporation is a global manufacturer of sensors, connectivity components, and actuators sold mainly to OEMs and...

CTS Corporation is a global manufacturer of sensors, connectivity components, and actuators sold mainly to OEMs and tier-one suppliers in the transportation, industrial, medical, and aerospace and defense markets. The company generated 43% of 2025 net sales from transportation customers, with Toyota Motor Corporation and Cummins, Inc. its two largest named customers at 11.2% and 8.4% of net sales, respectively, and non-U.S. operations contributing 43.7% of net sales.

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