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LYTSLSI Industries Inc.Sell6.3·$21.16
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

LSI Industries has a perfect 4-quarter EPS beat streak, but a negative free-cash-flow-to-earnings ratio, extreme insider selling, a valuation already at its price target, and weakening momentum all argue for caution despite the headline beat record.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Streak↑Improving
  • Fcf Earnings Quality Flag→Stable
  • Extreme Insider Selling→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

LSI Industries Inc. (LYTS) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Electronic Components

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $21.16: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.3/10 and A.R:R 3.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

LSI Industries makes non-residential lighting and retail display solutions through two segments: Lighting at 43% and Display Solutions at 57% of fiscal 2025 net sales of $573.4 million. It sells to refueling and convenience store, grocery, quick-service restaurant and other... Read more

$21.16+20.5% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#3 of 28 Electronic Components
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-0.86%
IncomeYield0.96%(5y avg 1.34%)Payout29.85%sustainable
Stop $19.92Target $25.50(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 3.4:1
Analyst target$30.00+41.8%3 analysts
$25.50our TP
$21.16price
$30.00mean
$31

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $21.16: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.3/10 and A.R:R 3.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About LSI Industries Inc.

About LSI Industries Inc.

LSI Industries reported fiscal 2025 net sales of $573.4 million, up from $469.6 million, with the Display Solutions Segment contributing $325.0 million or 57% and the Lighting Segment $248.4 million or 43%. The company runs eighteen manufacturing facilities across eleven U.S. states, one leased site in Mexico and two Canadian provinces, and had approximately 2,000 full-time and part-time employees plus about 175 agency employees at June 30, 2025.

The Lighting Segment sells outdoor and indoor fixtures and controls for refueling and convenience stores, parking lots and garages, quick-service restaurants, grocery and pharmacy, automotive dealerships and sports fields, mainly through manufacturers' sales representatives and electrical distributors. The Display Solutions Segment sells signage, canopy and pump graphics, digital menu boards, refrigerated displays, fixtures and installation services, usually under multi-site program rollouts for established customers. Acquisitions drove growth: EMI Industries joined in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2024 and Canada's Best Holdings in the third quarter of fiscal 2025. About 3% of net sales come from outside the United States. The principal inputs are steel, aluminum, LEDs, power supplies and graphics substrates, and the 10-K says the company is not dependent on any one supplier for critical components. Research and development cost $3.3 million in fiscal 2025.

Show full overview

Vertical concentration is the sharper exposure. The 10-K states a concentration of sales in the refueling and convenience store and grocery markets, where petroleum industry conditions can curtail expansion and refurbishing of retail outlets and where grocery consolidation may change purchasing decisions by larger customers. In Lighting, commissioned sales representatives are critical, and a regional turnover can cut sales for several months. In Display Solutions, customers sometimes commit to proprietary inventory, and a canceled rollout could leave the company with obsolete stock and write-offs.

See also: Technology · Electronic Components

From LSI Industries Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted October 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-14

Recent Developments — LSI Industries Inc.

Generated 2026-10-14T11:32:19Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 2026· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Display Solutions Segment (57.0%)
Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -39.1%), High leverage (D/E 4.7)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)31.5
P/E (Fwd)12.0
Mkt Cap$775M
EV/EBITDA16.1
Profit Mgn3.3%
ROE7.6%
Rev Growth51.3%
Beta0.48
Dividend0.96%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.30bullish
IV192%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductDisplay Solutions Segment57%
    10-K Item 1: 'the Lighting Segment, which represented 43% of our fiscal 2025 net sales and the Display Solutions Segment, which represented 57% of our fiscal 2025 net sales'
  • MEDIUMCustomerrefueling and convenience store and grocery markets
    10-K Item 1A: 'The Company has a concentration of sales in the refueling and convenience store and grocery markets.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.5
Support Resistance
2.2
52w Position
5.5

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Fcf Quality
0.0
Gross Margin
1.0
Net Margin
1.6
Roe
2.5
Roa
3.3
Operating Margin
4.2
Moat
4.9
Current Ratio
6.9
Piotroski F
7.8
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -29% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
GatesINSIDER 0.24%=MODERATEMomentum 6.0>=5.5A.R:R 3.4 ≥ 1.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
63 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $19.90Resistance $21.51

Price Targets

$20
$26
A.Upside+20.5%
A.R:R3.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -39.1%), High leverage (D/E 4.7)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LYTS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $21.16: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.3/10 and A.R:R 3.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $19.92. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LYTS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $25.50 (+20.5% upside). Prior stop was $19.92. Stop-loss: $19.92.

What are the risks of investing in LYTS?

Concentration risk — Product: Display Solutions Segment (57.0%); Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -39.1%), High leverage (D/E 4.7).

Is LYTS overvalued or undervalued?

LSI Industries Inc. trades at a P/E of 31.5 (forward 12.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LYTS?

10 analysts cover LYTS with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $30.

What does LSI Industries Inc. do?LSI Industries makes non-residential lighting and retail display solutions through two segments: Lighting at 43% and...

LSI Industries makes non-residential lighting and retail display solutions through two segments: Lighting at 43% and Display Solutions at 57% of fiscal 2025 net sales of $573.4 million. It sells to refueling and convenience store, grocery, quick-service restaurant and other retail verticals, mostly in the United States, and operates eighteen manufacturing facilities. It acquired EMI Industries in fiscal 2024 and Canada's Best Holdings in fiscal 2025.

Related stocks: KOPN (Kopin Corporation) · LPTH (LightPath Technologies, Inc.) · DAKT (Daktronics, Inc.) · PLXS (Plexus Corp.) · MEI (Methode Electronics, Inc.)
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