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CNKCinemark Holdings Inc Cinemark Sell6.3·$33.02+2.64%
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Cinemark Holdings Inc Cinemark (CNK) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Communication Services · Entertainment

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $33.02 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.0% away).

We are a leader and one of the most geographically diverse operators in the theatrical exhibition industry. As of December 31, 2025, we operated 496 theaters and 5,637 screens in the United States, or "U.S.", and Latin America. Our U.S. circuit operated 303 theaters and 4,241... Read more

$33.02+2.1% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#2 of 28 Entertainment
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield6.09%
IncomeYield1.09%(5y avg 4.05%)Payout26.15%sustainable
Stop $30.71Target $33.71(resistance)A.R:R -0.5:1
Analyst target$35.00+6.0%11 analysts
$33.71our TP
$33.02price
$35.00mean
$23
$40

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $33.02 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.0% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.40, earnings proximity 43d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202643d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.0% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 7.7): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)25.4
P/E (Fwd)13.0
Mkt Cap$3.9B
EV/EBITDA11.0
Profit Mgn5.3%
ROE46.6%
Rev Growth18.9%
Beta1.01
Dividend1.09%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.18bullish
IV51%elevated
Max Pain$40+21.1% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.40EARNINGS PROXIMITY 43d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
74 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $25.89Resistance $34.40

Price Targets

$31
$34
A.Upside+2.1%
A.R:R-0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-7.8% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (43d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CNK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $33.02 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.0% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $30.71. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CNK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $33.71 (+2.1% upside). Prior stop was $30.71. Stop-loss: $30.71.

What are the risks of investing in CNK?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.0% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 7.7): -1.5.

Is CNK overvalued or undervalued?

Cinemark Holdings Inc Cinemark trades at a P/E of 25.4 (forward 13.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CNK?

17 analysts cover CNK with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $35.

What does Cinemark Holdings Inc Cinemark do?We are a leader and one of the most geographically diverse operators in the theatrical exhibition industry. As of...

We are a leader and one of the most geographically diverse operators in the theatrical exhibition industry. As of December 31, 2025, we operated 496 theaters and 5,637 screens in the United States, or "U.S.", and Latin America. Our U.S. circuit operated 303 theaters and 4,241 screens and our Latin America circuit operated 193 theaters and 1,396 screens across 13 countries. Our significant and diverse presence in the U.S.

Related stocks: NWSA (News Corporation) · WMG (Warner Music Group Corp.) · FWONK (Liberty Media Corporation - Ser) · SPHR (Sphere Entertainment Co.) · NWS (News Corporation)
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