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CHYMChime Financial, Inc.Hold6.3·$31.90-0.87%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Chime Financial offers 25% year-over-year revenue growth, a forward P/E of 15.3x with a PEG ratio of 0.12, and a free cash flow margin of 28% despite GAAP losses, but a confirmed technical downtrend — the moving average declining 8.3% over 30 days while the stock sits below it — and a debt-to-equity of 9.2 constrain near-term entry appeal despite an otherwise favorable risk/reward geometry.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Growth Adjusted ValuationDeteriorating
  • Cash Generation Despite Gaap LossImproving
  • Leverage And Downtrend HeadwindImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Chime Financial, Inc. (CHYM) Stock Analysis

HoldGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $31.90, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings expected to decline ~70% (cyclical peak); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Chime Financial runs a mobile-first consumer banking platform serving 9.5 million Active Members in the U.S., targeting adults earning up to $100,000 annually via fee-free checking, savings, secured credit, and short-term liquidity products. Revenue is generated primarily from... Read more

$31.90-4.7% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#30 of 124 Software - Application
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield3.59%
Stop $29.78Target $32.74(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$33.90+6.3%20 analysts
$32.74our TP
$31.90price
$33.90mean
$22
$45

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $31.90, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings expected to decline ~70% (cyclical peak); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 82d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 202682d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Margin of safety: 60%
Risks
Earnings expected to decline ~70% (cyclical peak)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.2% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)6.0
P/E (Fwd)20.0
Mkt Cap$12.2B
EV/EBITDA28.6
Profit Mgn-0.7%
ROE-1.3%
Rev Growth26.8%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.30bullish
IV64%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMProductinterchange-based fees
    10-K Item 1A: 'We earn the significant majority of our revenue through interchange-based fees when our members use their Chime-branded debit or credit cards'
  • MEDIUMSupplierbank partners (Bancorp and Stride)
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our relationships with our bank partners are crucial to our business ... We partner with The Bancorp Bank, N.A. ("Bancorp") ... and with Stride Bank, N.A. ("Stride")'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.1
Bollinger
1.4
52w Position
6.6
GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 82d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
84 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $20.23Resistance $33.41

Price Targets

$30
$33
A.Upside-4.7%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Cyclical trap - fwd PE 20x vs trail 6x (3.3x)
! Target reached (-4.7% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (82d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CHYM stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $31.90, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings expected to decline ~70% (cyclical peak); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $32.74 (+2.6%), stop $29.78 (−7.1%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CHYM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $32.74 (-4.7% upside). Target $32.74 (+2.6%), stop $29.78 (−7.1%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Stop-loss: $29.78.

What are the risks of investing in CHYM?

Earnings expected to decline ~70% (cyclical peak); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.2% away).

Is CHYM overvalued or undervalued?

Chime Financial, Inc. trades at a P/E of 6.0 (forward 20.0). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CHYM?

28 analysts cover CHYM with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $34.

What does Chime Financial, Inc. do?Chime Financial runs a mobile-first consumer banking platform serving 9.5 million Active Members in the U.S., targeting...

Chime Financial runs a mobile-first consumer banking platform serving 9.5 million Active Members in the U.S., targeting adults earning up to $100,000 annually via fee-free checking, savings, secured credit, and short-term liquidity products. Revenue is generated primarily from interchange fees on Visa-branded debit and credit cards, with banking services delivered through partners The Bancorp Bank, N.A. and Stride Bank, N.A.

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