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CHYMChime Financial, Inc.Sell5.8·$33.72+0.91%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Chime Financial offers 25% year-over-year revenue growth, a forward P/E of 15.3x with a PEG ratio of 0.12, and a free cash flow margin of 28% despite GAAP losses, but a confirmed technical downtrend — the moving average declining 8.3% over 30 days while the stock sits below it — and a debt-to-equity of 9.2 constrain near-term entry appeal despite an otherwise favorable risk/reward geometry.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Growth Adjusted ValuationStable
  • Cash Generation Despite Gaap LossStable
  • Leverage And Downtrend HeadwindImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Chime Financial, Inc. (CHYM) Stock Analysis

SellGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $33.72: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10. Specifically: Negative price momentum.

Chime Financial runs a mobile-first consumer banking platform serving 9.5 million Active Members in the U.S., targeting adults earning up to $100,000 annually via fee-free checking, savings, secured credit, and short-term liquidity products. Revenue is generated primarily from... Read more

$33.72-6.3% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#58 of 122 Software - Application
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield3.44%
Stop $31.29Target $38.70(default +15%)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$35.05+3.9%21 analysts
$38.70our TP
$33.72price
$35.05mean
$22
$45

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $33.72: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10. Specifically: Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 61d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-04
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 202661d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Cyclical trap - fwd PE 21x vs trail 6x (3.4x)
Target reached (-6.3% upside)
Heavy insider selling (2.0 < 2.5)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)6.2
P/E (Fwd)20.9
Mkt Cap$12.7B
EV/EBITDA30.6
Profit Mgn-0.7%
ROE-1.3%
Rev Growth26.8%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.16bullish
IV53%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMProductinterchange-based fees
    10-K Item 1A: 'We earn the significant majority of our revenue through interchange-based fees when our members use their Chime-branded debit or credit cards'
  • MEDIUMSupplierbank partners (Bancorp and Stride)
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our relationships with our bank partners are crucial to our business ... We partner with The Bancorp Bank, N.A. ("Bancorp") ... and with Stride Bank, N.A. ("Stride")'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Insiders leaning net-seller recently. Could be diversification/taxes rather than view, but the signal is not supportive.static

Materiality
2.0
Insider Conviction
2.0
Heavy insider selling — $470,813,018 (3.696% of mkt cap)

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.1
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEINSIDER 3.70%=EXTREMENo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 61d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
60 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $28.74Resistance $34.44

Price Targets

$31
$39
A.Upside-6.3%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Cyclical trap - fwd PE 21x vs trail 6x (3.4x)
! Target reached (-6.3% upside)
! Heavy insider selling (2.0 < 2.5)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (61d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CHYM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $33.72: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10. Specifically: Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $31.29. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CHYM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $38.70 (-6.3% upside). Prior stop was $31.29. Stop-loss: $31.29.

What are the risks of investing in CHYM?

Cyclical trap - fwd PE 21x vs trail 6x (3.4x); Target reached (-6.3% upside); Heavy insider selling (2.0 < 2.5).

Is CHYM overvalued or undervalued?

Chime Financial, Inc. trades at a P/E of 6.2 (forward 20.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CHYM?

28 analysts cover CHYM with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $35.

What does Chime Financial, Inc. do?Chime Financial runs a mobile-first consumer banking platform serving 9.5 million Active Members in the U.S., targeting...

Chime Financial runs a mobile-first consumer banking platform serving 9.5 million Active Members in the U.S., targeting adults earning up to $100,000 annually via fee-free checking, savings, secured credit, and short-term liquidity products. Revenue is generated primarily from interchange fees on Visa-branded debit and credit cards, with banking services delivered through partners The Bancorp Bank, N.A. and Stride Bank, N.A.

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