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CHYMChime Financial, Inc.Sell6.4·$20.79-1.05%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Chime Financial offers 25% year-over-year revenue growth, a forward P/E of 15.3x with a PEG ratio of 0.12, and a free cash flow margin of 28% despite GAAP losses, but a confirmed technical downtrend — the moving average declining 8.3% over 30 days while the stock sits below it — and a debt-to-equity of 9.2 constrain near-term entry appeal despite an otherwise favorable risk/reward geometry.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Growth Adjusted ValuationStable
  • Cash Generation Despite Gaap LossStable
  • Leverage And Downtrend HeadwindStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Chime Financial, Inc. (CHYM) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $20.79: Leverage penalty (D/E 9.2): -1.5; Elevated risk factors.

Chime Financial runs a mobile-first consumer banking platform serving 9.5 million Active Members in the U.S., targeting adults earning up to $100,000 annually via fee-free checking, savings, secured credit, and short-term liquidity products. Revenue is generated primarily from... Read more

$20.79+31.5% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#13 of 124 Software - Application
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield8.22%
Stop $19.41Target $27.45(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.1:1
Analyst target$30.50+46.7%18 analysts
$27.45our TP
$20.79price
$30.50mean
$40

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $20.79: Leverage penalty (D/E 9.2): -1.5; Elevated risk factors. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 68. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 34d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202634d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 9.2): -1.5
Elevated risk factors
Below 200-MA, MA slope -6.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)13.0
Mkt Cap$8.0B
EV/EBITDA-12.2
Profit Mgn-41.9%
ROE-80.0%
Rev Growth24.8%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.89neutral
IV80%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMProductinterchange-based fees
    10-K Item 1A: 'We earn the significant majority of our revenue through interchange-based fees when our members use their Chime-branded debit or credit cards'
  • MEDIUMSupplierbank partners (Bancorp and Stride)
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our relationships with our bank partners are crucial to our business ... We partner with The Bancorp Bank, N.A. ("Bancorp") ... and with Stride Bank, N.A. ("Stride")'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Bollinger
0.8
Support Resistance
1.1
Gap
6.0

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.1
Value Rank
4.9
Growth Rank
7.5
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.0>=5.5A.R:R 2.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 34d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
68 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $15.88Resistance $21.50

Price Targets

$19
$27
A.Upside+32.0%
A.R:R2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts26
Consensus4.0/5
Avg Target$31

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (34d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CHYM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $20.79: Leverage penalty (D/E 9.2): -1.5; Elevated risk factors. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 68. Prior stop was $19.41. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CHYM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $27.45 (+31.5% upside). Prior stop was $19.41. Stop-loss: $19.41.

What are the risks of investing in CHYM?

Leverage penalty (D/E 9.2): -1.5; Elevated risk factors; Below 200-MA, MA slope -6.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is CHYM overvalued or undervalued?

Chime Financial, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 13.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CHYM?

26 analysts cover CHYM with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $31.

What does Chime Financial, Inc. do?Chime Financial runs a mobile-first consumer banking platform serving 9.5 million Active Members in the U.S., targeting...

Chime Financial runs a mobile-first consumer banking platform serving 9.5 million Active Members in the U.S., targeting adults earning up to $100,000 annually via fee-free checking, savings, secured credit, and short-term liquidity products. Revenue is generated primarily from interchange fees on Visa-branded debit and credit cards, with banking services delivered through partners The Bancorp Bank, N.A. and Stride Bank, N.A.

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