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CGNTCognyte Software Ltd.Sell5.3·$8.31+1.47%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Cognyte combines an attractively valued multiple, a wide economic moat, and a three-of-four-quarter earnings beat streak with a business quality score still flagged as below average, a Rule of 40 fail, and a risk/reward ratio that falls just short of the engine's asymmetry bar, making this a hold pending confirmation that the recent miss was a blip rather than a trend.

Thesis pillars

  • Wide Moat Strong Balance SheetStable
  • Attractive Valuation Wide MoatImproving
  • Recent Miss After Beat StreakImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Cognyte Software Ltd. (CGNT) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $8.31 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum.

Cognyte Software Ltd., a software-driven technology company, focuses on investigative analytics solutions worldwide. The company offers network intelligence analytics, threat intelligence analytics, decision intelligence analytics, and operational intelligence analytics... Read more

$8.31+26.2% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#87 of 109 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield6.19%
Stop $7.73Target $10.48(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 3.0:1
Analyst target$12.33+48.4%3 analysts
$10.48our TP
$8.31price
$12.33mean
$14

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $8.31 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 45d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-25

Recent Developments — Cognyte Software Ltd.

Generated 2026-07-25T14:18:04Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Sep 8, 202645d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Wide economic moat
Risks
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)10.8
Mkt Cap$612M
EV/EBITDA22.7
Profit Mgn-0.7%
ROE1.1%
Rev Growth10.4%
Beta1.68
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWide

Options Flow

P/C0.86neutral
IV72%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Macd
3.1
Capitulation risk (RSI 25, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.2%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 1.9<4.5A.R:R 3.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 45d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
25 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $7.96Resistance $9.49

Price Targets

$8
$10
A.Upside+26.2%
A.R:R3.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 1.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-08 (45d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CGNT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $8.31 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $7.73. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CGNT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $10.48 (+26.2% upside). Prior stop was $7.73. Stop-loss: $7.73.

What are the risks of investing in CGNT?

Negative momentum.

Is CGNT overvalued or undervalued?

Cognyte Software Ltd. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 10.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CGNT?

10 analysts cover CGNT with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $12.

What does Cognyte Software Ltd. do?Cognyte Software Ltd., a software-driven technology company, focuses on investigative analytics solutions worldwide....

Cognyte Software Ltd., a software-driven technology company, focuses on investigative analytics solutions worldwide. The company offers network intelligence analytics, threat intelligence analytics, decision intelligence analytics, and operational intelligence analytics solutions. It also offers software products, including subscription or perpetual licenses and appliances that include software that is essential to the product's functionality; software services, such as support and cloud-based SaaS subscriptions; and professional services and others comprising installation and integration services, customer specific development work, resale of third-party hardware, and consulting and training services. In addition, the company provides customer support, professional, and integration services. It serves governments agencies, including national, regional, and local government agencies. Cognyte Software Ltd. was incorporated in 2020 and is headquartered in Herzliya, Israel.

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