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CGNTCognyte Software Ltd.Sell5.9·$8.88
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Cognyte combines an attractively valued multiple, a wide economic moat, and a three-of-four-quarter earnings beat streak with a business quality score still flagged as below average, a Rule of 40 fail, and a risk/reward ratio that falls just short of the engine's asymmetry bar, making this a hold pending confirmation that the recent miss was a blip rather than a trend.

Thesis pillars

  • Wide Moat Strong Balance SheetStable
  • Attractive Valuation Wide MoatStable
  • Recent Miss After Beat StreakDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Cognyte Software Ltd. (CGNT) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $8.88: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Cognyte Software Ltd., a software-driven technology company, focuses on investigative analytics solutions worldwide. The company offers network intelligence analytics, threat intelligence analytics, decision intelligence analytics, and operational intelligence analytics... Read more

$8.88+18.0% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#37 of 104 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield7.95%
Stop $8.26Target $10.48(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.6:1
Analyst target$12.33+38.8%3 analysts
$10.48our TP
$8.88price
$12.33mean
$14

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $8.88: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 75d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-23
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Dec 8, 202675d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5)
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)11.2
Mkt Cap$637M
EV/EBITDA22.5
Profit Mgn-0.0%
ROE2.2%
Rev Growth12.0%
Beta1.66
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWide

Options Flow

P/C0.43bullish
IV66%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.3
Support Resistance
1.9
52w Position
4.4
GatesMomentum 5.6>=5.5A.R:R 1.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 75d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
63 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $7.90Resistance $9.11

Price Targets

$8
$10
A.Upside+18.0%
A.R:R1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Analyst Consensus

Analysts10
Consensus3.9/5
Avg Target$12

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-12-08 (75d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CGNT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $8.88: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $8.26. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CGNT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $10.48 (+18.0% upside). Prior stop was $8.26. Stop-loss: $8.26.

What are the risks of investing in CGNT?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Is CGNT overvalued or undervalued?

Cognyte Software Ltd. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 11.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CGNT?

10 analysts cover CGNT with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $12.

What does Cognyte Software Ltd. do?Cognyte Software Ltd., a software-driven technology company, focuses on investigative analytics solutions worldwide....

Cognyte Software Ltd., a software-driven technology company, focuses on investigative analytics solutions worldwide. The company offers network intelligence analytics, threat intelligence analytics, decision intelligence analytics, and operational intelligence analytics solutions. It also offers software products, including subscription or perpetual licenses and appliances that include software that is essential to the product's functionality; software services, such as support and cloud-based SaaS subscriptions; and professional services and others comprising installation and integration services, customer specific development work, resale of third-party hardware, and consulting and training services. In addition, the company provides customer support, professional, and integration services. It serves governments agencies, including national, regional, and local government agencies. Cognyte Software Ltd. was incorporated in 2020 and is headquartered in Herzliya, Israel.

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