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CDNACareDx, Inc.Sell5.8·$29.19-0.21%
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CareDx, Inc. (CDNA) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Diagnostics & Research

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $29.19: Risk below floor (2.0 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 17%; Below-average business quality.

CareDx, Inc. provides solutions for improving outcomes for transplant patients and advancing organ health in the United States and internationally. The company provides AlloSure Kidney, a donor-derived cell-free DNA (dd-cfDNA) solution for kidney transplant patients; AlloMap... Read more

$29.19+0.7% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#4 of 32 Diagnostics & Research
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield4.65%
Stop $27.15Target $29.40(resistance)A.R:R -1.1:1
Analyst target$27.80-4.8%5 analysts
$29.40our TP
$29.19price
$27.80mean
$21
$38

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $29.19: Risk below floor (2.0 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 17%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 32d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-05

Recent Developments — CareDx, Inc.

Generated 2026-07-05T09:50:25Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202632d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-17.1% upside)
Risk below floor (2.0 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)25.7
Mkt Cap$1.5B
EV/EBITDA580.9
Profit Mgn-2.0%
ROE-2.4%
Rev Growth39.0%
Beta2.43
DividendNone
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.17bullish
IV102%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Volatile — 5.1% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Days To Cover
0.0
Volatility
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Debt Equity
0.0
Short Interest
1.8
Beta
1.9
Put Call
10.0
High short interest justified: 17%High IV: 102%
GatesA.R:R -1.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.4<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.4>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 32d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
72 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $21.62Resistance $30.00

Price Targets

$27
$29
A.Upside+0.7%
A.R:R-1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-17.1% upside)
! Risk below floor (2.0 < 3.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (32d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CDNA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $29.19: Risk below floor (2.0 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 17%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $27.15. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CDNA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $29.40 (+0.7% upside). Prior stop was $27.15. Stop-loss: $27.15.

What are the risks of investing in CDNA?

Target reached (-17.1% upside); Risk below floor (2.0 < 3.0).

Is CDNA overvalued or undervalued?

CareDx, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 25.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CDNA?

13 analysts cover CDNA with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $28.

What does CareDx, Inc. do?CareDx, Inc. provides solutions for improving outcomes for transplant patients and advancing organ health in the United...

CareDx, Inc. provides solutions for improving outcomes for transplant patients and advancing organ health in the United States and internationally. The company provides AlloSure Kidney, a donor-derived cell-free DNA (dd-cfDNA) solution for kidney transplant patients; AlloMap Heart, a gene expression profiling solution for heart transplant patients; AlloSure Heart, a dd-cfDNA solution for heart transplant patients; and AlloSure Lung, a dd-cfDNA solution for lung transplant patients. It also offers HeartCare, which provides information about distinct biological processes, such as immune quiescence, active injury, acute cellular rejection, and antibody mediated rejection; HistoMap Kidney, a solution that identifies allograft rejection and type of rejection in kidney transplant biopsy tissue; and AlloHeme, a monitoring test that predicts relapse in patients with acute myeloid leukemia and myelodysplastic syndromes. In addition, the company provides QTYPE that enables precision in human leukocyte antigen (HLA) typing; Olerup SSP, which is used to type HLA alleles based on sequence specific primer technology; and Ottr, a transplant patient management software. Further, it offers AlloSeq Tx, a high-resolution HLA typing solution; AlloSeq cfDNA, a surveillance solution to measure dd-cfDNA in blood; AlloSeq HCT, a solution for chimerism testing for stem cell transplant recipients; Allocell, a solution that monitors the pharmacokinetics of engraftment and persistence of cells for patients who have received allogeneic cell therapy; and XynQAPI, MedActionPlan, CareDx pharmacy, AlloHome, and HLA Data Systems software solutions. It has a license agreement with Illumina, Inc. for the distribution, development, and commercialization of NGS products and technologies. The company was formerly known as XDx, Inc. and changed its name to CareDx, Inc. in March 2014. The company was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Brisbane, California.

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