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CDLRCadeler A/SHold6.9·$22.17+4.92%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Revenue growth of 90% year-over-year, operating margins of 40% that rank best-in-class relative to peers, and a favorable risk/reward of approximately 4.6-to-1 with 27% upside to the analyst target make this a compelling growth setup; the primary risk is deeply negative free cash flow at -204% of net income, which signals that reported earnings are not yet converting into cash and that the balance sheet could require external capital if the growth investment phase is prolonged.

Thesis pillars

  • Best In Class Margin ProfileStable
  • Attractive Valuation And UpsideStable
  • High Growth Revenue InflectionStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Cadeler A/S (CDLR) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $22.17, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: mixed signals — some dimensions strong, others weak.

Cadeler A/S, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an offshore wind installation vessel contractor in Denmark, the United Kingdom, Germany, Poland, rest of Europe, the United States, and Taiwan. The company engages in the transport and installation of offshore wind turbine... Read more

$22.17+30.4% A.UpsideScore 6.9/10#1 of 32 Engineering & Construction
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-25.90%
Stop $20.73Target $28.90(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 4.0:1
Analyst target$34.00+53.4%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $22.17, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: mixed signals — some dimensions strong, others weak. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06

Recent Developments — Cadeler A/S

Generated 2026-07-06T08:21:39Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Positive momentum
Risks
No bear case signals

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)6.4
P/E (Fwd)
Mkt Cap$2.1B
EV/EBITDA7.5
Profit Mgn39.9%
ROE18.7%
Rev Growth90.5%
Beta0.71
DividendNone
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesMomentum 7.1>=5.5A.R:R 4.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $20.50Resistance $24.73

Price Targets

$21
$29
A.Upside+30.4%
A.R:R4.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts17
Consensus4.1/5
Avg Target$34

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CDLR stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $22.17, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: mixed signals — some dimensions strong, others weak. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $28.90 (+30.4%), stop $20.73 (−6.9%), A.R:R 4.0:1. Score 6.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CDLR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $28.90 (+30.4% upside). Target $28.90 (+30.4%), stop $20.73 (−6.9%), A.R:R 4.0:1. Stop-loss: $20.73.

Is CDLR overvalued or undervalued?

Cadeler A/S trades at a P/E of 6.4 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CDLR?

17 analysts cover CDLR with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $34.

What does Cadeler A/S do?Cadeler A/S, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an offshore wind installation vessel contractor in Denmark,...

Cadeler A/S, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an offshore wind installation vessel contractor in Denmark, the United Kingdom, Germany, Poland, rest of Europe, the United States, and Taiwan. The company engages in the transport and installation of offshore wind turbine generators, foundations, and topsides and substations; maintenance of offshore wind turbine generators, and offshore structures and platforms; and offshore construction within the renewable space. It is also involved offshore decommissioning within the renewable space; salvage assistance; and heavy lift and project cargo. In addition, the company owns and operates ten offshore jack-up windfarm installation vessels. Cadeler A/S was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Copenhagen, Denmark.

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