CBRE has delivered four consecutive earnings beats averaging 16% above estimates and offers 15.8% potential return to the analyst-derived price target with a 2.7-to-1 favorable risk/reward — but business quality falls below the minimum acceptable threshold, the stock is in a confirmed price downtrend with a death cross structure, and elevated put-to-call options positioning suggests the fundamental recovery has not yet translated into price-trend recovery.
Thesis pillars
- Quality Below Minimum Threshold↓Deteriorating
- Confirmed Price Downtrend Death Cross→Stable
- Perfect Earnings Beat Streak↓Deteriorating
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
CBRE Group Inc (CBRE) Stock Analysis
Momentum Cont setup
Real Estate · Real Estate Services
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $152.86: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.
CBRE Group provides commercial real estate services—leasing, capital markets, project management, facilities management, and investment management—across four segments in more than 100 countries, serving nearly 90% of Fortune 100 companies in 2025. Revenue comes from advisory... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $152.86: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 68d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
About CBRE Group Inc
About CBRE Group Inc
The largest commercial real estate services firm by 2025 revenue, CBRE Group operated across 100+ countries with 155,000 employees and $155.5 billion in assets under management through CBRE Investment Management at December 31, 2025. Approximately 43.6% of 2025 revenue was transacted in foreign currencies. Trammell Crow Company, CBRE's development arm, carried over $29.5 billion in in-process development projects. CBRE's client base in 2025 included nearly 90% of Fortune 100 companies.
CBRE earns revenue through four segments: Advisory Services (leasing commissions, capital markets fees, loan origination and servicing), Building Operations & Experience (multi-year enterprise facilities management contracts anchored by Fortune 500 corporate clients, plus property management fees), Project Management (fee-for-service program and project management through Turner & Townsend, now 70%-owned after the January 2025 merger with the former wholly-owned CBRE project management business), and Real Estate Investments (management fees and performance fees on $155.5 billion AUM plus development co-investment income through Trammell Crow). CBRE Capital Markets originates and services commercial real estate loans as an approved seller/servicer for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, earning fee income contingent on GSE origination volumes. Many Building Operations & Experience contracts may be canceled by clients with as little as 30 to 60 days' notice, and currency fluctuations may weigh on reported revenues given that 43.6% of 2025 revenue was denominated in non-U.S. currencies.
Show full overview
A significant portion of CBRE's loan origination and servicing revenue depends on the company's approved-seller/servicer status with Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac; the 10-K warns that failure to comply with GSE eligibility requirements—including participation in loss-sharing and repurchase arrangements—could result in termination of approval to sell and service GSE loans. The U.S. federal government represents a growing client segment through CBRE Government & Defense Services (formerly J&J Worldwide Services), where contracting carries uncapped liability exposure, heightened ethical requirements, and debarment risk for noncompliance—distinct risks from the commercial client base that represents the majority of Advisory Services revenue.
See also: Real Estate · Real Estate Services
From CBRE Group Inc's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-08-15Recent Developments — CBRE Group Inc
Latest news
- NEWS Here's How Much $1000 Invested In CBRE Group 10 Years Ago Would Be Worth Today — benzinga Aug 10, 2026 positive
- NEWS UBS Maintains Buy on CBRE Group, Raises Price Target to $190 — benzinga Jul 30, 2026 positive
- NEWS Evercore ISI Group Maintains Outperform on CBRE Group, Raises Price Target to $175 — benzinga Jul 30, 2026 positive
- NEWS Apple, Steel Dynamics, CBRE Group And More: CNBC’s ‘Final Trades’ — benzinga Jul 30, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Maintains Outperform on CBRE Group, Raises Price Target to $174 — benzinga Jul 30, 2026 positive
Generated 2026-08-15T13:12:18Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMcounterpartyFannie Mae and Freddie Mac10-K Item 1A: 'depends upon our relationship with the Federal National Mortgage Association (Fannie Mae), and the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation (Freddie Mac)'
- MEDIUMGeographicforeign currencies44%10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 43.6% of our revenue was transacted in foreign currencies'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-03-23Item 5.02LOWOn March 20, 2026, CBRE's board adopted the Second Amended and Restated Change in Control and Severance Plan, reducing cash severance multipliers outside the Change in Control Protection Period. Effective March 20, 2026; adverse changes to existing participants deferred to March 20, 2027.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $152.86: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $143.22. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $157.69 (+3.2% upside). Prior stop was $143.22. Stop-loss: $143.22.
Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0).
CBRE Group Inc trades at a P/E of 35.0 (forward 16.8). TrendMatrix value score: 4.7/10. Verdict: Sell.
20 analysts cover CBRE with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $181.
What does CBRE Group Inc do?CBRE Group provides commercial real estate services—leasing, capital markets, project management, facilities...
CBRE Group provides commercial real estate services—leasing, capital markets, project management, facilities management, and investment management—across four segments in more than 100 countries, serving nearly 90% of Fortune 100 companies in 2025. Revenue comes from advisory commissions, management fees, and performance fees on $155.5 billion in AUM at December 31, 2025, with 155,000+ employees globally.