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CBRE Group Inc (CBRE) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · Real Estate Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $141.60: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.

CBRE Group is the largest commercial real estate services firm globally by 2025 revenue, operating in more than 100 countries across advisory services (leasing, capital markets, valuation), building operations and facilities management, project management, and real estate... Read more

$141.60+9.2% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#3 of 16 Real Estate Services
Stop $132.56Target $154.86(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.4:1
Analyst target$178.00+25.7%12 analysts
$154.86our TP
$141.60price
$178.00mean
$200

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $141.60: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 90d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Val5.3Qual3.3Grw8.6Mom1.9Sent7.3Ins5.0Peer6.4Tech6.4Risk6.95.7OVERALL

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. Government Sponsored Enterprises (GSEs)
Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)32.5
P/E (Fwd)16.1
Mkt Cap$41.7B
EV/EBITDA23.1
Profit Mgn3.1%
ROE15.6%
Rev Growth18.6%
Beta1.35
DividendNone
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.28bullish
IV49%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerU.S. Government Sponsored Enterprises (GSEs)
    10-K Item 1A: 'A significant portion of our loan origination and servicing business depends upon our relationships with U.S. Government Sponsored Enterprises (GSEs).'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-23Item 5.02LOW
    Board adopted Second Amended and Restated Change in Control and Severance Plan for Senior Management effective March 20, 2026, reducing severance multipliers for non-change-in-control departures. Routine compensatory arrangement update.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-02-27Item 5.02LOW
    New compensation targets established for Chad J. Doellinger (Chief Legal & Administrative Officer) and Daniel G. Queenan (Executive Group President, Trammell Crow). Routine annual compensation update. No officer departures.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-02-26Item 5.02LOW
    One-time performance-based retention equity award granted to Vikram Kohli (COO/CEO Advisory Services), $5M target, 100% performance-based, 5-year vesting. Routine compensatory retention arrangement.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.2
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.6%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
1.1
Net Margin
1.6
Roa
1.8
Current Ratio
4.2
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
5.0
Roe
5.2
Fcf Quality
6.2
No competitive moat
GatesMomentum 1.9<4.5A.R:R 1.4 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 90d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
51 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $132.20Resistance $157.60

Price Targets

$133
$155
A.Upside+9.4%
A.R:R1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 1.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 1.4:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (90d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CBRE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $141.60: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $132.56. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CBRE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $154.86 (+9.2% upside). Prior stop was $132.56. Stop-loss: $132.56.

What are the risks of investing in CBRE?

Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. Government Sponsored Enterprises (GSEs); Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0).

Is CBRE overvalued or undervalued?

CBRE Group Inc trades at a P/E of 32.5 (forward 16.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CBRE?

20 analysts cover CBRE with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $178.

What does CBRE Group Inc do?CBRE Group is the largest commercial real estate services firm globally by 2025 revenue, operating in more than 100...

CBRE Group is the largest commercial real estate services firm globally by 2025 revenue, operating in more than 100 countries across advisory services (leasing, capital markets, valuation), building operations and facilities management, project management, and real estate investment management. Revenue is earned through commissions, management fees, and investment performance fees; nearly 90% of Fortune 100 companies were clients in 2025.

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