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BVNBuenaventura Mining Company IncBuy Wait6.8·$29.72+1.78%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Buenaventura has compounded strong returns through four consecutive earnings beats averaging 61% above consensus, backed by a 26% return on equity, 48% operating margins, and a wide economic moat — all trading at a forward multiple of 10.3x with a PEG of 0.07; the fundamentals are compelling, but with the analyst consensus target essentially reached and an elevated put/call ratio of 3.15 reflecting heavy bearish options positioning, the setup favors patience and a re-entry on a pullback rather than chasing at current prices.

Thesis pillars

  • Growth At Steep Valuation DiscountStable
  • Elevated Bearish Options PositioningStable
  • Exceptional Earnings Beat MomentumStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Buenaventura Mining Company Inc (BVN) Stock Analysis

Temporary headwind edge

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Other Precious Metals & Mining

Wait for pullback to $27.14. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $29.72. Engine's entry $27.14 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Negative momentum.

Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, construction, and operation of mines in Peru, the Americas, Europe, and Asia. It explores for gold, silver, copper, zinc, lead, and antimony deposits. The company also... Read more

$29.72+19.2% A.UpsideScore 6.8/10#2 of 14 Other Precious Metals & Mining
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.15%
IncomeYield3.82%(5y avg 1.38%)Payout10.60%sustainable
Entry $27.14(Support Atr Sticky)Stop $23.77Target $34.90(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.5:1
Analyst target$40.12+35.0%6 analysts
$34.90our TP
$29.72price
$40.12mean
$27
$50

Wait for pullback to $27.14. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $29.72. Engine's entry $27.14 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. V9 Gate blocked: Momentum 1.8 < 4.5 minimum; SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Basic Materials:count=3:cap=3. Wait for improvement. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 26d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and sector concentration cap sector=basic materials count=3 cap=3. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202626d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)7.2
P/E (Fwd)8.9
Mkt Cap$7.5B
EV/EBITDA7.6
Profit Mgn47.7%
ROE26.3%
Rev Growth103.0%
Beta0.41
Dividend3.82%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.10bullish
IV69%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Volume
2.3
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+7.6%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 1.8<4.5SECTOR CONCENTRATION CAP sector=Basic Materials count=3 cap=3A.R:R 1.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 26d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
39 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $28.45Resistance $36.82

Price Targets

$24
$27
$35
A.Upside+17.4%
A.R:R1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %2.7%
Max %5.4%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Momentum 1.8 < 4.5 minimum
! SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Basic Materials:count=3:cap=3
! momentum at 1.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (26d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BVN stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $27.14. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $29.72. Engine's entry $27.14 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. V9 Gate blocked: Momentum 1.8 < 4.5 minimum; SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Basic Materials:count=3:cap=3. Wait for improvement. Target $34.90 (+17.4%), stop $23.77 (−25.0%), A.R:R 1.5:1. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BVN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $34.90 (+19.2% upside). Target $34.90 (+17.4%), stop $23.77 (−25.0%), A.R:R 1.5:1. Stop-loss: $23.77.

What are the risks of investing in BVN?

Negative momentum.

Is BVN overvalued or undervalued?

Buenaventura Mining Company Inc trades at a P/E of 7.2 (forward 8.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about BVN?

11 analysts cover BVN with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $40.

What does Buenaventura Mining Company Inc do?Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development,...

Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, construction, and operation of mines in Peru, the Americas, Europe, and Asia. It explores for gold, silver, copper, zinc, lead, and antimony deposits. The company also engages in the exploration, extraction, concentration, smelting, and marketing of polymetallic minerals and metals. In addition, it is involved in electricity transmission and generation; hydroelectric plant operation; and production of manganese sulfate monohydrate, as well as tailings dam management. The company was incorporated in 1953 and is based in Lima, Peru.

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