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BVNBuenaventura Mining Company IncBuy Wait7.1·$30.91-1.31%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Buenaventura has compounded strong returns through four consecutive earnings beats averaging 61% above consensus, backed by a 26% return on equity, 48% operating margins, and a wide economic moat — all trading at a forward multiple of 10.3x with a PEG of 0.07; the fundamentals are compelling, but with the analyst consensus target essentially reached and an elevated put/call ratio of 3.15 reflecting heavy bearish options positioning, the setup favors patience and a re-entry on a pullback rather than chasing at current prices.

Thesis pillars

  • Growth At Steep Valuation DiscountStable
  • Elevated Bearish Options PositioningDeteriorating
  • Exceptional Earnings Beat MomentumImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Buenaventura Mining Company Inc (BVN) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Other Precious Metals & Mining

Earnings in 5 days (2026-07-30). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $27.95. At $30.91 the A.R:R is 0.5:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $27.95 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 6.3%; Earnings in 5 days (event risk).

Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, construction, and operation of mines in Peru, the Americas, Europe, and Asia. It explores for gold, silver, copper, zinc, lead, and antimony deposits. The company also... Read more

$30.91+6.3% A.UpsideScore 7.1/10#2 of 14 Other Precious Metals & Mining
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.03%
IncomeYield3.62%(5y avg 1.38%)Payout10.60%sustainable
Entry $27.95(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $25.32Target $32.87(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.5:1
Analyst target$37.78+22.2%6 analysts
$32.87our TP
$30.91price
$37.78mean
$27
$50

Wait for pullback to $27.95. At $30.91 the A.R:R is 0.5:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $27.95 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 6.3%; Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. V9 Gate blocked: R/R 0.5x at spot < 1.5 minimum; Earnings in 5 days (≤7d hard window); SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Basic Materials:count=3:cap=3. Wait for improvement. Score 7.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d and sector concentration cap sector=basic materials count=3 cap=3. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 20265d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong overall score: 7.1/10
High-quality business
Risks
Thin upside margin: 6.3%
Earnings in 5 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)7.5
P/E (Fwd)8.5
Mkt Cap$7.9B
EV/EBITDA7.9
Profit Mgn47.7%
ROE26.3%
Rev Growth103.0%
Beta0.41
Dividend3.62%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.98neutral
IV67%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
2.8
Support Resistance
3.4
52w Position
4.2
GatesA.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dSECTOR CONCENTRATION CAP sector=Basic Materials count=3 cap=3Momentum 6.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $27.31Resistance $32.80

Price Targets

$25
$28
$33
A.Upside+6.3%
A.R:R0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.9%
Max %1.9%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! R/R 0.5x at spot < 1.5 minimum
! Earnings in 5 days (≤7d hard window)
! SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Basic Materials:count=3:cap=3

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BVN stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $27.95. At $30.91 the A.R:R is 0.5:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $27.95 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 6.3%; Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. V9 Gate blocked: R/R 0.5x at spot < 1.5 minimum; Earnings in 5 days (≤7d hard window); SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Basic Materials:count=3:cap=3. Wait for improvement. Target $32.87 (+6.3%), stop $25.32 (−22.1%), A.R:R 0.5:1. Score 7.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BVN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $32.87 (+6.3% upside). Target $32.87 (+6.3%), stop $25.32 (−22.1%), A.R:R 0.5:1. Stop-loss: $25.32.

What are the risks of investing in BVN?

Thin upside margin: 6.3%; Earnings in 5 days (event risk).

Is BVN overvalued or undervalued?

Buenaventura Mining Company Inc trades at a P/E of 7.5 (forward 8.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about BVN?

11 analysts cover BVN with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $38.

What does Buenaventura Mining Company Inc do?Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development,...

Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, construction, and operation of mines in Peru, the Americas, Europe, and Asia. It explores for gold, silver, copper, zinc, lead, and antimony deposits. The company also engages in the exploration, extraction, concentration, smelting, and marketing of polymetallic minerals and metals. In addition, it is involved in electricity transmission and generation; hydroelectric plant operation; and production of manganese sulfate monohydrate, as well as tailings dam management. The company was incorporated in 1953 and is based in Lima, Peru.

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