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Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (ASM) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Basic Materials · Other Precious Metals & Mining

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $6.42 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.6): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and advancement of mineral properties in Mexico. It explores for silver, gold, copper, and base metal deposits. The company holds 100% interest in the Avino Mine area... Read more

$6.42+46.1% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#5 of 10 Other Precious Metals & Mining
Stop $5.98Target $9.40(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 3.4:1
Analyst target$11.06+72.3%4 analysts
$9.40our TP
$6.42price
$11.06mean
$13

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $6.42 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.6): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Analyst upside: 46%
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.6): -1.5
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)36.6
P/E (Fwd)7.7
Mkt Cap$1.1B
EV/EBITDA23.7
Profit Mgn28.9%
ROE14.8%
Rev Growth25.3%
Beta2.89
DividendNone
Rating analysts6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.66bullish
IV96%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Value Rank
3.3
Quality Rank
6.4

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
2.7
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
1.1
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/2MEarnings in 13 days
GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 13d<=14d (soft)A.R:R 3.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
41 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $6.07Resistance $8.05

Price Targets

$6
$9
A.Upside+46.4%
A.R:R3.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-13 (13d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ASM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $6.42 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.6): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $5.98. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ASM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $9.40 (+46.1% upside). Prior stop was $5.98. Stop-loss: $5.98.

What are the risks of investing in ASM?

Leverage penalty (D/E 2.6): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Negative momentum.

Is ASM overvalued or undervalued?

Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. trades at a P/E of 36.6 (forward 7.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ASM?

6 analysts cover ASM with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $11.

What does Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. do?Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and...

Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and advancement of mineral properties in Mexico. It explores for silver, gold, copper, and base metal deposits. The company holds 100% interest in the Avino Mine area property covering an area of approximately 4,086.93 hectares comprising 42 mineral claims and leases 4 mineral claims, which is located in the state of Durango, Mexico. It also has an option to acquire 100% interest in the Ana Maria and El Laberinto properties located in Mexico. The company was formerly known as International Avino Mines Ltd. and changed its name to Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. in August 1997. Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

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