Skip to main content
TFPMTriple Flag Precious Metals CorBuy Wait6.4·$28.47+0.71%
Open full analysis

Triple Flag Precious Metals Cor (TFPM) Stock Analysis

Temp Headwind edge

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Other Precious Metals & Mining

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $28.70 but weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Negative momentum.

Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp., a precious metals streaming and royalty company, engages in acquiring and managing precious metals, streams, royalties, and other mineral interests in Australia, Canada, Colombia, Cote d'Ivoire, Mexico, Mongolia, Peru, South Africa, and the... Read more

$28.47+28.0% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#3 of 10 Other Precious Metals & Mining
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield0.85%
IncomeYield0.81%Payout15.07%sustainable
Entry $28.70(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $26.20Target $34.85(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 2.5:1
Analyst target$41.00+44.0%4 analysts
$34.85our TP
$28.47price
$41.00mean
$43

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $28.70 but weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.13, quality 7.7/10, growth 10.0/10). Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 57d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202657d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.7 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.9
P/E (Fwd)19.2
Mkt Cap$5.9B
EV/EBITDA16.4
Profit Mgn68.7%
ROE15.9%
Rev Growth78.7%
Beta0.30
Dividend0.81%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C2.33bearish
IV64%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.7
Ma Position
2.2
Volume
3.2
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+3.6%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 2.1<4.5A.R:R 2.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 57d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
36 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $28.11Resistance $36.06

Price Targets

$26
$29
$35
A.Upside+22.4%
A.R:R2.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %1.1%
Max %2.2%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (57d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TFPM stock a buy right now?

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $28.70 but weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.13, quality 7.7/10, growth 10.0/10). Target $34.85 (+22.4%), stop $26.20 (−8.7%), Setup A.R:R 4.0:1. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TFPM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $34.85 (+28.0% upside). Target $34.85 (+22.4%), stop $26.20 (−8.7%), Setup A.R:R 4.0:1. Stop-loss: $26.20.

What are the risks of investing in TFPM?

Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Negative momentum.

Is TFPM overvalued or undervalued?

Triple Flag Precious Metals Cor trades at a P/E of 18.9 (forward 19.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about TFPM?

16 analysts cover TFPM with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $41.

What does Triple Flag Precious Metals Cor do?Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp., a precious metals streaming and royalty company, engages in acquiring and managing...

Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp., a precious metals streaming and royalty company, engages in acquiring and managing precious metals, streams, royalties, and other mineral interests in Australia, Canada, Colombia, Cote d'Ivoire, Mexico, Mongolia, Peru, South Africa, and the United States. The company has a portfolio of streams and royalties providing exposure to copper, gold, silver, nickel, lead, lithium, and zinc. The company was founded in 2016 and is based in Toronto, Canada.

Related stocks: BVN (Buenaventura Mining Company Inc) · HL (Hecla Mining Company) · SBSW (D/B/A Sibanye-Stillwater Limite) · ASM (Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd.) · MUX (McEwen Inc.)
Home Stocks TFPM

Latest news

Latest News

Insider Monkey21d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance27d agoEarnings
TradingView28d ago
Business Wire34d ago
Marketscreener.com6d agoAnalyst
MarketBeat42d agoEarnings
Thelegaladvocate.com15d ago
The Chronicle-Journal21d ago
Wealth Awesome28d agoEarnings
Marketscreener.com35d agoEarnings
Marketscreener.com35d agoEarnings
Quantisnow35d agoEarnings
Business Wire35d agoEarnings
Business Wire35d ago
Investing.com India35d agoEarnings
The Legal Advocate8d ago
富途牛牛41d agoEarnings
Kalkine Media19d ago
MSN26d ago
Investing News Network33d ago
Loading more...