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BVNBuenaventura Mining Company IncBuy Wait6.8·$31.15
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Buenaventura has compounded strong returns through four consecutive earnings beats averaging 61% above consensus, backed by a 26% return on equity, 48% operating margins, and a wide economic moat — all trading at a forward multiple of 10.3x with a PEG of 0.07; the fundamentals are compelling, but with the analyst consensus target essentially reached and an elevated put/call ratio of 3.15 reflecting heavy bearish options positioning, the setup favors patience and a re-entry on a pullback rather than chasing at current prices.

Thesis pillars

  • Growth At Steep Valuation Discount→Stable
  • Elevated Bearish Options Positioning→Stable
  • Exceptional Earnings Beat Momentum↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Buenaventura Mining Company Inc (BVN) Stock Analysis

Sector Rotation edge

Buy WaitGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Other Precious Metals & Mining

Wait for pullback to $30.14. At $31.15 the A.R:R is 1.0:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $30.14 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 7.6%; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, construction, and operation of mines in Peru, the Americas, Europe, and Asia. It explores for gold, silver, copper, zinc, lead, and antimony deposits. The company also... Read more

$31.15+7.6% A.UpsideScore 6.8/10#2 of 12 Other Precious Metals & Mining
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield1.77%
IncomeYield3.64%(5y avg 0.85%)Payout26.09%sustainable
Entry $30.14(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $28.80Target $33.52(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.0:1
Analyst target$38.53+23.7%6 analysts
$33.52our TP
$31.15price
$38.53mean
$27
$50

Wait for pullback to $30.14. At $31.15 the A.R:R is 1.0:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $30.14 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 7.6%; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. V9 Gate blocked: Momentum 1.9 < 4.5 minimum; R/R 1.0x at spot < 1.5 minimum; SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Basic Materials:count=3:cap=3. Wait for improvement. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and sector concentration cap sector=basic materials count=3 cap=3. Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 29, 202614d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.2 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Thin upside margin: 7.6%
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)7.3
P/E (Fwd)8.5
Mkt Cap$7.9B
EV/EBITDA7.1
Profit Mgn48.2%
ROE27.8%
Rev Growth43.2%
Beta0.42
Dividend3.64%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C0.18bullish
IV108%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.3
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Macd
2.6
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+3.5%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 1.9<4.5A.R:R 1.0 < 1.5@spotSECTOR CONCENTRATION CAP sector=Basic Materials count=3 cap=3EARNINGS PROXIMITY 14d<=14d (soft)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
36 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $29.69Resistance $34.90

Price Targets

$29
$30
$34
A.Upside+7.6%
A.R:R1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.9%
Max %1.8%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum 1.9 < 4.5 minimum
! R/R 1.0x at spot < 1.5 minimum
! SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Basic Materials:count=3:cap=3

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-29 (14d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BVN stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $30.14. At $31.15 the A.R:R is 1.0:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $30.14 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 7.6%; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. V9 Gate blocked: Momentum 1.9 < 4.5 minimum; R/R 1.0x at spot < 1.5 minimum; SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Basic Materials:count=3:cap=3. Wait for improvement. Target $33.52 (+7.6%), stop $28.80 (−8.2%), A.R:R 1.0:1. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BVN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $33.52 (+7.6% upside). Target $33.52 (+7.6%), stop $28.80 (−8.2%), A.R:R 1.0:1. Stop-loss: $28.80.

What are the risks of investing in BVN?

Thin upside margin: 7.6%; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Negative momentum.

Is BVN overvalued or undervalued?

Buenaventura Mining Company Inc trades at a P/E of 7.3 (forward 8.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about BVN?

11 analysts cover BVN with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $39.

What does Buenaventura Mining Company Inc do?Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development,...

Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, construction, and operation of mines in Peru, the Americas, Europe, and Asia. It explores for gold, silver, copper, zinc, lead, and antimony deposits. The company also engages in the exploration, extraction, concentration, smelting, and marketing of polymetallic minerals and metals. In addition, it is involved in electricity transmission and generation; hydroelectric plant operation; and production of manganese sulfate monohydrate, as well as tailings dam management. The company was incorporated in 1953 and is based in Lima, Peru.

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