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HLHecla Mining CompanyBuy Wait6.6·$15.04+1.76%
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Hecla Mining Company (HL) Stock Analysis

Temp Headwind edge

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Other Precious Metals & Mining

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $15.93 but weak momentum; recent C-suite change still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Concentration risk — Commodity: silver, gold, lead and zinc; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

Hecla Mining is a silver and gold mining company operating four segments: Greens Creek (Alaska, 44.3% of 2025 metals sales), Lucky Friday (Idaho, 22.2%), Keno Hill (Yukon, 10.5%), and Casa Berardi (Quebec, 23.0%, pending sale to Orezone for up to $593M). The company produces... Read more

$15.04+57.0% A.UpsideScore 6.6/10#2 of 10 Other Precious Metals & Mining
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.77%
IncomeYield0.10%(5y avg 0.50%)Payout2.17%sustainable
Entry $15.93(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $14.08Target $22.21(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 4.0:1
Analyst target$25.53+69.7%9 analysts
$22.21our TP
$15.04price
$25.53mean
$32

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $15.93 but weak momentum; recent C-suite change still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Concentration risk — Commodity: silver, gold, lead and zinc; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.17, quality 8.4/10, growth 10.0/10). Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 57d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202657d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.4 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Concentration risk — Commodity: silver, gold, lead and zinc
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.6
P/E (Fwd)12.5
Mkt Cap$10.0B
EV/EBITDA11.0
Profit Mgn16.8%
ROE19.9%
Rev Growth100.4%
Beta1.27
Dividend0.10%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.75neutral
IV81%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCommoditysilver, gold, lead and zinc
    10-K Item 1: 'Our operating results are substantially dependent upon the prices of silver, gold, lead and zinc, which can fluctuate widely.'
  • MEDIUMCustomerrelatively small number of customers
    10-K Item 1A: 'We derive a significant amount of revenue from a relatively small number of customers and occasionally enter into concentrate spot market sales with metal traders.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-10Item 1.02MEDIUM
    Hecla completed full redemption of remaining $263M 7.25% Senior Notes due 2028 on April 9, 2026, terminating the Indenture, First Supplemental Indenture, and Second Supplemental Indenture with BNY Mellon as trustee.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-10Item 2.04LOW
    Redemption of $263M 7.25% Senior Notes on April 9, 2026 constitutes a triggering event accelerating the financial obligation under the Indenture. Voluntary full redemption without default.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-02-20Item 5.02LOW
    Director Stephen F. Ralbovsky retired from Hecla Board effective Feb 19, 2026 (board member since 2016). Jill Satre appointed as Audit Committee Chair as successor. No disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.5
Volume
4.9
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+10.7%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.9
Value Rank
4.6
Quality Rank
5.1
GatesMomentum 2.3<4.5Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 4.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 57d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
35 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $14.61Resistance $21.29

Price Targets

$14
$16
$22
A.Upside+47.7%
A.R:R4.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.9%
Max %1.8%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (57d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HL stock a buy right now?

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $15.93 but weak momentum; recent C-suite change still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Concentration risk — Commodity: silver, gold, lead and zinc; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.17, quality 8.4/10, growth 10.0/10). Target $22.21 (+47.7%), stop $14.08 (−6.8%), Setup A.R:R 8.1:1. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $22.21 (+57.0% upside). Target $22.21 (+47.7%), stop $14.08 (−6.8%), Setup A.R:R 8.1:1. Stop-loss: $14.08.

What are the risks of investing in HL?

Concentration risk — Commodity: silver, gold, lead and zinc; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Negative momentum.

Is HL overvalued or undervalued?

Hecla Mining Company trades at a P/E of 21.6 (forward 12.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about HL?

18 analysts cover HL with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $26.

What does Hecla Mining Company do?Hecla Mining is a silver and gold mining company operating four segments: Greens Creek (Alaska, 44.3% of 2025 metals...

Hecla Mining is a silver and gold mining company operating four segments: Greens Creek (Alaska, 44.3% of 2025 metals sales), Lucky Friday (Idaho, 22.2%), Keno Hill (Yukon, 10.5%), and Casa Berardi (Quebec, 23.0%, pending sale to Orezone for up to $593M). The company produces silver, gold, zinc, lead, and copper concentrates and doré sold to smelters, metal traders, and refiners globally.

Related stocks: BVN (Buenaventura Mining Company Inc) · TFPM (Triple Flag Precious Metals Cor) · SBSW (D/B/A Sibanye-Stillwater Limite) · ASM (Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd.) · MUX (McEwen Inc.)
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