A high-quality infrastructure-software franchise with a wide economic moat, 148% free cash flow conversion, and rising earnings estimates is caught in a confirmed technical downtrend following a death cross — the quality and fundamental case is compelling at 29.4% upside to the analyst target, but entry is premature until momentum conditions clear. Geographic concentration of 59% outside the U.S. adds a risk layer that the fundamentals alone cannot fully offset.
Thesis pillars
- Geographic Concentration Risk→Stable
- High Quality Cash Compounding→Stable
- Momentum Confirmed Downtrend→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Bentley Systems, Incorporated (BSY) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Technology · Software - Application
Wait for pullback to $28.69. BUY gates pass at $32.26, but concentration risk — Geographic: outside U.S. (59.0%) and below 200-MA, MA slope -7.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend) argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $28.69 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.
Bentley Systems develops infrastructure engineering software across public works/utilities, resources, industrial, and commercial sectors, serving nearly 42,000 accounts in 189 countries. Revenue flows primarily from E365 consumption subscriptions and SELECT perpetual licenses,... Read more
Wait for pullback to $28.69. BUY gates pass at $32.26, but concentration risk — Geographic: outside U.S. (59.0%) and below 200-MA, MA slope -7.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend) argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $28.69 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 62. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 9/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 33d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: speculative.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-06Recent Developments — Bentley Systems, Incorporated
Latest news
- NEWS Bentley Systems (BSY) Achieves FedRAMP Authorization for Cloud S - GuruFocus — GuruFocus positive
- NEWS Teachers Retirement System of The State of Kentucky Makes New $1.72 Million Investment in Bentley Systems, Incorporated — MarketBeat positive
- NEWS What shapes market opinion on Bentley (BSY) stock | Bentley posts 2.5% EPS beat on strong core demand - Earnings Growth — newsline.com positive
- NEWS Bentley Systems Inc (BSY) Shares Fall 4.3% -- What GF Score of 8 - GuruFocus — GuruFocus negative
- NEWS Bentley Systems Inc (BSY) Shares Fall 4.3% -- What GF Score of 80 Tells Investors - GuruFocus — GuruFocus negative
Generated 2026-07-06T07:01:40Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicoutside U.S.59%10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 59%, 58%, and 58% of our total revenues were from outside the U.S. for the years ended December 31, 2025, 2024, and 2023, respectively.'
- LOWGeographicAPAC including China18%10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 18% of our total revenues for the years ended December 31, 2025, 2024, and 2023 relate to infrastructure projects in APAC, including China.'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $28.69. BUY gates pass at $32.26, but concentration risk — Geographic: outside U.S. (59.0%) and below 200-MA, MA slope -7.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend) argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $28.69 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 62. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $40.56 (+25.7%), stop $26.23 (−23.0%), A.R:R 2.0:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $40.56 (+26.8% upside). Target $40.56 (+25.7%), stop $26.23 (−23.0%), A.R:R 2.0:1. Stop-loss: $26.23.
Concentration risk — Geographic: outside U.S. (59.0%); Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
Bentley Systems, Incorporated trades at a P/E of 37.1 (forward 20.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
20 analysts cover BSY with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $45.
What does Bentley Systems, Incorporated do?Bentley Systems develops infrastructure engineering software across public works/utilities, resources, industrial, and...
Bentley Systems develops infrastructure engineering software across public works/utilities, resources, industrial, and commercial sectors, serving nearly 42,000 accounts in 189 countries. Revenue flows primarily from E365 consumption subscriptions and SELECT perpetual licenses, with direct sales generating approximately 94% of 2025 revenues.