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BSBRBanco Santander Brasil SASell5.1·$5.19+0.00%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

The stock trades at a forward P/E of 5.6x with analysts implying 33% upside to consensus, offering a risk/reward ratio of roughly 3.3-to-1; the central question is whether soft underlying growth can eventually close the valuation gap, or whether the discount proves durable.

Thesis pillars

  • Valuation Discount Versus ConsensusStable
  • Soft Growth Limits CatalystStable
  • Momentum Pullback In UptrendStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Banco Santander Brasil SA (BSBR) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $5.19 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Weak growth.

Banco Santander (Brasil) S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides various banking products and services to individuals, small and medium enterprises, and corporate customers in Brazil and internationally. It operates in two segments, Commercial Banking and Global Wholesale... Read more

$5.19+20.4% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#199 of 225 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield6.56%(5y avg 6.65%)Payout131.75%at-risk
Stop $4.95Target $6.25(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 4.1:1
Analyst target$7.18+38.3%5 analysts
$6.25our TP
$5.19price
$7.18mean
$8

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $5.19 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 26d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202626d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Analyst upside: 20%
Risks
Weak growth
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.2
P/E (Fwd)5.4
Mkt Cap$19.4B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn28.2%
ROE10.5%
Rev Growth0.4%
Beta0.19
Dividend6.56%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
2.6
Earnings Growth
2.7

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
1.2
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.5
Obv
5.1
Macd
6.1
Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.1%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.8
Quality Rank
4.1
Value Rank
5.8
GatesMomentum 3.6<4.5A.R:R 4.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 26d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
38 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $5.10Resistance $5.57

Price Targets

$5
$6
A.Upside+20.4%
A.R:R4.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (26d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BSBR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $5.19 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $4.95. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BSBR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $6.25 (+20.4% upside). Prior stop was $4.95. Stop-loss: $4.95.

What are the risks of investing in BSBR?

Weak growth; Negative momentum.

Is BSBR overvalued or undervalued?

Banco Santander Brasil SA trades at a P/E of 16.2 (forward 5.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BSBR?

11 analysts cover BSBR with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $7.

What does Banco Santander Brasil SA do?Banco Santander (Brasil) S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides various banking products and services to...

Banco Santander (Brasil) S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides various banking products and services to individuals, small and medium enterprises, and corporate customers in Brazil and internationally. It operates in two segments, Commercial Banking and Global Wholesale Banking. The company offers payment and loyalty products, including credit and debit cards; payroll and real estate loans; home equity financing solutions; microfinance programs; consortiums; agribusiness products, such as credit, securities and other products; call center and digital solutions; nonperforming assets; and insurance products comprising life, personal accident, vehicle, property, and credit insurance, as well as insurance for travel and banking transactions. It also provides emergency solutions for homes, cars, motorcycles, pets, and telemedicine; consumer finance; and corporate and investment banking services, which include cash management, structured trade and working capital solutions, trade and lending, mergers and acquisitions, equity capital markets, investment grade and emerging markets debt, and structured finance, as well as sales markets, market making, energy trading, equities, research, and private debt mobilization and securitization. In addition, the company offers cash management solutions, such as collections, payments, instant payments, and payroll and custody services; advance program, a non-financial platform to support entrepreneurs regarding educational content, certified courses, events focused on management, innovation, internationalization, and team development; customer funding through deposits and other bank funding instruments; and various investments. It offers its products and services through branches, mini-branches, and automated teller machines; call centers; banking correspondents and third-party vendors; and online and mobile banking platforms. The company was founded in 1970 and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil.

Related stocks: CUBI (Customers Bancorp, Inc) · IFS (Intercorp Financial Services In) · INTR (Inter & Co. Inc.) · AUB (Atlantic Union Bankshares Corpo) · COLB (Columbia Banking System, Inc.)
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