Brightstar Lottery screens attractively on valuation with a forward multiple of 12.4 times and a PEG ratio of 0.25, but a confirmed technical downtrend, a recent earnings miss, and an extreme put-to-call ratio of 23.4 signal that the valuation case cannot be acted on until momentum stabilizes.
Thesis pillars
- Compelling Valuation Analyst Upside↑Improving
- Strong Free Cash Conversion→Stable
- Confirmed Price Downtrend↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading (BRSL) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Consumer Cyclical · Gambling
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $11.30, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.
Brightstar Lottery PLC provides lottery solutions in the United States, Italy, rest of Europe, and internationally. The company designs, sells, operates, and leases a suite of point-of-sale machines that reconciles lottery funds between the retailer and the lottery authority;... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $11.30, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.2/10, high confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 65d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-09-05Recent Developments — Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading
Latest news
- NEWS Brightstar Lottery (BRSL) Institutional Ownership 2026 $BRSL - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS How Brightstar (BRSL) margins compare to industry leaders (Eye on Rally) 2026-05-06 - Expert Stock Picks - newser.com — newser.com neutral
- NEWS Brightstar Lottery Named a World's Top Disability Inclusive Business by the 2026 Disability Index® - PR Newswire — PR Newswire positive
- NEWS Brightstar Lottery falls after Q1 results miss expectations (BRSL:NYSE) - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha negative
- NEWS Earnings Flash (BRSL) Brightstar Lottery PLC Posts Q1 Adjusted EPS $0.14 per Share, vs. FactSet Est of $0.20 - marketscr — marketscreener.com negative
Generated 2026-09-05T22:02:19Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -7.4% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $11.30, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $14.45 (+27.9%), stop $10.58 (−6.8%), A.R:R 4.4:1. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $14.45 (+27.9% upside). Target $14.45 (+27.9%), stop $10.58 (−6.8%), A.R:R 4.4:1. Stop-loss: $10.58.
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.2): -1.5.
Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading trades at a P/E of 11.9 (forward 15.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Hold.
15 analysts cover BRSL with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $17.
What does Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading do?Brightstar Lottery PLC provides lottery solutions in the United States, Italy, rest of Europe, and internationally. The...
Brightstar Lottery PLC provides lottery solutions in the United States, Italy, rest of Europe, and internationally. The company designs, sells, operates, and leases a suite of point-of-sale machines that reconciles lottery funds between the retailer and the lottery authority; operates and provides lottery transaction processing systems; produces instant ticket games; and offers printing services, such as instant ticket marketing plans and graphic design, programming, packaging, shipping, and delivery services, as well as lottery management services; instant lottery systems; and iLottery, a platform that provides access to eInstant and draw games. It also processes commercial transactions, such as prepaid cellular telephone recharges, bill payments, e-vouchers and retail-based programs, electronic tax payments, prepaid card recharges, stamp duty, and money transfer services; sells additional machines and central computers to expand existing systems or replace existing equipment; and licenses related software. In addition, the company provides marketing services, such as retail optimization and lottery brand awareness campaigns; telephone support, software and hardware maintenance, software development, and other professional services; and ancillary maintenance and support services for systems, equipment, and software. The company was formerly known as International Game Technology PLC and changed its name to Brightstar Lottery PLC in July 2025. Brightstar Lottery PLC was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.