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BORRBorr Drilling LimitedSell6.0·$4.47-0.45%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Attractively priced relative to earnings growth with improving technical momentum from an oversold level, but negative free cash flow and an extreme put-to-call ratio of 4.00 create a difficult risk/reward that does not yet support a constructive entry.

Thesis pillars

  • Valuation Growth DiscountStable
  • Negative Fcf Leverage RiskStable
  • Oversold Pullback In UptrendStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Borr Drilling Limited (BORR) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Drilling

Sell if holding. At $4.47, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.9): -1.0; Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 1.9), Negative free cash flow.

Borr Drilling Limited operates as an offshore shallow-water drilling contractor to the oil and gas industry in the Americas, Southeast Asia, West Africa, the Middle East, North Africa, and Europe. It owns, contracts, and operates jack-up rigs for operations in shallow-water... Read more

$4.47+12.1% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#1 of 10 Oil & Gas Drilling
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield-6.50%
IncomeYield3.92%Payout0.00%sustainable
Stop $4.16Target $5.01(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.3:1
Analyst target$5.76+28.8%6 analysts
$5.01our TP
$4.47price
$5.76mean
$3
$7

Sell if holding. At $4.47, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.9): -1.0; Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 1.9), Negative free cash flow. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 38d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-07
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 12, 202638d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.9): -1.0
Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 1.9), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)29.9
P/E (Fwd)14.2
Mkt Cap$1.4B
EV/EBITDA7.4
Profit Mgn3.1%
ROE3.0%
Rev Growth14.0%
Beta1.00
Dividend3.92%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.17bullish
IV83%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 1.3 < 1.5@spotINSIDER 1.97%=EXTREMEMomentum 5.6>=5.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 38d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
46 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $4.05Resistance $5.07

Price Targets

$4
$5
A.Upside+12.1%
A.R:R1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 1.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! Insider activity: 1.97%=extreme

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-12 (38d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BORR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $4.47, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.9): -1.0; Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 1.9), Negative free cash flow. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $4.16. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BORR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $5.01 (+12.1% upside). Prior stop was $4.16. Stop-loss: $4.16.

What are the risks of investing in BORR?

Leverage penalty (D/E 1.9): -1.0; Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 1.9), Negative free cash flow.

Is BORR overvalued or undervalued?

Borr Drilling Limited trades at a P/E of 29.9 (forward 14.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BORR?

15 analysts cover BORR with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $6.

What does Borr Drilling Limited do?Borr Drilling Limited operates as an offshore shallow-water drilling contractor to the oil and gas industry in the...

Borr Drilling Limited operates as an offshore shallow-water drilling contractor to the oil and gas industry in the Americas, Southeast Asia, West Africa, the Middle East, North Africa, and Europe. It owns, contracts, and operates jack-up rigs for operations in shallow-water areas, such as the provision of related equipment and work crews to conduct oil and gas drilling and workover operations for exploration and production. It serves oil and gas exploration and production companies, such as integrated oil companies, state-owned national oil companies, and independent oil and gas companies. The company was formerly known as Magni Drilling Limited and changed its name to Borr Drilling Limited in December 2016. Borr Drilling Limited was incorporated in 2016 and is based in Hamilton, Bermuda.

Related stocks: RIG (Transocean Ltd (Switzerland)) · NBR (Nabors Industries Ltd.) · SOC (Sable Offshore Corp.) · PDS (Precision Drilling Corporation) · SDRL (Seadrill Limited)
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