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BKNGBooking Holdings Inc. Common StBuy Wait6.5·$203.96-2.36%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Thesis pillars

  • Consistent Earnings OutperformanceStable
  • Attractive Growth Adjusted ValuationImproving
  • High Quality Margins And Balance SheetStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Booking Holdings Inc. Common St (BKNG) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Travel Services

Wait for pullback to $193.09. At $203.96 the A.R:R is 1.3:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $193.09 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Thin upside margin: 8.0%.

Our mission is to make it easier for everyone to experience the world. We aim to provide consumers with a best-in-class experience with tailored planning, payment, language, and other options seamlessly connecting them with our travel service provider partners. We offer these... Read more

$203.96+8.0% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#2 of 14 Travel Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.92%
IncomeYield0.79%Payout17.86%sustainable
Entry $193.09(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $180.90Target $218.78(analyst − 8%)A.R:R 1.3:1
Analyst target$237.81+16.6%36 analysts
$218.78our TP
$203.96price
$237.81mean
$188
$301

Wait for pullback to $193.09. At $203.96 the A.R:R is 1.3:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $193.09 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Thin upside margin: 8.0%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity 61d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-28
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Oct 27, 202661d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
High-quality business
Risks
Thin upside margin: 8.0%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.8
P/E (Fwd)16.9
Mkt Cap$157.0B
EV/EBITDA15.4
Profit Mgn25.5%
ROE
Rev Growth8.1%
Beta1.07
Dividend0.79%
Rating analysts46

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.74neutral
IV44%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 1.3 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.3>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY 61d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
35 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $190.37Resistance $217.32

Price Targets

$181
$193
$219
A.Upside+8.0%
A.R:R1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.6%
Max %1.1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! News modifier +2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! asymmetry at 1.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-27 (61d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BKNG stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $193.09. At $203.96 the A.R:R is 1.3:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $193.09 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Thin upside margin: 8.0%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $218.78 (+7.3%), stop $180.90 (−12.7%), A.R:R 1.3:1. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BKNG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $218.78 (+8.0% upside). Target $218.78 (+7.3%), stop $180.90 (−12.7%), A.R:R 1.3:1. Stop-loss: $180.90.

What are the risks of investing in BKNG?

Thin upside margin: 8.0%.

Is BKNG overvalued or undervalued?

Booking Holdings Inc. Common St trades at a P/E of 23.8 (forward 16.9). TrendMatrix value score: 6.1/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about BKNG?

46 analysts cover BKNG with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $238.

What does Booking Holdings Inc. Common St do?Our mission is to make it easier for everyone to experience the world. We aim to provide consumers with a best-in-class...

Our mission is to make it easier for everyone to experience the world. We aim to provide consumers with a best-in-class experience with tailored planning, payment, language, and other options seamlessly connecting them with our travel service provider partners. We offer these services through five primary consumer-facing brands: Booking.com, Priceline, Agoda, KAYAK, and OpenTable:

Related stocks: TCOM (Trip.com Group Limited) · EXPE (Expedia Group, Inc.) · VIK (Viking Holdings Ltd) · ABNB (Airbnb, Inc.) · CCL (Carnival Corporation Ltd.)
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