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BGSIBoyd Group Services Inc.Sell5.9·$97.27+1.52%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Boyd Group Services shows 28% revenue growth, a reward-to-risk ratio of roughly 6.85-to-1 with 45.9% upside to the analyst target, and exceptional free cash flow conversion — but business quality sits marginally below the minimum floor and price momentum is negative, flagging execution risk despite the compelling theoretical setup.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Free Cash ConversionStable
  • Quality Near Minimum FloorStable
  • Exceptional Upside AsymmetryStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Boyd Group Services Inc. (BGSI) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Auto & Truck Dealerships

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $97.27: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 4.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Boyd Group Services Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates non-franchised collision repair centers in North America. The company operates its locations under the Boyd Autobody & Glass and Assured Automotive trade names in Canada, and Gerber Collision and Glass trade name... Read more

$97.27+41.7% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#1 of 18 Auto & Truck Dealerships
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield12.31%
IncomeYield0.45%(5y avg 0.28%)Payout67.82%
Stop $90.46Target $137.85(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 4.8:1
Analyst target$162.17+66.7%3 analysts
$137.85our TP
$97.27price
$162.17mean
$182

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $97.27: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 4.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 40d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 12, 202640d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)147.4
P/E (Fwd)18.2
Mkt Cap$2.7B
EV/EBITDA17.0
Profit Mgn0.4%
ROE1.0%
Rev Growth28.1%
Beta0.71
Dividend0.45%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.6
Bollinger
4.2
Support Resistance
4.9

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Net Margin
0.2
Roe
0.3
Operating Margin
1.7
Roa
1.9
Current Ratio
2.4
Gross Margin
5.3
Moat
5.6
Piotroski F
7.8
Fcf Quality
10.0
Excellent cash conversion: 1000% FCF/NIStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
GatesMomentum 6.0>=5.5A.R:R 4.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 40d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Speculative
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $88.86Resistance $105.47

Price Targets

$90
$138
A.Upside+41.7%
A.R:R4.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-12 (40d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BGSI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $97.27: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 4.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $90.46. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BGSI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $137.85 (+41.7% upside). Prior stop was $90.46. Stop-loss: $90.46.

What are the risks of investing in BGSI?

Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0).

Is BGSI overvalued or undervalued?

Boyd Group Services Inc. trades at a P/E of 147.4 (forward 18.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BGSI?

18 analysts cover BGSI with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $162.

What does Boyd Group Services Inc. do?Boyd Group Services Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates non-franchised collision repair centers in North...

Boyd Group Services Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates non-franchised collision repair centers in North America. The company operates its locations under the Boyd Autobody & Glass and Assured Automotive trade names in Canada, and Gerber Collision and Glass trade name in the United States. It operates as a retail auto glass operator under the Gerber Collision and Glass, Glass America, Auto Glass Service, Auto Glass Authority, and Autoglassonly.com trade names in the United States. In addition, the company operates a third-party administrator, Gerber National Claims Services that offers glass, emergency roadside, and first notice of loss services; and a Mobile Auto Solutions service that offers scanning and calibration services. It serves insurance companies and individual vehicle owners. The company was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Winnipeg, Canada.

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