Skip to main content
BCPCBalchem CorporationBuy Wait5.5·$162.40+0.87%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Balchem Corporation is a high-quality specialty chemicals business — a perfect Piotroski score of 9 out of 9, a moat score of 7.0, and best-in-class margins — with a consistent earnings delivery record, but the stock screens expensive at a forward multiple of 26.8 times and offers only 4.3% headroom to the take-profit target, leaving the risk/reward insufficient to justify a new position at current levels.

Thesis pillars

  • Expensive Valuation ScreensStable
  • High Quality Piotroski Perfect ScoreStable
  • Consistent Earnings DeliveryStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Balchem Corporation (BCPC) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Earnings in 3 days (2026-07-31). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $159.28. At $162.40 the A.R:R is 1.0:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $159.28 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Thin upside margin: 4.8%.

We develop, manufacture, distribute and market specialty performance ingredients and products for the nutritional, food, pharmaceutical, animal health, plant nutrition, sterilization, fumigation, and industrial markets. Our three reportable segments are strategic businesses that... Read more

$162.40+4.8% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#25 of 41 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.64%
IncomeYield0.60%(5y avg 0.51%)Payout19.71%sustainable
Entry $159.28(1 ATR pullback)Stop $152.22Target $170.64(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.0:1
Analyst target$200.75+23.6%4 analysts
$170.64our TP
$162.40price
$200.75mean
$234

Wait for pullback to $159.28. At $162.40 the A.R:R is 1.0:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $159.28 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Thin upside margin: 4.8%. Chart setup: RSI 41 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-27
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Jul 31, 20263d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Thin upside margin: 4.8%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)33.4
P/E (Fwd)26.6
Mkt Cap$5.2B
EV/EBITDA20.5
Profit Mgn14.9%
ROE12.7%
Rev Growth8.1%
Beta0.81
Dividend0.60%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.31bearish
IV41%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.1
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.0%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 1.6<4.5A.R:R 1.0 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 3d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
41 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $159.34Resistance $174.09

Price Targets

$152
$159
$171
A.Upside+4.8%
A.R:R1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 3 days - binary event risk
! momentum at 1.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.0 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-31 (3d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BCPC stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $159.28. At $162.40 the A.R:R is 1.0:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $159.28 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Thin upside margin: 4.8%. Chart setup: RSI 41 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $170.64 (+5.1%), stop $152.22 (−6.7%), A.R:R 1.0:1. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BCPC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $170.64 (+4.8% upside). Target $170.64 (+5.1%), stop $152.22 (−6.7%), A.R:R 1.0:1. Stop-loss: $152.22.

What are the risks of investing in BCPC?

Thin upside margin: 4.8%.

Is BCPC overvalued or undervalued?

Balchem Corporation trades at a P/E of 33.4 (forward 26.6). TrendMatrix value score: 4.0/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about BCPC?

9 analysts cover BCPC with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $201.

What does Balchem Corporation do?We develop, manufacture, distribute and market specialty performance ingredients and products for the nutritional,...

We develop, manufacture, distribute and market specialty performance ingredients and products for the nutritional, food, pharmaceutical, animal health, plant nutrition, sterilization, fumigation, and industrial markets. Our three reportable segments are strategic businesses that offer products and services to different markets: Human Nutrition and Health, Animal Nutrition and Health, and Specialty Products.

Related stocks: SQM (Sociedad Quimica y Minera S.A.) · MTX (Minerals Technologies Inc.) · WDFC (WD-40 Company) · ALB (Albemarle Corporation) · FUL (H. B. Fuller Company)
Home Stocks BCPC

Latest news

Latest News

TipRanks5d agoEarnings
TipRanks5d agoEarnings
Stock Titan96d ago
UBND thành phố Hải Phòng96d agoEarnings
TradingKey2d ago
TradingView2d ago
GuruFocus93d ago
Cổng thông tin điện tử Tỉnh Sơn La98d ago
TipRanks3d agoEarnings
TradingKey3d ago
TradingKey3d ago
Benzinga84d agoAnalyst
Benzinga88d agoEarnings
Benzinga88d agoEarnings
Benzinga88d ago