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BCPCBalchem CorporationHold5.7·$171.61-0.08%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Balchem Corporation is a high-quality specialty chemicals business — a perfect Piotroski score of 9 out of 9, a moat score of 7.0, and best-in-class margins — with a consistent earnings delivery record, but the stock screens expensive at a forward multiple of 26.8 times and offers only 4.3% headroom to the take-profit target, leaving the risk/reward insufficient to justify a new position at current levels.

Thesis pillars

  • Expensive Valuation ScreensImproving
  • High Quality Piotroski Perfect ScoreStable
  • Consistent Earnings DeliveryStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Balchem Corporation (BCPC) Stock Analysis

HoldModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $171.61, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 3.6%; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

We develop, manufacture, distribute and market specialty performance ingredients and products for the nutritional, food, pharmaceutical, animal health, plant nutrition, sterilization, fumigation, and industrial markets. Our three reportable segments are strategic businesses that... Read more

$171.61+3.6% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#17 of 43 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.46%
IncomeYield0.56%(5y avg 0.51%)Payout18.90%sustainable
Stop $164.90Target $177.86(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.7:1
Analyst target$209.25+21.9%4 analysts
$177.86our TP
$171.61price
$209.25mean
$242

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $171.61, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 3.6%; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-05
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Oct 20, 202644d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Wide economic moat
Risks
Thin upside margin: 3.6%
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)33.8
P/E (Fwd)27.4
Mkt Cap$5.5B
EV/EBITDA20.7
Profit Mgn15.1%
ROE12.8%
Rev Growth11.2%
Beta0.81
Dividend0.56%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV38%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.7
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
6.0
Rsi
7.8
Uptrend pullback (RSI 37) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R 0.7 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 44d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
37 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $170.00Resistance $182.99

Price Targets

$165
$178
A.Upside+3.6%
A.R:R0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.7 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-20 (44d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BCPC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $171.61, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 3.6%; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $177.86 (+3.6%), stop $164.90 (−4.1%), A.R:R 0.7:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BCPC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $177.86 (+3.6% upside). Target $177.86 (+3.6%), stop $164.90 (−4.1%), A.R:R 0.7:1. Stop-loss: $164.90.

What are the risks of investing in BCPC?

Thin upside margin: 3.6%; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Negative momentum.

Is BCPC overvalued or undervalued?

Balchem Corporation trades at a P/E of 33.8 (forward 27.4). TrendMatrix value score: 4.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about BCPC?

9 analysts cover BCPC with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $209.

What does Balchem Corporation do?We develop, manufacture, distribute and market specialty performance ingredients and products for the nutritional,...

We develop, manufacture, distribute and market specialty performance ingredients and products for the nutritional, food, pharmaceutical, animal health, plant nutrition, sterilization, fumigation, and industrial markets. Our three reportable segments are strategic businesses that offer products and services to different markets: Human Nutrition and Health, Animal Nutrition and Health, and Specialty Products.

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