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BCPCBalchem CorporationSell5.5·$171.22+1.18%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Balchem Corporation is a high-quality specialty chemicals business — a perfect Piotroski score of 9 out of 9, a moat score of 7.0, and best-in-class margins — with a consistent earnings delivery record, but the stock screens expensive at a forward multiple of 26.8 times and offers only 4.3% headroom to the take-profit target, leaving the risk/reward insufficient to justify a new position at current levels.

Thesis pillars

  • Expensive Valuation ScreensStable
  • High Quality Piotroski Perfect ScoreStable
  • Consistent Earnings DeliveryStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Balchem Corporation (BCPC) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $171.22 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Expensive valuation.

We develop, manufacture, distribute and market specialty performance ingredients and products for the nutritional, food, pharmaceutical, animal health, plant nutrition, sterilization, fumigation, and industrial markets. Our three reportable segments are strategic businesses that... Read more

$171.22-0.4% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#16 of 36 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.51%
IncomeYield0.56%(5y avg 0.51%)Payout19.71%sustainable
Stop $164.14Target $170.61(resistance)A.R:R -0.0:1
Analyst target$200.75+17.2%4 analysts
$170.61our TP
$171.22price
$200.75mean
$164
$234

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $171.22 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Expensive valuation. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 30d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202630d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Expensive valuation
Overbought (RSI 79)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)35.2
P/E (Fwd)28.0
Mkt Cap$5.5B
EV/EBITDA21.5
Profit Mgn14.9%
ROE12.7%
Rev Growth8.1%
Beta0.83
Dividend0.56%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

IV31%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.4
Support Resistance
1.4
52w Position
8.6

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Peg Ratio
3.1
Pe
3.6
Analyst Target
4.0
Forward Pe
4.4
Ps
6.8
Forward P/E: 28.0xPEG: 3.93

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
2.2
Growth Rank
5.6
Quality Rank
7.5
Best-in-class margins
GatesA.R:R -0.0=NEGATIVEMomentum 8.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 30d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
79 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $152.91Resistance $174.09

Price Targets

$164
$171
A.Upside-0.4%
A.R:R-0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.3% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (30d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BCPC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $171.22 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Expensive valuation. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $164.14. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BCPC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $170.61 (-0.4% upside). Prior stop was $164.14. Stop-loss: $164.14.

What are the risks of investing in BCPC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Expensive valuation; Overbought (RSI 79).

Is BCPC overvalued or undervalued?

Balchem Corporation trades at a P/E of 35.2 (forward 28.0). TrendMatrix value score: 3.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BCPC?

9 analysts cover BCPC with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $201.

What does Balchem Corporation do?We develop, manufacture, distribute and market specialty performance ingredients and products for the nutritional,...

We develop, manufacture, distribute and market specialty performance ingredients and products for the nutritional, food, pharmaceutical, animal health, plant nutrition, sterilization, fumigation, and industrial markets. Our three reportable segments are strategic businesses that offer products and services to different markets: Human Nutrition and Health, Animal Nutrition and Health, and Specialty Products.

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