Skip to main content
AVAHAveanna Healthcare Holdings IncSell6.3·$7.08-0.21%
Open full analysis

Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc (AVAH) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Care Facilities

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.08: Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.3/10 and A.R:R 2.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.67; Below long-term trend.

Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc., a diversified home care platform company, provides pediatric and adult healthcare services in the United States. Its patient-centered care delivery platform allows patients to remain in their homes and minimizes the overutilization of high-cost... Read more

$7.08+23.4% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#2 of 27 Medical Care Facilities
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield5.35%
Stop $6.59Target $8.74(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.1:1
Analyst target$10.05+41.9%10 analysts
$8.74our TP
$7.08price
$10.05mean
$13

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.08: Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.3/10 and A.R:R 2.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.67; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)5.9
P/E (Fwd)9.2
Mkt Cap$1.5B
EV/EBITDA9.2
Profit Mgn10.4%
ROE368.0%
Rev Growth15.9%
Beta1.93
DividendNone
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C3.67bearish
IV116%elevated
Max Pain$3-64.7% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Volatile — 5.5% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Debt Equity
0.0
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Beta
3.6
Short Interest
7.7
Days To Cover
8.4
Elevated put/call: 3.67High IV: 116%Above max pain $2
GatesMomentum 4.5<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.5>=4.5A.R:R 2.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
45 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $6.45Resistance $8.11

Price Targets

$7
$9
A.Upside+23.4%
A.R:R2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AVAH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.08: Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.3/10 and A.R:R 2.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.67; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $6.59. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AVAH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $8.74 (+23.4% upside). Prior stop was $6.59. Stop-loss: $6.59.

What are the risks of investing in AVAH?

Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0).

Is AVAH overvalued or undervalued?

Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc trades at a P/E of 5.9 (forward 9.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AVAH?

17 analysts cover AVAH with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $10.

What does Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc do?Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc., a diversified home care platform company, provides pediatric and adult healthcare...

Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc., a diversified home care platform company, provides pediatric and adult healthcare services in the United States. Its patient-centered care delivery platform allows patients to remain in their homes and minimizes the overutilization of high-cost care settings, such as hospitals or skilled nursing facilities. The company operates through three segments: Private Duty Services (PDS), Home Health & Hospice (HHH), and Medical Solutions (MS). The PDS segment offers private duty nursing (PDN) services, which include in-home skilled nursing services to medically complex children and adults; nursing services in school settings in which its caregivers accompany patients to school; services to patients in its pediatric day healthcare centers; and non-clinical care, including support services and personal care services; and in-clinic and home-based therapy services, such as physical, occupational, and speech services. The HHH segment provides home health services, including in-home skilled nursing services; physical, occupational, and speech therapy services; and medical social and aide services, as well as hospice services for patients and their families when a life-limiting illness no longer responds to cure-oriented treatments. The MS segment offers enteral nutrition supplies and other products, including formulas, supplies, and pumps to adults and children delivered on a periodic or as-needed basis. The company was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.

Related stocks: THC (Tenet Healthcare Corporation) · UHS (Universal Health Services, Inc.) · ASTH (Astrana Health Inc.) · ARDT (Ardent Health, Inc.) · CON (Concentra Group Holdings Parent)
Home Stocks AVAH

Latest news

Latest News

Newser26d ago
Seeking Alpha27d agoEarnings
The Globe and Mail13d ago
MSN35d ago
Seeking Alpha14d ago
GuruFocus11d ago
GuruFocus12d ago
The Motley Fool37d ago
Simplywall.st23d ago
Yahoo Finance22d ago
HarianBasis.co35d ago
Yahoo Finance36d ago
Yahoo Finance15d ago
Newser24d ago
Yahoo Finance25d agoEarnings
Newser25d ago
Investing.com UK25d ago
Yahoo Finance39d ago
Investing.com11d ago
Investing.com11d ago
Loading more...