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ATROAstronics CorporationHold6.1·$91.80-0.87%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Astronics offers a consistent earnings execution record and solid growth within aerospace and defense, but thin upside of roughly 5% to the analyst target produces a risk/reward of approximately 1.2-to-1 — technically favorable but below the minimum 1.5-to-1 threshold — while negative free cash flow and elevated leverage constrain the fundamental quality case.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Discipline AerospaceStable
  • Negative Free Cash Flow Quality RiskImproving
  • Thin Upside Below Asymmetry BarImproving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Astronics Corporation (ATRO) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $91.80, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.1% away).

Astronics Corporation designs and manufactures advanced electronics for aerospace and defense through two segments: Aerospace and Test Systems, with 2025 Aerospace sales split 75% commercial transport, 15% military, and 9% general aviation. Consolidated backlog reached $674.5... Read more

$91.80-22.7% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#18 of 62 Aerospace & Defense
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield0.37%
Stop $86.91Target $107.47(default +15%)A.R:R -1.5:1
Analyst target$83.05-9.5%5 analysts
$107.47our TP
$91.80price
$83.05mean
$46
$107

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $91.80, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.1% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 83d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202683d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.60)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (1.1% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)48.0
P/E (Fwd)31.6
Mkt Cap$4.6B
EV/EBITDA29.0
Profit Mgn8.4%
ROE33.7%
Rev Growth27.0%
Beta1.20
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.61bullish
IV82%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerBoeing10%
    10-K Item 1A: 'we had a concentration of sales to Boeing representing approximately 10.4%, 10.2%, and 11.0% of our sales, respectively.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.3
52w Position
9.8
GatesA.R:R -1.5=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 83d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
78 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $64.55Resistance $94.46

Price Targets

$87
$107
A.Upside-22.7%
A.R:R-1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-22.7% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (83d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ATRO stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $91.80, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.1% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $107.47 (+17.1%), stop $86.91 (−5.6%), A.R:R -1.5:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ATRO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $107.47 (-22.7% upside). Target $107.47 (+17.1%), stop $86.91 (−5.6%), A.R:R -1.5:1. Stop-loss: $86.91.

What are the risks of investing in ATRO?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.1% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0.

Is ATRO overvalued or undervalued?

Astronics Corporation trades at a P/E of 48.0 (forward 31.6). TrendMatrix value score: 4.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ATRO?

11 analysts cover ATRO with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $83.

What does Astronics Corporation do?Astronics Corporation designs and manufactures advanced electronics for aerospace and defense through two segments:...

Astronics Corporation designs and manufactures advanced electronics for aerospace and defense through two segments: Aerospace and Test Systems, with 2025 Aerospace sales split 75% commercial transport, 15% military, and 9% general aviation. Consolidated backlog reached $674.5 million at December 31, 2025, with Boeing representing 10.4% of total 2025 sales and approximately 15% coming from U.S. government-related markets.

Related stocks: SWBI (Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc.) · FTAI (FTAI Aviation Ltd.) · MOG-B (Moog Inc.) · CDRE (Cadre Holdings, Inc.) · AVEX (AEVEX Corp.)
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