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RGRSturm, Ruger & Company, Inc.Sell5.1·$37.65+0.08%
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Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc. (RGR) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $37.65: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.

Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells firearms under the Ruger name and trademark in the United States. It operates in two segments, Firearms and Castings. The company offers single-shot, autoloading, bolt-action, and... Read more

$37.65+6.1% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#51 of 64 Aerospace & Defense
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield5.93%
IncomeYield1.17%(5y avg 3.03%)Payout492.86%at-risk
Stop $35.99Target $39.95(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.9:1
Analyst target$47.00+24.8%2 analysts
$39.95our TP
$37.65price
$47.00mean
$48

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $37.65: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 25d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-05

Recent Developments — Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc.

Latest news

Generated 2026-07-05T07:10:32Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202625d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)19.0
Mkt Cap$600M
EV/EBITDA86.0
Profit Mgn-2.2%
ROE-4.0%
Rev Growth4.1%
Beta0.22
Dividend1.17%
Rating analysts6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.27bullish
IV58%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
1.0
Macd
1.3
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.8%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Unprofitable operations — net margin -2.2%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.6
Moat
3.9
Piotroski F
6.7
Current Ratio
9.5
No competitive moatQuality concerns

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Dividend Safety
3.5
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
7.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.5
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).
GatesMomentum 1.8<4.5A.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 25d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
40 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $37.10Resistance $41.23

Price Targets

$36
$40
A.Upside+6.1%
A.R:R0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0)
! momentum at 1.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.9 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (25d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RGR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $37.65: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $35.99. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RGR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $39.95 (+6.1% upside). Prior stop was $35.99. Stop-loss: $35.99.

What are the risks of investing in RGR?

Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0).

Is RGR overvalued or undervalued?

Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 19.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RGR?

6 analysts cover RGR with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $47.

What does Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc. do?Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells firearms under the Ruger...

Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells firearms under the Ruger name and trademark in the United States. It operates in two segments, Firearms and Castings. The company offers single-shot, autoloading, bolt-action, and modern sporting rifles; rimfire and centerfire autoloading pistols; single-action and double-action revolvers; over-under shotguns; and firearms accessories and replacement parts, as well as manufactures lever-action rifles under the Marlin name and trademark. It also provides steel investment castings and metal injection molding (MIM) parts. The company sells its firearm products to the commercial sporting market through independent wholesale distributors; and its investment castings and MIM parts directly or through manufacturers' representatives. It also exports its firearm products through a network of selected commercial distributors and directly to foreign customers comprising primarily of law enforcement agencies and foreign governments. The company was founded in 1949 and is based in Southport, Connecticut.

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Benzinga5d ago