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SWBISmith & Wesson Brands, Inc.Hold6.0·$14.95-0.33%
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Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. (SWBI) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $14.95, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of firearms worldwide. It offers handguns, including revolvers and pistols; long guns, such as modern sporting rifles, pistol caliber carbines, and lever-action rifles; handcuffs; suppressors; and other... Read more

$14.95+14.1% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#6 of 64 Aerospace & Defense
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield12.58%
IncomeYield3.48%(5y avg 3.45%)Payout126.83%at-risk
Stop $13.90Target $17.06(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$17.25+15.4%2 analysts
$17.06our TP
$14.95price
$17.25mean
$18

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $14.95, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 61d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-05

Recent Developments — Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc.

Latest news

Generated 2026-07-05T07:10:32Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Sep 3, 202661d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)36.5
P/E (Fwd)45.3
Mkt Cap$669M
EV/EBITDA11.5
Profit Mgn3.5%
ROE4.9%
Rev Growth26.7%
Beta0.86
Dividend3.48%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.13bullish
IV54%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.9
Obv
1.3
Macd
3.5
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.0<4.5A.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 61d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $13.50Resistance $17.41

Price Targets

$14
$17
A.Upside+14.1%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.9% upside)
! momentum at 3.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-03 (61d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SWBI stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $14.95, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $17.06 (+14.1%), stop $13.90 (−7.6%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SWBI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $17.06 (+14.1% upside). Target $17.06 (+14.1%), stop $13.90 (−7.6%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Stop-loss: $13.90.

What are the risks of investing in SWBI?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

Is SWBI overvalued or undervalued?

Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. trades at a P/E of 36.5 (forward 45.3). TrendMatrix value score: 6.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about SWBI?

8 analysts cover SWBI with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $17.

What does Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. do?Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of firearms worldwide. It offers handguns,...

Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of firearms worldwide. It offers handguns, including revolvers and pistols; long guns, such as modern sporting rifles, pistol caliber carbines, and lever-action rifles; handcuffs; suppressors; and other firearm-related products. It also provides manufacturing services comprising forging, heat treating, rapid prototyping, tooling, finishing, plating, machining, and custom plastic injection molding, assembly, and distribution services to other businesses; and sells parts purchased through third parties. The company sells its products to firearm enthusiasts, collectors, hunters, sportsmen, competitive shooters, individuals desiring home and personal protection, law enforcement, security agencies and officers, and military agencies. It markets its products through independent dealers, retailers, in-store retails, and direct to consumers, and range operations; print, broadcast, and digital advertising campaigns; social and electronic media; and in-store retail merchandising strategies. The company was founded in 1852 and is based in Maryville, Tennessee.

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