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ATAIAtaiBeckley Inc.Sell4.3·$7.18+0.00%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

AtaiBeckley carries the lowest business quality in its peer set — free cash flow burning at over 1,500% of revenue, a 39% revenue contraction, and a near-perfect record of earnings misses — while trading in a confirmed downtrend with heavily bearish options positioning; fundamental and technical conditions need to improve materially before the setup warrants consideration.

Thesis pillars

  • Catastrophic Quality Cash BurnStable
  • Revenue In Sharp ContractionStable
  • Chronic Earnings Miss StreakDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

AtaiBeckley Inc. (ATAI) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5ShortModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.18: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Elevated put/call ratio: 3.12; Below-average business quality.

AtaiBeckley is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company advancing a diversified pipeline of psychedelic and non-psychedelic mental health treatments, led by in-house candidates VLS-01 (DMT) for treatment-resistant depression and EMP-01 (R-MDMA) for social anxiety disorder,... Read more

$7.18+16.2% A.UpsideScore 4.3/10#230 of 254 Biotechnology
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield-2.09%
Stop $6.68Target $8.34(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.1:1
Analyst target$9.59+33.5%8 analysts
$8.34our TP
$7.18price
$9.59mean
$16

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.18: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Elevated put/call ratio: 3.12; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 16d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-27

Recent Developments — AtaiBeckley Inc.

Generated 2026-07-27T16:47:52Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 13, 202616d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -11.5%), High leverage (D/E 33.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-15.8
Mkt Cap$2.7B
EV/EBITDA-19.8
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-378.0%
Rev Growth-38.7%
Beta1.57
DividendNone
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C3.12bearish
IV47%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -38.7% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -39%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
3.3
Moat
4.0
Current Ratio
5.0
Cash-burning: FCF -1592% of revenueNo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9Quality concerns

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
2.2
Value Rank
5.0
GatesA.R:R 1.1 < 1.5@spotMomentum 6.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 16d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
78 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $4.77Resistance $7.22

Price Targets

$7
$8
A.Upside+16.2%
A.R:R1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -11.5%), High leverage (D/E 33.0)
! asymmetry at 1.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-13 (16d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ATAI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.18: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Elevated put/call ratio: 3.12; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $6.68. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ATAI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $8.34 (+16.2% upside). Prior stop was $6.68. Stop-loss: $6.68.

What are the risks of investing in ATAI?

Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -11.5%), High leverage (D/E 33.0).

Is ATAI overvalued or undervalued?

AtaiBeckley Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -15.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ATAI?

21 analysts cover ATAI with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $10.

What does AtaiBeckley Inc. do?AtaiBeckley is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company advancing a diversified pipeline of psychedelic and...

AtaiBeckley is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company advancing a diversified pipeline of psychedelic and non-psychedelic mental health treatments, led by in-house candidates VLS-01 (DMT) for treatment-resistant depression and EMP-01 (R-MDMA) for social anxiety disorder, alongside a roughly one-third stake in Beckley Psytech (BPL-003, ELE-101) and a 51.9% stake in Recognify Life Sciences (RL-007 for cognitive impairment in schizophrenia). The company has no approved products and reported a $149.3 million net loss for 2024 against $17.5 million of cash as of December 31, 2024.

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