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ATAIAtaiBeckley Inc.Sell3.5·$3.85-1.91%
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AtaiBeckley Inc. (ATAI) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5High Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $3.85: Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.5/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.33; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

AtaiBeckley Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in the research, development, and commercialization of mental health treatments in the United States, Germany, and Canada. The company develops BPL-003, an intranasal formulation of the benzoate salt form of... Read more

$3.85+27.1% A.UpsideScore 3.5/10#157 of 157 Biotechnology
QualityF-score2 / 9FCF yield-3.85%
Stop $3.59Target $4.90(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1
Analyst target$14.00+263.6%12 analysts
$4.90our TP
$3.85price
$14.00mean
$25

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $3.85: Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.5/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.33; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 39, MACD bearish. Score 3.5/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 58d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 13, 202658d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $14.00 vs price $3.85 — ratio 3.6×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.
Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -11.5%), High leverage (D/E 33.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-8.6
Mkt Cap$1.4B
EV/EBITDA-10.0
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-378.0%
Rev Growth-38.7%
Beta1.60
DividendNone
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F2/9

Options Flow

P/C1.33bearish
IV86%elevated
Max Pain$1-74.0% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -38.7% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -39%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
2.2
Moat
2.5
Current Ratio
5.0
Cash-burning: FCF -1592% of revenueNo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 2/9Quality concerns

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
1.9
Value Rank
5.0

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Ma Position
2.2
Macd
2.6
Rsi
3.5
Obv
10.0
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.7%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 3.7<4.5A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 58d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
39 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $3.67Resistance $5.00

Price Targets

$4
$5
A.Upside+27.3%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $14.00 vs price $3.85 — ratio 3.6×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.
! Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -11.5%), High leverage (D/E 33.0)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-13 (58d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ATAI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $3.85: Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.5/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.33; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 39, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $3.59. Score 3.5/10, high confidence.

What is the ATAI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $4.90 (+27.1% upside). Prior stop was $3.59. Stop-loss: $3.59.

What are the risks of investing in ATAI?

DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $14.00 vs price $3.85 — ratio 3.6×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.; Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -11.5%), High leverage (D/E 33.0).

Is ATAI overvalued or undervalued?

AtaiBeckley Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -8.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ATAI?

20 analysts cover ATAI with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $14.

What does AtaiBeckley Inc. do?AtaiBeckley Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in the research, development, and...

AtaiBeckley Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in the research, development, and commercialization of mental health treatments in the United States, Germany, and Canada. The company develops BPL-003, an intranasal formulation of the benzoate salt form of mebufotenin that is in Phase 2a and 2b clinical studies for treatment resistant depression (TRD) and alcohol use disorder; RL-007, an orally bioavailable compound, which is a pro-cognitive neuromodulator in Phase 2b trial for cognitive impairment associated with schizophrenia; and ELE-101, a serotonergic psychedelic for the treatment of major depressive disorder. It is also developing VLS-01, an oral transmucosal film formulation of N,N-Dimethyltryptamine in Phase 2 clinical study to treat TRD; EMP-01, an oral formulation of R-3,4-methylenedioxy-methamphetamine that is in Phase 2 clinical study for social anxiety disorder; and EGX-A & EGX-B, which are non-hallucinogenic 5-HT2A receptor agonists for TRD. In addition, the company offers COMP360 for psilocybin therapy; and GRX-917 for the treatment of anxiety, depression, and various neurological disorders. The company was formerly known as Atai Beckley N.V. and changed its name to AtaiBeckley Inc. in December 2025. AtaiBeckley Inc. was founded in 2018 and is based in New York, New York.

Related stocks: AUPH (Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc) · HALO (Halozyme Therapeutics, Inc.) · AAPG (Ascentage Pharma Group Internat) · INVA (Innoviva, Inc.) · ADMA (ADMA Biologics Inc)
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