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ATAIAtaiBeckley Inc.Sell5.5·$7.35
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

AtaiBeckley carries the lowest business quality in its peer set — free cash flow burning at over 1,500% of revenue, a 39% revenue contraction, and a near-perfect record of earnings misses — while trading in a confirmed downtrend with heavily bearish options positioning; fundamental and technical conditions need to improve materially before the setup warrants consideration.

Thesis pillars

  • Catastrophic Quality Cash Burn→Stable
  • Revenue In Sharp Contraction→Stable
  • Chronic Earnings Miss Streak↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

AtaiBeckley Inc. (ATAI) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.35: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

AtaiBeckley is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company advancing a diversified pipeline of psychedelic and non-psychedelic mental health treatments, led by in-house candidates VLS-01 (DMT) for treatment-resistant depression and EMP-01 (R-MDMA) for social anxiety disorder,... Read more

$7.35-3.9% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#83 of 258 Biotechnology
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-2.74%
Stop $7.19Target $8.45(default +15%)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$8.12+10.4%6 analysts
$8.45our TP
$7.35price
$8.12mean
$9

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.35: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-26

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-3.9% upside)
Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -0.9%), High leverage (D/E 52.4)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)-15.3
Mkt Cap$2.7B
EV/EBITDA-17.8
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-417.2%
Rev Growth137.0%
Beta1.55
DividendNone
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.90neutral

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
5.0
Moat
5.8
Cash-burning: FCF -1670% of revenueQuality concerns

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Erm
2.0
News Activity
5.0
GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.6>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Speculative
RSI
47 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $7.23Resistance $7.45

Price Targets

$7
$8
A.Upside-3.9%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.9% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -0.9%), High leverage (D/E 52.4)

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for ATAI.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ATAI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.35: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $7.19. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ATAI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $8.45 (-3.9% upside). Prior stop was $7.19. Stop-loss: $7.19.

What are the risks of investing in ATAI?

Target reached (-3.9% upside); Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -0.9%), High leverage (D/E 52.4).

Is ATAI overvalued or undervalued?

AtaiBeckley Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -15.3). TrendMatrix value score: 4.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ATAI?

21 analysts cover ATAI with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $8.

What does AtaiBeckley Inc. do?AtaiBeckley is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company advancing a diversified pipeline of psychedelic and...

AtaiBeckley is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company advancing a diversified pipeline of psychedelic and non-psychedelic mental health treatments, led by in-house candidates VLS-01 (DMT) for treatment-resistant depression and EMP-01 (R-MDMA) for social anxiety disorder, alongside a roughly one-third stake in Beckley Psytech (BPL-003, ELE-101) and a 51.9% stake in Recognify Life Sciences (RL-007 for cognitive impairment in schizophrenia). The company has no approved products and reported a $149.3 million net loss for 2024 against $17.5 million of cash as of December 31, 2024.

Related stocks: CRMD (CorMedix Inc.) · ZVRA (Zevra Therapeutics, Inc.) · HRMY (Harmony Biosciences Holdings, I) · AUPH (Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc) · INVA (Innoviva, Inc.)
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