Skip to main content
ASHAshland Inc.Sell5.1·$67.01+0.48%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

A Piotroski F-Score of 9 out of 9 and positive momentum with volume accumulation reflect genuine balance-sheet strength and recent buying interest; however, three of the last four quarters missed earnings estimates with an average shortfall of roughly 7%, the price has reached its resistance target leaving virtually no upside, and an overbought RSI of 79 alongside 14% short interest suggest the risk/reward has deteriorated to a level that warrants reducing exposure.

Thesis pillars

  • Positive Price MomentumStable
  • Price Exhaustion Negative ReturnStable
  • Strong Piotroski Financial HealthStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Ashland Inc. (ASH) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $67.01 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.8% away).

Our common stock is listed on the New York Stock Exchange ("NYSE") under the ticker symbol "ASH". The terms "Ashland," the "Company," "we" and "our" used herein refer to Ashland Inc., a Delaware Corporation, and its predecessors, and its consolidated subsidiaries, except where... Read more

$67.01-0.2% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#28 of 40 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield6.77%
IncomeYield2.48%(5y avg 1.89%)Payout40.00%sustainable
Stop $62.93Target $66.89(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$68.82+2.7%11 analysts
$66.89our TP
$67.01price
$68.82mean
$50
$90

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $67.01 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.8% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 24d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06

Recent Developments — Ashland Inc.

Generated 2026-07-06T04:40:26Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 28, 202624d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (1.8% away)
Consecutive earnings misses (3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)15.5
Mkt Cap$3.1B
EV/EBITDA12.3
Profit Mgn-39.0%
ROE-31.0%
Rev Growth0.6%
Beta0.41
Dividend2.48%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C1.64bearish
IV58%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-18Item 5.02MEDIUM
    (d) | | Exhibits | | 99.1 | | [News Release dated May 18, 2026.](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/d [... truncated]
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.1
Growth Rank
2.8
Value Rank
5.1

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
6.5
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MDividend: 248.0%
GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.5<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.5>=4.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 24d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $54.98Resistance $68.25

Price Targets

$63
$67
A.Upside-0.2%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.7% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (24d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ASH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $67.01 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.8% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $62.93. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ASH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $66.89 (-0.2% upside). Prior stop was $62.93. Stop-loss: $62.93.

What are the risks of investing in ASH?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.8% away); Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Is ASH overvalued or undervalued?

Ashland Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 15.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ASH?

16 analysts cover ASH with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $69.

What does Ashland Inc. do?Our common stock is listed on the New York Stock Exchange ("NYSE") under the ticker symbol "ASH". The terms "Ashland,"...

Our common stock is listed on the New York Stock Exchange ("NYSE") under the ticker symbol "ASH". The terms "Ashland," the "Company," "we" and "our" used herein refer to Ashland Inc., a Delaware Corporation, and its predecessors, and its consolidated subsidiaries, except where the context indicates otherwise.

Related stocks: SQM (Sociedad Quimica y Minera S.A.) · ECVT (Ecovyst Inc.) · ALTO (Alto Ingredients, Inc.) · FUL (H. B. Fuller Company) · ALB (Albemarle Corporation)
Home Stocks ASH

Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga18d agoRestructuring
Benzinga25d ago
Benzinga25d agoAnalyst
Benzinga26d ago
Benzinga61d agoAnalyst
Benzinga62d ago
Benzinga66d agoAnalyst
Benzinga67d agoAnalyst
Benzinga68d agoEarnings
Benzinga68d ago
Benzinga68d ago
Benzinga69d agoEarnings