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ASHAshland Inc.Buy Wait5.4·$66.40-0.24%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

A Piotroski F-Score of 9 out of 9 and positive momentum with volume accumulation reflect genuine balance-sheet strength and recent buying interest; however, three of the last four quarters missed earnings estimates with an average shortfall of roughly 7%, the price has reached its resistance target leaving virtually no upside, and an overbought RSI of 79 alongside 14% short interest suggest the risk/reward has deteriorated to a level that warrants reducing exposure.

Thesis pillars

  • Positive Price MomentumDeteriorating
  • Price Exhaustion Negative ReturnImproving
  • Strong Piotroski Financial HealthStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Ashland Inc. (ASH) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Earnings in 3 days (2026-07-28). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $63.08. Weak momentum; also recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $66.40. Engine's entry $63.08 (5% below current) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.7% away).

Our common stock is listed on the New York Stock Exchange ("NYSE") under the ticker symbol "ASH". The terms "Ashland," the "Company," "we" and "our" used herein refer to Ashland Inc., a Delaware Corporation, and its predecessors, and its consolidated subsidiaries, except where... Read more

$66.40-8.3% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#26 of 41 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield6.83%
IncomeYield2.50%(5y avg 1.89%)Payout40.00%sustainable
Entry $63.08(5% below current)Stop $60.25Target $68.27(resistance)A.R:R -1.3:1
Analyst target$70.00+5.4%11 analysts
$68.27our TP
$66.40price
$70.00mean
$50
$90

Wait for pullback to $63.08. Weak momentum; also recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $66.40. Engine's entry $63.08 (5% below current) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.7% away). Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 28, 20263d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.7% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)15.6
Mkt Cap$3.0B
EV/EBITDA12.2
Profit Mgn-39.0%
ROE-31.0%
Rev Growth0.6%
Beta0.41
Dividend2.50%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C0.41bullish
IV57%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-18Item 5.02MEDIUM
    (d) | | Exhibits | | 99.1 | | [News Release dated May 18, 2026.](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/d [... truncated]
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.1
Growth Rank
2.9
Value Rank
5.0

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
3.2
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
8.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MEarnings in 3 daysDividend aristocrat: 2.5% yield
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R -1.3=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 3d<=7dExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
49 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $62.11Resistance $69.66

Price Targets

$60
$63
$68
A.Upside-8.3%
A.R:R-1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.3% upside)
! Earnings in 3 days - binary event risk
! momentum at 3.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (3d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ASH stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $63.08. Weak momentum; also recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $66.40. Engine's entry $63.08 (5% below current) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.7% away). Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $68.27 (+2.8%), stop $60.25 (−10.2%), A.R:R -1.3:1. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ASH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $68.27 (-8.3% upside). Target $68.27 (+2.8%), stop $60.25 (−10.2%), A.R:R -1.3:1. Stop-loss: $60.25.

What are the risks of investing in ASH?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.7% away).

Is ASH overvalued or undervalued?

Ashland Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 15.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about ASH?

16 analysts cover ASH with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $70.

What does Ashland Inc. do?Our common stock is listed on the New York Stock Exchange ("NYSE") under the ticker symbol "ASH". The terms "Ashland,"...

Our common stock is listed on the New York Stock Exchange ("NYSE") under the ticker symbol "ASH". The terms "Ashland," the "Company," "we" and "our" used herein refer to Ashland Inc., a Delaware Corporation, and its predecessors, and its consolidated subsidiaries, except where the context indicates otherwise.

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