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Ashland Inc. (ASH) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $50.89 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Negative momentum.

Our common stock is listed on the New York Stock Exchange ("NYSE") under the ticker symbol "ASH". The terms "Ashland," the "Company," "we" and "our" used herein refer to Ashland Inc., a Delaware Corporation, and its predecessors, and its consolidated subsidiaries, except where... Read more

$50.89+16.4% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#14 of 36 Specialty Chemicals
Stop $46.91Target $58.73(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.9:1
Analyst target$67.50+32.6%10 analysts
$58.73our TP
$50.89price
$67.50mean
$73

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $50.89 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Negative momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/6 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 89d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
Consecutive earnings misses (3)
Negative momentum
Elevated risk factors

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)10.4
Mkt Cap$2.2B
EV/EBITDA9.7
Profit Mgn-39.0%
ROE-31.0%
Rev Growth0.6%
Beta0.44
Dividend3.38%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C5.50bearish
IV73%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-01-27Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On January 26, 2026, the Compensation Committee of the Board of Directors of Ashland Inc.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.3%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.3
Growth Rank
4.1
Value Rank
6.0
GatesMomentum 1.3<4.5A.R:R 1.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 89d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
32 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $48.23Resistance $59.91

Price Targets

$47
$59
A.Upside+15.4%
A.R:R1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 1.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (89d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ASH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $50.89 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Negative momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $46.91. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ASH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $58.73 (+16.4% upside). Prior stop was $46.91. Stop-loss: $46.91.

What are the risks of investing in ASH?

Consecutive earnings misses (3); Negative momentum; Elevated risk factors.

Is ASH overvalued or undervalued?

Ashland Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 10.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ASH?

17 analysts cover ASH with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $68.

What does Ashland Inc. do?Our common stock is listed on the New York Stock Exchange ("NYSE") under the ticker symbol "ASH". The terms "Ashland,"...

Our common stock is listed on the New York Stock Exchange ("NYSE") under the ticker symbol "ASH". The terms "Ashland," the "Company," "we" and "our" used herein refer to Ashland Inc., a Delaware Corporation, and its predecessors, and its consolidated subsidiaries, except where the context indicates otherwise.

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