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Ashland Inc. (ASH) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $56.67 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0).

Our common stock is listed on the New York Stock Exchange ("NYSE") under the ticker symbol "ASH". The terms "Ashland," the "Company," "we" and "our" used herein refer to Ashland Inc., a Delaware Corporation, and its predecessors, and its consolidated subsidiaries, except where... Read more

$56.67+1.4% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#18 of 36 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield8.01%
IncomeYield2.94%(5y avg 1.87%)Payout40.00%sustainable
Stop $52.70Target $57.46(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$64.00+12.9%11 analysts
$57.46our TP
$56.67price
$64.00mean
$50
$75

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $56.67 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 49. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 70d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Ashland Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0)
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)12.9
Mkt Cap$2.6B
EV/EBITDA10.9
Profit Mgn-39.0%
ROE-31.0%
Rev Growth0.6%
Beta0.40
Dividend2.94%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C1.64bearish
IV52%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.2
Growth Rank
2.8
Value Rank
5.4

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
6.5
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MDividend: 294.0%
GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 70d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
49 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $48.23Resistance $58.63

Price Targets

$53
$57
A.Upside+1.4%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.7% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (70d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ASH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $56.67 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 49. Prior stop was $52.70. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ASH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $57.46 (+1.4% upside). Prior stop was $52.70. Stop-loss: $52.70.

What are the risks of investing in ASH?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

Is ASH overvalued or undervalued?

Ashland Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 12.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ASH?

17 analysts cover ASH with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $64.

What does Ashland Inc. do?Our common stock is listed on the New York Stock Exchange ("NYSE") under the ticker symbol "ASH". The terms "Ashland,"...

Our common stock is listed on the New York Stock Exchange ("NYSE") under the ticker symbol "ASH". The terms "Ashland," the "Company," "we" and "our" used herein refer to Ashland Inc., a Delaware Corporation, and its predecessors, and its consolidated subsidiaries, except where the context indicates otherwise.

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