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ASHAshland Inc.Sell6.0·$73.02
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Ashland has excellent cash conversion (518% FCF/net income) and a bullish breakout chart, but the price is 6.3% above the $70 analyst target, earnings are mixed and a report lands in 2 days.

Thesis pillars

  • Breakout Uptrend Momentum→Stable
  • Price Above Analyst Target→Stable
  • Excellent Cash Conversion→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Nov 1, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Nov 20, 2025

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Ashland Inc. (ASH) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellGrowthModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $73.02 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2).

Our common stock is listed on the New York Stock Exchange ("NYSE") under the ticker symbol "ASH". The terms "Ashland," the "Company," "we" and "our" used herein refer to Ashland Inc., a Delaware Corporation, and its predecessors, and its consolidated subsidiaries, except where... Read more

$73.02-4.1% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#11 of 43 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield8.05%
IncomeYield2.30%(5y avg 1.75%)Payout106.73%at-risk
Stop $69.74Analyst target $70.00(reached)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst consensus$80.45+10.2%11 analysts with price targets
$73.02price
$80.45mean
$90

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $73.02 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 3, 2026

Recent Developments — Ashland Inc.

Latest item Nov 3, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T11:39:49Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 2026Date unconfirmed· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Positive insider activity
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2)
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)46.8
P/E (Fwd)15.4
Mkt Cap$3.3B
EV/EBITDA12.0
Profit Mgn2.8%
ROE4.0%
Rev Growth7.3%
Beta0.36
Dividend2.30%
Analysts with ratings17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C1.61bearish
IV55%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-08-10Item 5.02MEDIUM
    ASHLAND INC. | | | Date: | August 10, 2026 | By: | /s/ Robin E. Lampkin | | | Robin E. Lampkin Senior Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary * * *
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
3.0
Quality Rank
3.3
Growth Rank
4.0
GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
60 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $69.88Resistance $76.32

Price Targets

A.Upside-4.1%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (Date unconfirmed)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ASH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $73.02 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $69.74. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ASH stock price target?

Analyst target $70.00 reached (−4.1% from $73.02); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $69.74. Stop-loss: $69.74.

What are the risks of investing in ASH?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

Is ASH overvalued or undervalued?

Ashland Inc. trades at a P/E of 46.8 (forward 15.4). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ASH?

17 analysts rate ASH, with a consensus score of 4.1/5. 11 analysts publish price targets averaging $80.

What does Ashland Inc. do?Our common stock is listed on the New York Stock Exchange ("NYSE") under the ticker symbol "ASH". The terms "Ashland,"...

Our common stock is listed on the New York Stock Exchange ("NYSE") under the ticker symbol "ASH". The terms "Ashland," the "Company," "we" and "our" used herein refer to Ashland Inc., a Delaware Corporation, and its predecessors, and its consolidated subsidiaries, except where the context indicates otherwise.

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