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ASCArdmore Shipping CorporationBuy Wait6.5·$16.61+0.18%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Ardmore Shipping combines a perfect earnings beat streak and cheap valuation with a failed momentum gate, notable insider selling, and earnings-quality flags that keep the risk/reward thin despite an upcoming catalyst.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Streak Cheap ValuationStable
  • Failed Momentum GateDeteriorating
  • Insider Selling Value Trap FlagDeteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Ardmore Shipping Corporation (ASC) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Inst Constrain edge

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Marine Shipping

Earnings in 3 days (2026-07-29). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $14.17. At $16.61 the A.R:R is 0.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $14.17 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Thin upside margin: 3.1%.

Ardmore Shipping Corporation engages in the seaborne transportation of petroleum products and chemicals worldwide. The company's fleet consists of 26 vessels, including 25 owned Eco-design vessels and one chartered-in vessels. It serves oil majors, national oil companies, oil... Read more

$16.61+3.1% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#4 of 19 Marine Shipping
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield-9.79%
IncomeYield3.92%Payout23.48%sustainable
Entry $14.17(support + ATR)Stop $13.40Target $17.13(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.2:1
Analyst target$20.15+21.3%2 analysts
$17.13our TP
$16.61price
$20.15mean
$21

Wait for pullback to $14.17. At $16.61 the A.R:R is 0.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $14.17 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Thin upside margin: 3.1%. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-25
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 20263d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Thin upside margin: 3.1%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.6
P/E (Fwd)19.4
Mkt Cap$678M
EV/EBITDA7.3
Profit Mgn18.0%
ROE9.0%
Rev Growth18.8%
Beta0.02
Dividend3.92%
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.46bullish
IV85%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.3
Bollinger
1.6
52w Position
7.0
GatesA.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 3d<=7dINSIDER 0.17%=MODERATEMomentum 6.9>=5.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $13.81Resistance $17.03

Price Targets

$13
$14
$17
A.Upside+3.1%
A.R:R0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 3 days - binary event risk
! asymmetry at 0.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:3d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (3d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ASC stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $14.17. At $16.61 the A.R:R is 0.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $14.17 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Thin upside margin: 3.1%. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $17.13 (+3.1%), stop $13.40 (−24.0%), A.R:R 0.2:1. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ASC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $17.13 (+3.1% upside). Target $17.13 (+3.1%), stop $13.40 (−24.0%), A.R:R 0.2:1. Stop-loss: $13.40.

What are the risks of investing in ASC?

Thin upside margin: 3.1%.

Is ASC overvalued or undervalued?

Ardmore Shipping Corporation trades at a P/E of 12.6 (forward 19.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about ASC?

7 analysts cover ASC with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $20.

What does Ardmore Shipping Corporation do?Ardmore Shipping Corporation engages in the seaborne transportation of petroleum products and chemicals worldwide. The...

Ardmore Shipping Corporation engages in the seaborne transportation of petroleum products and chemicals worldwide. The company's fleet consists of 26 vessels, including 25 owned Eco-design vessels and one chartered-in vessels. It serves oil majors, national oil companies, oil and chemical traders, chemical companies, and pooling service providers. The company was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Hamilton, Bermuda.

Related stocks: HAFN (Hafnia Limited) · NMM (Navios Maritime Partners LP) · SBLK (Star Bulk Carriers Corp.) · PANL (Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd) · HSHP (Himalaya Shipping Ltd.)
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