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PANLPangaea Logistics Solutions LtdSell6.7·$8.48
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Pangaea Logistics screens as deeply undervalued with strong growth and cash conversion, but a failed momentum gate and notable insider selling create tension against the otherwise bullish fundamental picture.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value With Strong Growth→Stable
  • Excellent Cash Conversion Quality→Stable
  • Momentum Gate Failure Despite Uptrend→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd (PANL) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Marine Shipping

Sell if holding. At $8.48, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 8.8%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7).

Pangaea Logistics Solutions provides seaborne drybulk logistics, transportation, and terminal/stevedoring services, transporting grains, coal, iron ore, and other bulk commodities via a fleet that averaged approximately 64 owned and chartered-in Handymax, Supramax, Ultramax, and... Read more

$8.48+8.8% A.UpsideScore 6.7/10#7 of 20 Marine Shipping
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield11.42%
IncomeYield4.72%(5y avg 4.34%)Payout27.40%sustainable
Stop $7.96Target $9.22(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.3:1
Analyst target$10.85+27.9%3 analysts
$9.22our TP
$8.48price
$10.85mean
$12

Sell if holding. At $8.48, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 8.8%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 22d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202622d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Thin upside margin: 8.8%
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.6
P/E (Fwd)7.7
Mkt Cap$555M
EV/EBITDA7.7
Profit Mgn6.7%
ROE10.4%
Rev Growth19.4%
Beta0.81
Dividend4.72%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV60%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomera few significant customers
    10-K Item 1A: 'We depend upon a few significant customers for a large part of our revenues and cash flow, and the loss of one or more of these customers could adversely affect our financial performance.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-08Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Pangaea's Board removed three directors, Eric S. Rosenfeld, David D. Sgro, and Anthony Laura, effective June 7, 2026, under a bye-law provision allowing removal by written request of at least three-quarters of the other directors. The Board was reduced to seven members; the company cited board-size and efficiency rationale rather than a specific disagreement, though the forced removal, rather than voluntary resignation, is notable.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R 1.3 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 22d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
58 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $7.89Resistance $8.66

Price Targets

$8
$9
A.Upside+8.8%
A.R:R1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 1.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (22d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PANL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $8.48, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 8.8%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $7.96. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PANL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $9.22 (+8.8% upside). Prior stop was $7.96. Stop-loss: $7.96.

What are the risks of investing in PANL?

Thin upside margin: 8.8%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is PANL overvalued or undervalued?

Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd trades at a P/E of 11.6 (forward 7.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PANL?

9 analysts cover PANL with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $11.

What does Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd do?Pangaea Logistics Solutions provides seaborne drybulk logistics, transportation, and terminal/stevedoring services,...

Pangaea Logistics Solutions provides seaborne drybulk logistics, transportation, and terminal/stevedoring services, transporting grains, coal, iron ore, and other bulk commodities via a fleet that averaged approximately 64 owned and chartered-in Handymax, Supramax, Ultramax, and Panamax vessels in 2025. The company operates the world's largest fleet of ice-class 1A dry bulk vessels over 60,000 dwt, a niche that has historically produced superior margins on Baltic Sea, Gulf of St. Lawrence, and Arctic Ocean routes. Pangaea depends on a few significant customers for a large part of its revenue a

Related stocks: ASC (Ardmore Shipping Corporation) · HSHP (Himalaya Shipping Ltd.) · NMM (Navios Maritime Partners LP) · SHIP (Seanergy Maritime Holdings Corp) · SBLK (Star Bulk Carriers Corp.)
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