Ares Management ranks among the fastest-growing firms in its industry with 28% revenue growth and converts earnings to free cash flow at 2.8 times net income, yet three earnings misses in the past four quarters, elevated leverage, and an unfavorable risk/reward at the current price argue for patience over adding exposure.
Thesis pillars
- Industry Leading Revenue Growth→Stable
- Three Of Four Quarters Missed↓Deteriorating
- Leverage Penalty And High Short Interest→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Ares Management Corporation (ARES) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Financial Services · Asset Management
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $126.51 — A.R:R 0.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0.
Ares Management Corporation manages $622.5 billion in AUM across Credit, Real Assets, Secondaries, and Private Equity strategies from over 55 offices in 25-plus countries. The firm earns management fees and performance-based income from over 2,850 direct institutional... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $126.51 — A.R:R 0.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 58. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-26Recent Developments — Ares Management Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS Analysts Are Bullish on Top Financial Stocks: Ares Management (ARES), Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) - The Globe and Mail — The Globe and Mail positive
- NEWS Ares Management Corporation (ARES) Fell 31.6% in Q1 Due to AI Fears - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance negative
- NEWS Citizens cuts Ares Management stock price target on volatility concerns - Investing.com — Investing.com negative
- NEWS Citizens cuts Ares Capital stock price target on Q1 volatility - Investing.com — Investing.com negative
- NEWS Ares Capital Posts a Profit After Accounting Gain - Barron's — Barron's positive
Generated 2026-07-26T06:52:00Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomerARCC10-K Item 1A: 'we derive a significant portion of our management fees from ARCC'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $126.51 — A.R:R 0.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 58. Prior stop was $117.65. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $127.25 (+0.6% upside). Prior stop was $117.65. Stop-loss: $117.65.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0; Earnings in 6 days (event risk).
Ares Management Corporation trades at a P/E of 56.0 (forward 17.4). TrendMatrix value score: 4.7/10. Verdict: Sell.
23 analysts cover ARES with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $141.
What does Ares Management Corporation do?Ares Management Corporation manages $622.5 billion in AUM across Credit, Real Assets, Secondaries, and Private Equity...
Ares Management Corporation manages $622.5 billion in AUM across Credit, Real Assets, Secondaries, and Private Equity strategies from over 55 offices in 25-plus countries. The firm earns management fees and performance-based income from over 2,850 direct institutional relationships and a growing retail investor base across publicly-traded funds and perpetual vehicles.