Aon's insurance brokerage franchise generates peer-leading 23% net margins and a return on equity that ranks best-in-class versus peers with a four-quarter earnings beat streak, but thin near-term upside of roughly 5%, a risk/reward barely above 1-to-1, a confirmed price downtrend, and leverage of 1.6 times debt-to-equity together constrain the near-term setup and make this a hold-not-add situation at current levels.
Thesis pillars
- Leverage Amplifies Downside Exposure→Stable
- Disciplined Earnings Delivery→Stable
- Peer Leading Margins And Returns→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Aon plc (AON) Stock Analysis
Momentum Cont setup · Catalyst-Driven edge
Financial Services · Insurance Brokers
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $357.46 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0.
Aon plc provides global risk brokerage, reinsurance, and human capital consulting through two segments — Risk Capital ($11.3 billion in 2025) and Human Capital ($5.9 billion) — generating $17.2 billion in total 2025 revenue across clients in more than 120 countries. Revenue... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $357.46 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 21d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
About Aon plc
About Aon plc
Aon plc's Risk Capital segment generated $11.3 billion in 2025 revenue and Human Capital contributed $5.9 billion, producing total consolidated revenue of $17.2 billion across 120+ countries, with approximately 51.8% of that revenue derived from non-U.S. operations attributed to where services are performed. The firm employs roughly 60,000 people and competes against Marsh McLennan, Willis Towers Watson, and Arthur J. Gallagher & Company across virtually every geography.
Aon earns revenue through commissions tied to insurance and reinsurance premiums — a structure that fluctuates with the insurance pricing cycle — and through fees for advisory, analytics, and plan-administration services that are less market-sensitive. Risk Capital's commercial risk brokerage organizes around industry verticals (property, casualty, cyber, energy, and others) and accesses capacity through Global Broking Centers in London, Bermuda, and Singapore. Reinsurance Solutions includes treaty and facultative placement plus capital markets advisory. Human Capital spans health consulting and benefits design for multinational employers, retirement actuarial and pension risk-transfer advisory, and talent benchmarking — each billed as fee-for-service or subscription arrangements. Aon Securities LLC, an indirect subsidiary registered with FINRA and SIPC, handles U.S. investment banking, capital advisory, and broker-dealer activity. The company held $15.2 billion of consolidated debt at year-end 2025, with financial covenants requiring maintenance of specified EBITDA-to-interest and debt-to-EBITDA ratios tested quarterly.
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Aon's global licensing footprint subjects it to multi-regulator oversight simultaneously: the FCA in the U.K., the SEC, DOL, and FINRA in the U.S. for its investment advisory and retirement consulting subsidiaries, and insurance-regulatory bodies across jurisdictions where its operating entities hold producer, broker, or reinsurance intermediary licenses. Certain jurisdictions issue licenses only to resident entities, requiring Aon to maintain local licensing arrangements subject to ongoing renewal. If regulators in any material jurisdiction revoke or decline to renew a key license, the company's ability to place business in that market could be impaired.
See also: Financial Services · Insurance Brokers
From Aon plc's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-06Recent Developments — Aon plc
Latest news
- NEWS Is AON Undervalued? DCF Says Worth $370 - GuruFocus — GuruFocus positive
- NEWS Mitsubishi UFJ Trust & Banking Corp Sells 12,864 Shares of Aon plc $AON - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS AON Maintained by Citigroup -- Price Target Raised to $420 - GuruFocus — GuruFocus positive
- NEWS Aon plc (AON) Announces 10% Dividend Increase, Underscoring Robust Capital Return Framework - Catalyst Event - Cổng thôn — Cổng thông tin điện tử tỉnh Tây Ninh positive
- NEWS Aon plc (AON) Expands Data Center Lifecycle Insurance Program to $3.5B, Tapping Booming Digital Infrastructure Demand - — Cổng thông tin điện tử Tỉnh Sơn La positive
Generated 2026-07-06T05:40:26Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
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Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $357.46 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $336.60. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $350.39 (-2.0% upside). Prior stop was $336.60. Stop-loss: $336.60.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0.
Aon plc trades at a P/E of 19.6 (forward 16.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Sell.
29 analysts cover AON with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $383.
What does Aon plc do?Aon plc provides global risk brokerage, reinsurance, and human capital consulting through two segments — Risk Capital...
Aon plc provides global risk brokerage, reinsurance, and human capital consulting through two segments — Risk Capital ($11.3 billion in 2025) and Human Capital ($5.9 billion) — generating $17.2 billion in total 2025 revenue across clients in more than 120 countries. Revenue comes primarily from commissions on insurance and reinsurance placements and fees for consulting and advisory services, with no single client exceeding 1% of total revenue.