Skip to main content

Brown & Brown, Inc. (BRO) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance Brokers

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $59.18, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Brown & Brown is a diversified insurance agency, wholesale brokerage, and programs organization with two segments: Retail (58.7% of 2025 commissions and fees) and Specialty Distribution (41.3%), totaling $5.8B. Operations are primarily in the United States with international... Read more

$59.18+14.5% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#1 of 11 Insurance Brokers
Stop $56.89Target $67.74(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.2:1
Analyst target$75.27+27.2%15 analysts
$67.74our TP
$59.18price
$75.27mean
$90

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $59.18, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 34, MACD bearish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 88d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.1
P/E (Fwd)12.6
Mkt Cap$20.9B
EV/EBITDA11.3
Profit Mgn18.4%
ROE11.9%
Rev Growth35.7%
Beta0.83
Dividend1.05%
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.78bearish
IV50%normal
Max Pain$45-24.0% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-04Item 5.02LOW
    Compensation Committee adopted the annual cash incentive plan for 2026 for certain executive officers with three performance components. Routine compensatory arrangement; no departure or appointment.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Volume
1.6
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.2%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 1.4<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 2.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 88d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate
RSI
34 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $58.65Resistance $69.25

Price Targets

$57
$68
A.Upside+14.5%
A.R:R2.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 1.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-27 (88d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BRO stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $59.18, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 34, MACD bearish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $67.74 (+14.5%), stop $56.89 (−4.0%), A.R:R 2.2:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BRO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $67.74 (+14.5% upside). Target $67.74 (+14.5%), stop $56.89 (−4.0%), A.R:R 2.2:1. Stop-loss: $56.89.

What are the risks of investing in BRO?

Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is BRO overvalued or undervalued?

Brown & Brown, Inc. trades at a P/E of 20.1 (forward 12.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about BRO?

24 analysts cover BRO with a consensus score of 3.3/5. Average price target: $75.

What does Brown & Brown, Inc. do?Brown & Brown is a diversified insurance agency, wholesale brokerage, and programs organization with two segments:...

Brown & Brown is a diversified insurance agency, wholesale brokerage, and programs organization with two segments: Retail (58.7% of 2025 commissions and fees) and Specialty Distribution (41.3%), totaling $5.8B. Operations are primarily in the United States with international presence in 15+ countries generating $843M.

Related stocks: WTW (Willis Towers Watson Public Lim) · AON (Aon plc) · ARX (Accelerant Holdings) · MRSH (Marsh) · NP (Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc.)