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BROBrown & Brown, Inc.Hold5.5·$73.89
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Brown & Brown is an insurance broker with strong 18% margins and a breakout chart setup, but earnings growth is weak and the price of $69.76 is already above the $66.95 analyst target, leaving little upside.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Broker Margins↓Deteriorating
  • Weak Earnings Growth↓Deteriorating
  • Price Above Analyst Target↓Deteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Nov 1, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 12, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Brown & Brown, Inc. (BRO) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldQualityShortModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance Brokers

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $73.89, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth.

Brown & Brown markets and sells insurance products as an agent and broker, with two segments — Retail (58.7% of 2025 commissions/fees) and Specialty Distribution (41.3%) — operating 468 domestic locations in 47 states plus 246 international locations. Total commissions and fees... Read more

$73.89-9.4% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#13 of 15 Insurance Brokers
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield4.94%
IncomeYield0.89%(5y avg 0.64%)Payout20.89%sustainable
Stop $68.87Analyst target $66.95(reached)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst consensus$74.39+0.7%18 analysts with price targets
$73.89price
$74.39mean
$55
$85

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $73.89, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 81d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Brown & Brown, Inc.

About Brown & Brown, Inc.

Brown & Brown generated $5,763 million in total commissions and fees in 2025, split between the Retail segment at $3,386 million (58.7%) and the Specialty Distribution segment at $2,379 million (41.3%). International operations, primarily in the United Kingdom plus 14 other countries, generated $843 million in 2025. The company operates from 468 domestic locations across 47 states, with licensing required from regulatory authorities in each state and international jurisdiction where it conducts business.

Brown & Brown earns commissions and fees as an insurance agent and broker — not as an underwriter — primarily across property, casualty, and employee benefits lines. The Retail segment serves commercial, public, quasi-public, and individual customers; the Specialty Distribution segment operates through Arrowhead Programs (managing general underwriter programs across professional, personal, commercial, and public entity lines), Bridge Specialty Group (wholesale brokerage), and Arrowhead Specialty (affinity, captives, warranty, and life and health, including One80 Intermediaries businesses). In the third quarter of 2025, the company completed the acquisition of RSC, the holding company for Accession Risk Management Group, Inc., which also manages captive insurance companies that introduce underwriting risk. The largest Specialty Distribution segment customer represented approximately 7.2% of that segment's total commissions and fees, while no material part of Retail revenue is attributable to any single customer.

Show full overview

The Accession acquisition introduced captive insurance underwriting exposure and pending litigation against Accession's subsidiary Oxford Risk Management Group LLC over the 2024 restructuring of certain financial guarantee policies for segregated captive cells. Total debt rose to $7,613 million following the transaction. Separately, the 10-K identifies IRS scrutiny of 831(b) captive advisory services as a risk: if the IRS were to disallow such elections or investigate Brown & Brown's related advisory business, results of operations and financial condition could be materially affected.

See also: Financial Services · Insurance Brokers

From Brown & Brown, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 27, 2026

Recent Developments — Brown & Brown, Inc.

Latest item Oct 27, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:49:09Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Jan 25, 202781d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Earnings estimates trending UP
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.4
P/E (Fwd)15.5
Mkt Cap$24.5B
EV/EBITDA13.4
Profit Mgn17.9%
ROE9.8%
Rev Growth9.7%
Beta0.52
Dividend0.89%
Analysts with ratings28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV48%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerlargest Specialty Distribution segment customer7.2%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our largest Specialty Distribution segment customer represented approximately 7.2% of the segment's total commissions and fees.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-07Item 5.02LOW
    Shareholders approved amendment to 2019 Stock Incentive Plan on May 6, 2026, increasing available shares by 6,900,000 and extending the plan term, following prior Compensation Committee approval. No officer departure or new appointment disclosed in this item.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.6
Bollinger
1.2
Gap
4.0
52w Position
5.5

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
1.8
Revenue Growth
4.9
GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 81d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
62 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $61.58Resistance $74.70

Price Targets

A.Upside-9.4%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-01-25 (81d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BRO stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $73.89, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $66.95 reached (−9.4%), stop $68.87 (−7.3%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BRO stock price target?

Analyst target $66.95 reached (−9.4% from $73.89); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $66.95 reached (−9.4%), stop $68.87 (−7.3%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Stop-loss: $68.87.

What are the risks of investing in BRO?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth.

Is BRO overvalued or undervalued?

Brown & Brown, Inc. trades at a P/E of 23.4 (forward 15.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about BRO?

28 analysts rate BRO, with a consensus score of 3.4/5. 18 analysts publish price targets averaging $74.

What does Brown & Brown, Inc. do?Brown & Brown markets and sells insurance products as an agent and broker, with two segments — Retail (58.7% of 2025...

Brown & Brown markets and sells insurance products as an agent and broker, with two segments — Retail (58.7% of 2025 commissions/fees) and Specialty Distribution (41.3%) — operating 468 domestic locations in 47 states plus 246 international locations. Total commissions and fees were $5,763 million in 2025; the company does not retain underwriting risk in its primary agency and brokerage operations.

Related stocks: ARX (Accelerant Holdings) · NP (Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc.) · WTW (Willis Towers Watson Public Lim) · AJG (Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.) · BWIN (The Baldwin Insurance Group, In)
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