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BROBrown & Brown, Inc.Buy Wait6.5·$59.95-0.38%
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Brown & Brown, Inc. (BRO) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

Buy WaitAI GATE: FLAGGED — 5 concernsModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance Brokers

Wait for pullback to $55.15. At $59.95 the A.R:R is 0.8:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $55.15 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 7.3%; Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Brown & Brown markets and sells insurance products as an agent and broker, with two segments — Retail (58.7% of 2025 commissions/fees) and Specialty Distribution (41.3%) — operating 468 domestic locations in 47 states plus 246 international locations. Total commissions and fees... Read more

$59.95+10.6% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#1 of 11 Insurance Brokers
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield7.46%
IncomeYield1.07%(5y avg 0.65%)Payout20.52%sustainable
Entry $55.15(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $51.59Target $64.35(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.8:1Setup A.R:R 1.7:1
Analyst target$71.50+19.3%16 analysts
$64.35our TP
$59.95price
$71.50mean
$90

Wait for pullback to $55.15. At $59.95 the A.R:R is 0.8:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $55.15 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 7.3%; Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 56. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 46d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Brown & Brown, Inc.

About Brown & Brown, Inc.

Brown & Brown generated $5,763 million in total commissions and fees in 2025, split between the Retail segment at $3,386 million (58.7%) and the Specialty Distribution segment at $2,379 million (41.3%). International operations, primarily in the United Kingdom plus 14 other countries, generated $843 million in 2025. The company operates from 468 domestic locations across 47 states, with licensing required from regulatory authorities in each state and international jurisdiction where it conducts business.

Brown & Brown earns commissions and fees as an insurance agent and broker — not as an underwriter — primarily across property, casualty, and employee benefits lines. The Retail segment serves commercial, public, quasi-public, and individual customers; the Specialty Distribution segment operates through Arrowhead Programs (managing general underwriter programs across professional, personal, commercial, and public entity lines), Bridge Specialty Group (wholesale brokerage), and Arrowhead Specialty (affinity, captives, warranty, and life and health, including One80 Intermediaries businesses). In the third quarter of 2025, the company completed the acquisition of RSC, the holding company for Accession Risk Management Group, Inc., which also manages captive insurance companies that introduce underwriting risk. The largest Specialty Distribution segment customer represented approximately 7.2% of that segment's total commissions and fees, while no material part of Retail revenue is attributable to any single customer.

Show full overview

The Accession acquisition introduced captive insurance underwriting exposure and pending litigation against Accession's subsidiary Oxford Risk Management Group LLC over the 2024 restructuring of certain financial guarantee policies for segregated captive cells. Total debt rose to $7,613 million following the transaction. Separately, the 10-K identifies IRS scrutiny of 831(b) captive advisory services as a risk: if the IRS were to disallow such elections or investigate Brown & Brown's related advisory business, results of operations and financial condition could be materially affected.

See also: Financial Services · Insurance Brokers

From Brown & Brown, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Jul 27, 202646d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Earnings estimates trending UP
High-quality business
Risks
Thin upside margin: 7.3%
Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.6
P/E (Fwd)12.4
Mkt Cap$20.4B
EV/EBITDA11.1
Profit Mgn18.4%
ROE11.9%
Rev Growth35.7%
Beta0.62
Dividend1.07%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.85neutral
IV67%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerlargest Specialty Distribution segment customer7.2%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our largest Specialty Distribution segment customer represented approximately 7.2% of the segment's total commissions and fees.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-07Item 5.02LOW
    Shareholders approved amendment to 2019 Stock Incentive Plan on May 6, 2026, increasing available shares by 6,900,000 and extending the plan term, following prior Compensation Committee approval. No officer departure or new appointment disclosed in this item.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.6
52w Position
0.6
Support Resistance
2.3
Gap
5.0
GatesA.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 46d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $54.41Resistance $61.58

Price Targets

$52
$55
$64
A.Upside+7.3%
A.R:R0.8:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! asymmetry at 0.8 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! News gate: flagged (0 risks, 5 concerns)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-27 (46d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BRO stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $55.15. At $59.95 the A.R:R is 0.8:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $55.15 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 7.3%; Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 56. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $64.35 (+7.3%), stop $51.59 (−16.2%), Setup A.R:R 1.7:1. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BRO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $64.35 (+10.6% upside). Target $64.35 (+7.3%), stop $51.59 (−16.2%), Setup A.R:R 1.7:1. Stop-loss: $51.59.

What are the risks of investing in BRO?

Thin upside margin: 7.3%; Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is BRO overvalued or undervalued?

Brown & Brown, Inc. trades at a P/E of 19.6 (forward 12.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about BRO?

26 analysts cover BRO with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $72.

What does Brown & Brown, Inc. do?Brown & Brown markets and sells insurance products as an agent and broker, with two segments — Retail (58.7% of 2025...

Brown & Brown markets and sells insurance products as an agent and broker, with two segments — Retail (58.7% of 2025 commissions/fees) and Specialty Distribution (41.3%) — operating 468 domestic locations in 47 states plus 246 international locations. Total commissions and fees were $5,763 million in 2025; the company does not retain underwriting risk in its primary agency and brokerage operations.

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