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Aon plc (AON) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance Brokers

Earnings in 0 days (2026-05-01). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $313.16 but weak momentum; below 200-day MA (death cross) still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risk: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0.

Aon plc is a global professional services firm with $17.2 billion in 2025 total revenue across Risk Capital (insurance and reinsurance brokerage) and Human Capital (health, retirement, compensation consulting) segments, serving clients in 120+ countries. Revenue is primarily... Read more

$309.53+16.0% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#4 of 11 Insurance Brokers
Entry $313.16(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $298.03Target $350.95(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.6:1
Analyst target$389.95+26.0%19 analysts
$350.95our TP
$309.53price
$389.95mean
$436

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $313.16 but weak momentum; below 200-day MA (death cross) still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risk: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.9
P/E (Fwd)15.1
Mkt Cap$68.9B
EV/EBITDA14.6
Profit Mgn21.5%
ROE46.9%
Rev Growth3.7%
Beta0.82
Dividend1.02%
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.36bullish
IV55%elevated
Max Pain$240-22.5% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
4.5
Volume
4.9
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.4%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 2.3<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dA.R:R 2.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $307.02Resistance $337.98

Price Targets

$298
$313
$351
A.Upside+13.4%
A.R:R2.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 0 days - binary event risk
! Momentum score 2.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-01 (0d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AON stock a buy right now?

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $313.16 but weak momentum; below 200-day MA (death cross) still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risk: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $350.95 (+13.4%), stop $298.03 (−3.9%), Setup A.R:R 3.2:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AON stock price target?

Take-profit target: $350.95 (+16.0% upside). Target $350.95 (+13.4%), stop $298.03 (−3.9%), Setup A.R:R 3.2:1. Stop-loss: $298.03.

What are the risks of investing in AON?

Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0.

Is AON overvalued or undervalued?

Aon plc trades at a P/E of 18.9 (forward 15.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.9/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about AON?

28 analysts cover AON with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $390.

What does Aon plc do?Aon plc is a global professional services firm with $17.2 billion in 2025 total revenue across Risk Capital (insurance...

Aon plc is a global professional services firm with $17.2 billion in 2025 total revenue across Risk Capital (insurance and reinsurance brokerage) and Human Capital (health, retirement, compensation consulting) segments, serving clients in 120+ countries. Revenue is primarily commission and fee-based on risk placement and consulting services.

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