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AMPHAmphastar Pharmaceuticals, Inc.Sell5.5·$19.64-2.29%
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Amphastar Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (AMPH) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $19.64 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Amphastar Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a bio-pharmaceutical company, develops, manufactures, markets, and sells generic and proprietary injectable, inhalation, and intranasal products in the United States, China, and France. It offers BAQSIMI, a dry nasal spray used in an emergency... Read more

QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield11.91%
Stop $18.27Target $21.56(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$22.00+12.0%6 analysts
$21.56our TP
$19.64price
$22.00mean
$30

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $19.64 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 45. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 33d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-05

Recent Developments — Amphastar Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

Generated 2026-07-05T09:50:25Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202633d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Earnings estimates trending DOWN

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.8
P/E (Fwd)6.5
Mkt Cap$866M
EV/EBITDA6.4
Profit Mgn11.0%
ROE10.4%
Rev Growth0.4%
Beta0.89
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.70neutral
IV107%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.1
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
4.5
Macd
7.1
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.3%/30d — confirmed downtrend

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
1.0
Earnings History
3.3
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
8.0
Estimates down -30.0% (30d)Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
GatesMomentum 2.7<4.5A.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 33d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
45 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $18.22Resistance $22.00

Price Targets

$18
$22
A.Upside+9.8%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.5% upside)
! momentum at 2.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (33d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AMPH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $19.64 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 45. Prior stop was $18.27. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AMPH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $21.56 (+9.8% upside). Prior stop was $18.27. Stop-loss: $18.27.

What are the risks of investing in AMPH?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Earnings estimates trending DOWN.

Is AMPH overvalued or undervalued?

Amphastar Pharmaceuticals, Inc. trades at a P/E of 11.8 (forward 6.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AMPH?

12 analysts cover AMPH with a consensus score of 2.6/5. Average price target: $22.

What does Amphastar Pharmaceuticals, Inc. do?Amphastar Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a bio-pharmaceutical company, develops, manufactures, markets, and sells generic and...

Amphastar Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a bio-pharmaceutical company, develops, manufactures, markets, and sells generic and proprietary injectable, inhalation, and intranasal products in the United States, China, and France. It offers BAQSIMI, a dry nasal spray used in an emergency for the treatment of severe hypoglycemia; Primatene MIST, an epinephrine inhalation product for the temporary relief of mild symptoms of intermittent asthma; Glucagon for injection emergency kit; Enoxaparin, an injectable form of low molecular weight heparin for the prevention and treatment of deep vein thrombosis; and REXTOVY and Naloxone for opioid overdose. The company also provides Cortrosyn, a lyophilized power for use as a diagnostic agent in the screening of patients with adrenocortical insufficiency; Amphadase, a bovine-sourced hyaluronidase injection; Epinephrine injection for allergic reactions; Lidocaine jelly, an anesthetic product for urological procedures; Lidocaine topical solution for various procedures; Phytonadione injection, a vitamin K1 injection for newborn babies; and emergency syringe products, including atropine, calcium chloride, dextrose, epinephrine, lidocaine, and sodium bicarbonate. In addition, it offers Albuterol sulfate inhalation aerosol for the treatment or prevention of bronchospasm; Iron sucrose injection, an iron replacement product for the treatment of iron deficiency anemia in patients with chronic kidney disease; Teriparatide injection for managing daily osteoporosis therapy; and Ipratropium Bromide HFA inhalation aerosol, an anticholinergic indicated for the maintenance treatment of bronchospasm associated with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Further, the company provides active pharmaceutical ingredient (API) products, such as Recombinant Human Insulin and porcine insulin API. The company was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Rancho Cucamonga, California.

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