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AMCAMC Entertainment Holdings, IncSell5.2·$2.26-0.88%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

AMC's revenue growth and rising forward estimates point to some operating traction, but weak profitability, fading price momentum, and a thin insider-buying signal keep the setup speculative rather than compelling.

Thesis pillars

  • Weak Business QualityDeteriorating
  • Revenue Growth Bright SpotDeteriorating
  • Fading Price MomentumDeteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc (AMC) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 3/5Moderate Confidence

Communication Services · Entertainment

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $2.26: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.79; Below-average business quality.

AMC Entertainment Holdings is the world's largest theatrical exhibition company, operating 855 theatres and 9,640 screens across 11 countries as of December 31, 2025, including 533 in the U.S. and 322 in Europe via Odeon and Nordic Cinema Group. Content is concentrated: seven... Read more

$2.26+4.1% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#22 of 35 Entertainment
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield
Stop $2.11Target $2.36(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst target$2.72+20.2%6 analysts
$2.36our TP
$2.26price
$2.72mean
$2
$4

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $2.26: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.79; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 86d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-25

Recent Developments — AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc

Generated 2026-07-25T14:12:23Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Oct 20, 202686d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: seven movie studio distributors (U.S.) (83.0%)
Concentration risk — Supplier: five movie studio distributors (International) (76.0%)
Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-18.2
Mkt Cap$2.0B
EV/EBITDA15.4
Profit Mgn-10.6%
ROE
Rev Growth14.2%
Beta2.28
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.79bearish
IV109%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSupplierseven movie studio distributors (U.S.)83%
    10-K Item 1A: 'With only seven movie studio distributors representing approximately 83% of our U.S. markets’ box office revenues in 2025...there is a high level of concentration and continued consolidation in the industry.'
  • HIGHSupplierfive movie studio distributors (International)76%
    10-K Item 1A: 'five movie studio distributors representing approximately 76% of our International markets’ box office revenues in 2025'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-25Item 2.04LOW
    AMC delivered a notice of full redemption for its $125.47 million of 6.125% Senior Subordinated Notes due 2027 at 100% of principal plus accrued interest, funded by a concurrently completed registered direct equity offering. Voluntary refinancing action, not a default-triggered acceleration.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.8
52w Position
2.6
Support Resistance
3.3

Unprofitable operations — net margin -10.6%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
5.5
Operating Margin
6.0
GatesA.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotMomentum 4.7<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)8K FLAG 2.04Momentum 4.7>=4.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 86d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
68 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $1.60Resistance $2.60

Price Targets

$2
$2
A.Upside+4.1%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (3/5): Margin compression (op margin -535.8%), Material insider selling (10 sells, 0.56% of cap), Negative free cash flow
! asymmetry at 0.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-20 (86d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AMC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $2.26: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.79; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $2.11. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AMC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $2.36 (+4.1% upside). Prior stop was $2.11. Stop-loss: $2.11.

What are the risks of investing in AMC?

Concentration risk — Supplier: seven movie studio distributors (U.S.) (83.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: five movie studio distributors (International) (76.0%); Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0).

Is AMC overvalued or undervalued?

AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -18.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AMC?

12 analysts cover AMC with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $3.

What does AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc do?AMC Entertainment Holdings is the world's largest theatrical exhibition company, operating 855 theatres and 9,640...

AMC Entertainment Holdings is the world's largest theatrical exhibition company, operating 855 theatres and 9,640 screens across 11 countries as of December 31, 2025, including 533 in the U.S. and 322 in Europe via Odeon and Nordic Cinema Group. Content is concentrated: seven distributors supplied approximately 83% of 2025 U.S. box office revenue and five supplied 76% internationally. AMC held $428.5 million in cash as of year-end after debt buybacks and equity issuances to lower interest expense.

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