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AEMAgnico Eagle Mines LimitedBuy Wait6.8·$207.05+5.28%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Agnico Eagle Mines presents a wide-moat, high-quality business with 39% margins, a Rule of 40 score in elite territory at 98, four consecutive earnings beats, and roughly 31% upside to the analyst-consensus price target — a pullback within a still-rising long-term trend and a dividend that may be running ahead of free cash flow are the primary near-term risks to monitor.

Thesis pillars

  • Compelling Valuation Relative To GrowthImproving
  • Momentum Pullback In UptrendDeteriorating
  • Wide Moat Elite QualityStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Agnico Eagle Mines Limited (AEM) Stock Analysis

Temporary headwind edge

Buy WaitGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Wait for pullback to $140.02. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $207.05. Engine's entry $140.02 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, a gold mining company, engages in the exploration, development, and production of precious metals. It explores for gold, silver, copper, and zinc. The company's mines are located in Canada, Australia, Finland, and Mexico; and with exploration and... Read more

$207.05-9.7% A.UpsideScore 6.8/10#13 of 42 Gold
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield4.30%
IncomeYield0.93%(5y avg 2.28%)Payout14.55%sustainable
Entry $140.02(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $121.79Target $219.53(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$214.98+3.8%14 analysts
$219.53our TP
$207.05price
$214.98mean
$87
$300

Wait for pullback to $140.02. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $207.05. Engine's entry $140.02 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.32, quality 9.1/10, growth 10.0/10). Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 55d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-04
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 28, 202655d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=9.1 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.72)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.6
P/E (Fwd)15.7
Mkt Cap$99.6B
EV/EBITDA9.5
Profit Mgn40.4%
ROE23.0%
Rev Growth35.0%
Beta0.62
Dividend0.93%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.70neutral
IV52%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.1
Rsi
5.0
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5A.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 55d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $174.32Resistance $224.01

Price Targets

$122
$140
$220
A.Upside-9.7%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.7%
Max %1.4%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.7% upside)
! News modifier capped: WAIT cannot upgrade to NOW via sentiment alone
! momentum at 3.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-28 (55d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AEM stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $140.02. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $207.05. Engine's entry $140.02 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.32, quality 9.1/10, growth 10.0/10). Target $219.53 (+6.0%), stop $121.79 (−70.0%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AEM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $219.53 (-9.7% upside). Target $219.53 (+6.0%), stop $121.79 (−70.0%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Stop-loss: $121.79.

What are the risks of investing in AEM?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Negative momentum.

Is AEM overvalued or undervalued?

Agnico Eagle Mines Limited trades at a P/E of 16.6 (forward 15.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about AEM?

20 analysts cover AEM with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $215.

What does Agnico Eagle Mines Limited do?Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, a gold mining company, engages in the exploration, development, and production of precious...

Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, a gold mining company, engages in the exploration, development, and production of precious metals. It explores for gold, silver, copper, and zinc. The company's mines are located in Canada, Australia, Finland, and Mexico; and with exploration and development activities in Canada, Australia, Europe, Latin America, and the United States. Agnico Eagle Mines Limited was incorporated in 1953 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

Related stocks: KGC (Kinross Gold Corporation) · GFI (Gold Fields Limited) · B (Barrick Mining Corporation) · IAG (Iamgold Corporation) · PAAS (Pan American Silver Corp.)
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