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AEMAgnico Eagle Mines LimitedBuy Wait7.2·$187.34+3.87%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Agnico Eagle Mines presents a wide-moat, high-quality business with 39% margins, a Rule of 40 score in elite territory at 98, four consecutive earnings beats, and roughly 31% upside to the analyst-consensus price target — a pullback within a still-rising long-term trend and a dividend that may be running ahead of free cash flow are the primary near-term risks to monitor.

Thesis pillars

  • Compelling Valuation Relative To GrowthDeteriorating
  • Momentum Pullback In UptrendDeteriorating
  • Wide Moat Elite QualityStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Agnico Eagle Mines Limited (AEM) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

Buy WaitDEATH CROSS (EXEMPT)GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Wait for pullback to $140.02. At $187.34 the A.R:R is 0.0:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $140.02 (Rr Min Solve Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Overbought (RSI 81).

Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, a gold mining company, engages in the exploration, development, and production of precious metals. It explores for gold, silver, copper, and zinc. The company's mines are located in Canada, Australia, Finland, and Mexico; and with exploration and... Read more

$187.34+0.3% A.UpsideScore 7.2/10#5 of 40 Gold
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield4.69%
IncomeYield0.97%(5y avg 2.30%)Payout14.55%sustainable
Entry $140.02(Rr Min Solve Sticky)Stop $124.99Target $187.03(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.0:1
Analyst target$214.98+14.8%14 analysts
$187.03our TP
$187.34price
$214.98mean
$87
$300

Wait for pullback to $140.02. At $187.34 the A.R:R is 0.0:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $140.02 (Rr Min Solve Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Overbought (RSI 81). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 81. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.29, quality 9.1/10, growth 10.0/10). Score 7.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 75d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 28, 202675d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Strong overall score: 7.2/10
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Overbought (RSI 81)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.8
P/E (Fwd)14.4
Mkt Cap$91.3B
EV/EBITDA8.7
Profit Mgn40.4%
ROE23.0%
Rev Growth35.0%
Beta0.62
Dividend0.97%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.18bearish
IV50%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.3
Bollinger
1.0
52w Position
4.6
Gap
5.0
GatesA.R:R 0.0 < 1.5@spotDeath cross exempted (quality + momentum high enough)Momentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 75d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
81 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $135.36Resistance $187.99

Price Targets

$125
$140
$187
A.Upside+0.3%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.3% upside)
! News modifier capped: WAIT cannot upgrade to NOW via sentiment alone
! asymmetry at 0.0 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-28 (75d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AEM stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $140.02. At $187.34 the A.R:R is 0.0:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $140.02 (Rr Min Solve Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Overbought (RSI 81). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 81. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.29, quality 9.1/10, growth 10.0/10). Target $187.03 (-0.2%), stop $124.99 (−49.9%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 7.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AEM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $187.03 (+0.3% upside). Target $187.03 (-0.2%), stop $124.99 (−49.9%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $124.99.

What are the risks of investing in AEM?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Overbought (RSI 81).

Is AEM overvalued or undervalued?

Agnico Eagle Mines Limited trades at a P/E of 15.8 (forward 14.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about AEM?

20 analysts cover AEM with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $215.

What does Agnico Eagle Mines Limited do?Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, a gold mining company, engages in the exploration, development, and production of precious...

Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, a gold mining company, engages in the exploration, development, and production of precious metals. It explores for gold, silver, copper, and zinc. The company's mines are located in Canada, Australia, Finland, and Mexico; and with exploration and development activities in Canada, Australia, Europe, Latin America, and the United States. Agnico Eagle Mines Limited was incorporated in 1953 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

Related stocks: IAG (Iamgold Corporation) · KGC (Kinross Gold Corporation) · AU (AngloGold Ashanti PLC) · AGI (Alamos Gold Inc.) · B (Barrick Mining Corporation)
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