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AEMAgnico Eagle Mines LimitedBuy Wait7.2·$171.72+5.59%
AEM · Why this verdict

Why Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) is rated BUY WAIT

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictBUY WAIT
Overall score7.2/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

8.4/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
P/E7.9
P/S6.2
EV/EBITDA6.9
Fwd P/E9.1
PEG10.0
Analyst target9.0
  • Forward P/E: 11.2x
  • PEG: 0.10
  • Attractively valued

Quality

8.9/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE7.4
ROA10.0
Gross margin10.0
Op margin10.0
Net margin10.0
Current ratio9.9
FCF quality6.0
Moat7.5
Rule of 409.5
Piotroski F8.9
  • Strong margins: 39%
  • Wide economic moat
  • Compounder quality: strong returns + growth
  • Rule of 40: 98 (elite)

Growth

10.0/10data confidence 67%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth10.0
EPS growth10.0
  • Strong growth: 66% YoY

Momentum

5.3/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI4.5
MACD3.5
OBV10.0
MA position5.2
Volume3.1
  • Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
  • Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+4.0%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Sentiment

8.2/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
LLM sentiment8.0
Analyst rating7.3
Price target9.4
  • LLM news sentiment: +0.60 (n=1)
  • Analyst upside: 45%

Insider

5.0/10data confidence 50%

Peer rank

4.6/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank2.8
quality rank6.4
growth rank3.3

Technical

3.8/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger4.9
support resistance3.7
52w position3.5
gap3.0
  • Extreme gap up (6.5%) - may pull back

Risk (lower is worse)

6.6/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest9.5
days to cover8.7
volatility0.5
put call9.4
implied vol4.0
beta9.6
debt equity4.6

Catalyst

6.1/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm5.0
earnings history10.0
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg6.2
dividend safety5.2
news activity5.0
  • Perfect beat streak: 4Q
  • Dividend: 111.0%

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

V9 Gate blocked: SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Basic Materials:count=3:cap=3. Wait for improvement.

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L4:PATH_C2_GARP->V9:SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP|ENTRY_STICKY:PRIOR_STILL_VIABLE
Passed (7)
  • MOMENTUM:5.3>=4.5
  • ASYMMETRY:2.5>=1.5
  • INSIDER:OK
  • 8K:CLEAN
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:44d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
  • SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Basic Materials:count=3:cap=3
Warning (1)
  • MOMENTUM:5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)
Reward-to-Risk
2.50
Upside
+30.7%
Downside
12.3%
Sizing output
STARTER

SetupRANGE_BOUND RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band

EdgeNO_EDGE No clear edge identified

SuitabilityCONSERVATIVE Beta 0.57<0.8, Div 111.0%, Q=8.9

Investment implication

The C-path quality+growth combination triggered the STRONG_BUY_WAIT verdict: quality 8.9 and growth 10.0 both clear their thresholds, with asymmetric R:R of 2.50 supporting the read.

The strongest dimensions are Growth at 10.0, Quality at 8.9, and Value at 8.4; the weakest are Technical at 3.8, Peer rank at 4.6, and Insider at 5.0. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 2.50 and an engine sizing output of STARTER.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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