ADT Inc. (ADT) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Industrials · Security & Protection Services
Sell if holding. At $6.71, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 5.8%.
ADT is a US home security and automation company serving ~6.1 million residential and small business subscribers through professional monitoring, smart home solutions, and a growing DIY segment via its ADT+ app. Revenue is primarily recurring monthly fees from 2-5 year... Read more
Sell if holding. At $6.71, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 5.8%. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 42. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/9 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-15Recent Developments — ADT Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS ADT Prices 102M Common Stock Offering On Behalf Of Selling Stockholders — benzinga May 4, 2026 neutral
- NEWS ADT Announces Secondary Share Offering Of 102M Shares By Apollo Global Management, And The Company Intends to Buy ~29.1M — benzinga May 4, 2026 positive
- NEWS Full Transcript: ADT Q1 2026 Earnings Call — benzinga Apr 30, 2026 neutral
- NEWS ADT Sees FY 2026 revenue and Adjusted EPS approximately flat YoY — benzinga Apr 30, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Earnings Scheduled For April 30, 2026 — benzinga Apr 30, 2026 neutral
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-05-08Item 5.02MEDIUMThree Apollo-designee directors (Reed Rayman, Nicole Bonsignore, Benjamin Honig) resigned effective May 5, 2026 following Apollo's full exit from ADT shares. No disagreement with the Company on operations, policies, or practices cited.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 ceiling hit
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $6.71, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 5.8%. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 42. Prior stop was $6.43. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $7.10 (+5.8% upside). Prior stop was $6.43. Stop-loss: $6.43.
Thin upside margin: 5.8%; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
ADT Inc. trades at a P/E of 8.9 (forward 7.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.9/10. Verdict: Sell.
10 analysts cover ADT with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $8.
What does ADT Inc. do?ADT is a US home security and automation company serving ~6.1 million residential and small business subscribers...
ADT is a US home security and automation company serving ~6.1 million residential and small business subscribers through professional monitoring, smart home solutions, and a growing DIY segment via its ADT+ app. Revenue is primarily recurring monthly fees from 2-5 year monitoring contracts, with >80% of residential customers on automated payment methods; all revenue is US-based.